ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
03.10.2026 14:00
Oakwell Ground

Barnsley vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
64.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Barnsley Win 43.7%
Draw 20.8%
Milton Keynes Dons Win 35.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barnsley1.23
Milton Keynes Dons1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barnsley Barnsley
WWDLW
16 GF / 18 GA
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
6
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
5
4.43
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barnsley Barnsley 13 matches
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 13 matches
Barnsley Statistic Milton Keynes Dons
5 Wins 2
3 Draws 7
5 Losses 4
16 Goals For 15
18 Goals Against 16
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
6 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 5
4.43 Shots On Goal 3.29
17 Total Shots 14.43
8.29 Corners 5.43
54.3% Ball Possession 43.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Barnsley won 2 times, Milton Keynes Dons won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:13 from Barnsley's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 5.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.3%)
Predicted formations: Barnsley 4-2-3-1 / Milton Keynes Dons 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Barnsley wins 2, draws 1, Milton Keynes Dons wins 2

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 16:11 5 16
W L W W W
2 8 5 1 2 8:5 3 16
D W W W L
3 8 4 3 1 14:7 7 15
W L D D W
4 7 4 2 1 13:6 7 14
D D W W W
5 8 4 1 3 17:10 7 13
W D L W L
6 8 3 4 1 13:11 2 13
D D W D W
7 8 3 3 2 17:10 7 12
D D W L W
8 9 3 3 3 14:15 -1 12
L W D L D
9 8 3 3 2 6:8 -2 12
D D W W L
10 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
D W W L W
11 8 3 1 4 13:11 2 10
L W L D W
12 8 2 4 2 13:16 -3 10
D W W D L
13 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
L W W D D
14 7 2 3 2 9:11 -2 9
D W L W D
15 7 2 2 3 13:13 0 8
L D L L W
16 7 2 2 3 12:14 -2 8
L L D W L
17 7 2 2 3 10:13 -3 8
D D L L W
18 7 2 2 3 7:12 -5 8
D L L W W
19 7 2 2 3 8:18 -10 8
W D L L L
20 7 1 4 2 7:9 -2 7
L L D D W
21 7 1 3 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L D D
22 7 0 6 1 8:10 -2 6
D D D L D
23 8 1 2 5 4:13 -9 5
L L D L D
24 7 1 1 5 5:12 -7 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two