ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
18.04.2026 11:30
Oakwell
Referee: C. Breakspear
Barnsley
Match Timeline
Bradford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
8'
Vimal Yoganathan
Barnsley
🟨
33'
Will Swan
Bradford
🔄
46'
J. Earl ↔ M. de Gevigney
Barnsley
50'
E. O'Connell · Assist: M. Roberts
Barnsley
🟨
55'
Ibou Touray
Bradford
🔄
61'
S. Banks ↔ R. Cleary
Barnsley
🔄
62'
A. Phillips ↔ L. Connell
Barnsley
🟨
65'
Jenson Metcalfe
Bradford
🔄
65'
M. Pennington ↔ A. Sarcevic
Bradford
🔄
66'
W. Swan ↔ N. Powell
Bradford
🔄
66'
J. Metcalfe ↔ G. Lapslie
Bradford
🔄
66'
K. Jackson ↔ H. Ashby
Bradford
🟨
71'
Jonathan Bland
Barnsley
73'
N. Powell · Assist: S. Humphrys
Bradford
🟨
76'
Reyes Cleary
Barnsley
🔄
79'
T. Bradshaw ↔ T. Watson
Barnsley
82'
M. Roberts
Bradford
🔄
88'
J. Neufville ↔ L. Evans
Bradford
🔄
89'
C. O'Keeffe ↔ L. Farrell
Barnsley
90'
L. Farrell · Assist: R. Cleary
Barnsley

Barnsley vs Bradford Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
73.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Barnsley Win 28.2%
Draw 17.7%
Bradford Win 54.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barnsley1.37
Bradford1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barnsley Barnsley
WWDLW
68 GF / 71 GA
Bradford Bradford
WLDWL
52 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
30
BTTS Yes
23
28
Over 2.5
22
3.91
Shots on Goal
4.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barnsley Barnsley 44 matches
Bradford Bradford 43 matches
Barnsley Statistic Bradford
16 Wins 21
13 Draws 8
15 Losses 14
68 Goals For 52
71 Goals Against 47
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
30 BTTS Yes 23
37 Over 1.5 29
28 Over 2.5 22
21 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 14
11 Failed To Score 9
3.91 Shots On Goal 4.07
11.55 Total Shots 12.79
4.86 Corners 5.43
50.5% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bradford's more proactive style and Barnsley's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barnsley expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Bradford in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bradford having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bradford. Bradford carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 71 points while Barnsley sit 12 on 55, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Barnsley Analysis

Barnsley sit 12 with 55 points after 41 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 13 draws, and 14 losses, while the 63:65 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on David McGoldrick (15 goals), D. Keillor-Dunn (13 goals), A. Phillips (7 goals), with creative support from Reyes Cleary (12 assists), A. Phillips (5 assists), Patrick Kelly (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bradford Analysis

Placed 4 with 71 points from 42 outings, Bradford continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 21 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 52:46 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Sarcevic (10 goals), B. Pointon (10 goals), S. Humphrys (7 goals), with creative support from Josh Neufville (7 assists), Max Power (5 assists), A. Sarcevic (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Barnsley won 6 times, Bradford won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from Barnsley's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.82 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.4%)
Predicted formations: Barnsley 4-2-3-1 / Bradford 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Barnsley wins 6, draws 3, Bradford wins 2

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two