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24.10.2026 14:00
The Hive Stadium
Referee: A. Young
Barnet
Match Timeline
Oldham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
Kabongo Tshimanga · Assist: Romoney Crichlow-Noble
Barnet
🔄
45'
Damola Ajayi ↔ Tom Knowles
Barnet
🔄
45'
Keenan Appiah-Forson ↔ Kane drummond
Oldham
🔄
62'
Jake Reeves ↔ Isiah Noel Williams
Barnet
🔄
62'
Charlie Lakin ↔ Nnamdi Ofoborh
Barnet
🟨
66'
Isiah Noel Williams
Barnet
🟥
70'
Isiah Noel Williams
Barnet
🔄
82'
Favour fawunmi ↔ Josh Hawkes
Oldham
🟨
86'
Mike·Fondop-Talum
Oldham
🔄
89'
Tom Knowles ↔ Nikola Tavares
Barnet
🔄
89'
Idris Kanu ↔ Brandon Comley
Barnet
🔄
90+1'
Kai Payne ↔ Noah Chilvers
Oldham
⚽
90+4'
Mike·Fondop-Talum · Assist: Oliver Norburn
Oldham

Barnet vs Oldham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Barnet Win 88%
Draw 5.6%
Oldham Win 6.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barnet1.77
Oldham1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barnet Barnet
L W W W W
11 GF / 7 GA
Oldham Oldham
L W D L L
5 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
15
BTTS Yes
7
13
Over 2.5
9
5
Shots on Goal
3.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barnet Barnet 17 matches
Oldham Oldham 15 matches
Barnet Statistic Oldham
8 Wins 4
7 Draws 2
2 Losses 9
32 Goals For 19
23 Goals Against 24
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
15 BTTS Yes 7
15 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 5
5 Shots On Goal 3.91
16.4 Total Shots 14.27
6.9 Corners 5.09
54.5% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Barnet's more proactive style and Oldham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Oldham arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Oldham. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Barnet arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 18 points compared to Oldham in 21 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Barnet Analysis

Barnet come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 18 points after 8 matches. They have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a 20:11 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on C. Lakin (5 goals), K. Tshimanga (4 goals), T. Knowles (2 goals), with creative support from K. Tshimanga (4 assists), C. Lakin (2 assists), T. Knowles (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Oldham Analysis

With 8 points from 9 games and a place of 21, Oldham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 9:13 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Kavanagh (2 goals), K. Appiah-Forson (1 goals), M. Fondop-Talum (1 goals), with creative support from C. Kavanagh (2 assists), J. Robson (2 assists), K. Appiah-Forson (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Barnet won 3 times, Oldham won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from Barnet's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Barnet 4-2-3-1 / Oldham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Barnet wins 3, draws 2, Oldham wins 3

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 25:15 10 31
W W W W W
2 13 7 5 1 28:18 10 26
D W D L W
3 13 5 7 1 21:12 9 22
W L W D D
4 14 5 7 2 17:17 0 22
D L L W W
5 14 6 3 5 23:25 -2 21
L W W L L
6 14 5 5 4 24:18 6 20
W W D L L
7 14 5 5 4 24:21 3 20
L L W D D
8 14 5 5 4 20:19 1 20
W L D L W
9 14 4 7 3 23:17 6 19
D W D W D
10 14 5 4 5 24:21 3 19
L W D L D
11 14 4 7 3 19:17 2 19
W D W L D
12 14 5 4 5 11:9 2 19
L W W D W
13 14 5 4 5 15:17 -2 19
W D W D L
14 14 4 6 4 20:17 3 18
W L D D W
15 14 5 3 6 17:22 -5 18
L D W W L
16 14 4 5 5 18:18 0 17
W L L W D
17 14 5 1 8 17:23 -6 16
L D L L L
18 14 4 3 7 15:19 -4 15
W L D L W
19 12 4 3 5 10:14 -4 15
W L D W W
20 14 4 3 7 17:26 -9 15
L L D L D
21 13 3 5 5 9:10 -1 14
L D W L W
22 14 2 6 6 18:25 -7 12
L D D L L
23 13 2 6 5 12:19 -7 12
L L D D L
24 12 2 3 7 13:21 -8 9
W D L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League