Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Bari
Virtus Entella
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bari
37 matches
Virtus Entella
38 matches
| Bari | Statistic | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 10 |
| 10 | Draws | 13 |
| 19 | Losses | 15 |
| 33 | Goals For | 39 |
| 60 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 2.95 | Shots On Goal | 3.45 |
| 10.32 | Total Shots | 12.08 |
| 3.57 | Corners | 4.97 |
| 46.3% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Bari have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Virtus Entella. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bari expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Virtus Entella in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Virtus Entella having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Bari approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 34 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 10 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 33:58 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Moncini (9 goals), E. Rao (6 goals), C. Gytkjaer (3 goals), with creative support from M. Dorval (6 assists), L. Dickmann (3 assists), G. Moncini (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Virtus Entella approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 39 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 12 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 34:48 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Andrea Tiritiello (7 goals), A. Franzoni (6 goals), L. Cuppone (5 goals), with creative support from N. Karic (4 assists), B. Guiu (4 assists), Tommaso Fumagalli (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Bari won 2 times, Virtus Entella won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Bari's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Bari
5
5
0
8
0
3
Lineups
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Catanzaro
Bari
Avellino
Bari
Venezia
Bari
Monza
Bari
Modena
Bari
Carrarese
Bari
Frosinone
Bari
Reggiana
Bari
Pescara
Bari
Empoli
Bari
Sampdoria
Bari
Padova
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Spezia
Bari
Mantova
Bari
Palermo
Bari
Cesena
Bari
Juve Stabia
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
Virtus Entella
Padova
Virtus Entella
Empoli
Virtus Entella
Venezia
Virtus Entella
Mantova
Virtus Entella
Reggiana
Virtus Entella
Pescara
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Virtus Entella
Sudtirol
Virtus Entella
Modena
Virtus Entella
Monza
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
Palermo
Virtus Entella
Cesena
Virtus Entella
Spezia
Virtus Entella
Frosinone
Virtus Entella
Juve Stabia
Virtus Entella
Sampdoria
Virtus Entella
Monza
Virtus Entella
Venezia
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Venezia
Bari
Modena
Bari
Carrarese
Bari
Reggiana
Bari
Empoli
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Spezia
Bari
Palermo
Bari
Juve Stabia
Bari
Avellino
Bari
Catanzaro
Bari
Pescara
Bari
Frosinone
Bari
Cesena
Bari
Mantova
Bari
Padova
Bari
Sampdoria
Bari
Monza
Virtus Entella
Empoli
Virtus Entella
Mantova
Virtus Entella
Pescara
Virtus Entella
Sudtirol
Virtus Entella
Monza
Virtus Entella
Palermo
Virtus Entella
Spezia
Virtus Entella
Juve Stabia
Virtus Entella
Sampdoria
Virtus Entella
Venezia
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
Reggiana
Virtus Entella
Frosinone
Virtus Entella
Modena
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Virtus Entella
Padova
Virtus Entella
Cesena
Virtus Entella
Cagliari