Barnsley vs Bradford Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
70.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
73.8%
|
- |
Barnsley
Bradford
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Barnsley
44 matches
Bradford
43 matches
| Barnsley | Statistic | Bradford |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 21 |
| 13 | Draws | 8 |
| 15 | Losses | 14 |
| 68 | Goals For | 52 |
| 71 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
| 30 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 28 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 21 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.91 | Shots On Goal | 4.07 |
| 11.55 | Total Shots | 12.79 |
| 4.86 | Corners | 5.43 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 50% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bradford's more proactive style and Barnsley's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barnsley expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Bradford in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bradford having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bradford. Bradford carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 71 points while Barnsley sit 12 on 55, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Barnsley sit 12 with 55 points after 41 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 13 draws, and 14 losses, while the 63:65 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on David McGoldrick (15 goals), D. Keillor-Dunn (13 goals), A. Phillips (7 goals), with creative support from Reyes Cleary (12 assists), A. Phillips (5 assists), Patrick Kelly (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 4 with 71 points from 42 outings, Bradford continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 21 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 52:46 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Sarcevic (10 goals), B. Pointon (10 goals), S. Humphrys (7 goals), with creative support from Josh Neufville (7 assists), Max Power (5 assists), A. Sarcevic (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Barnsley won 6 times, Bradford won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from Barnsley's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.82 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 |
Bradford
Away
|
46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 |
Barnsley
Home
|
46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|