ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
03.10.2026 14:00
Oakwell

Barnsley vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Barnsley Win 0%
Draw 0%
Milton Keynes Dons Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barnsley1.36
Milton Keynes Dons1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barnsley Barnsley
WWDLW
15 GF / 14 GA
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
WLDWL
14 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
5
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
5
5.5
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barnsley Barnsley 11 matches
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 11 matches
Barnsley Statistic Milton Keynes Dons
5 Wins 2
2 Draws 5
4 Losses 4
15 Goals For 14
14 Goals Against 15
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
5 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 4
5.5 Shots On Goal 3.5
18.75 Total Shots 16
9.5 Corners 5.25
60% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Barnsley won 2 times, Milton Keynes Dons won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:13 from Barnsley's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 5.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Barnsley 4-2-3-1 / Milton Keynes Dons 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Barnsley wins 2, draws 1, Milton Keynes Dons wins 2

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 0 1 13:6 7 12
W W W L W
2 5 3 2 0 10:4 6 11
D W W D W
3 5 3 0 2 13:6 7 9
W L W L W
4 5 3 0 2 5:4 1 9
W L L W W
5 5 2 2 1 10:7 3 8
D W L W D
6 5 2 2 1 9:8 1 8
D W L D W
7 5 2 2 1 11:11 0 8
D W L D W
8 4 2 1 1 11:5 6 7
W W D L
9 5 2 1 2 10:6 4 7
D W L W L
10 4 2 1 1 9:6 3 7
W L W D
11 5 2 1 2 9:7 2 7
L L W W D
12 5 1 4 0 7:6 1 7
D D W D D
13 5 2 1 2 7:8 -1 7
W L W D L
14 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
L W W D L
15 5 1 3 1 9:6 3 6
W D D L D
16 5 2 0 3 8:11 -3 6
L L W L W
17 5 1 2 2 4:7 -3 5
L W D L D
18 5 0 4 1 7:9 -2 4
D L D D D
19 4 1 1 2 2:7 -5 4
L W D L
20 5 1 1 3 3:9 -6 4
L D L W L
21 4 1 1 2 4:13 -9 4
L L D W
22 5 0 3 2 6:8 -2 3
L D D D L
23 5 0 3 2 7:12 -5 3
D L L D D
24 5 1 0 4 5:11 -6 3
L W L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two