ITALY SERIE B
18.04.2026 13:00
Stadio San Nicola
Referee: F. Dionisi
Bari
Match Timeline
Venezia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
R. Haps
Venezia
🟨
43'
Emanuele Rao
Bari
45'
R. Haps · Assist: M. Sverko
Venezia
🔄
46'
A. Cistana ↔ G. Stabile
Bari
52'
A. Adorante
Venezia
🔄
64'
A. Adorante ↔ L. Lauberbach
Venezia
🔄
64'
A. Hainaut ↔ R. Sagrado
Venezia
🔄
66'
G. Moncini ↔ C. Gytkjaer
Bari
🔄
66'
D. Traore ↔ G. De Pieri
Bari
🔄
66'
G. Maggiore ↔ R. Pagano
Bari
🔄
72'
E. Rao ↔ M. Cuni
Bari
🔄
76'
I. Doumbia ↔ N. Lella
Venezia
🔄
76'
K. Perez ↔ M. Dagasso
Venezia
🔄
85'
G. Busio ↔ A. Duncan
Venezia

Bari vs Venezia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
77.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Bari Win 28.9%
Draw 7.6%
Venezia Win 63.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bari0.93
Venezia1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bari Bari
WWDLW
33 GF / 55 GA
Venezia Venezia
WLDWL
73 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.97
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
19
BTTS Yes
21
18
Over 2.5
22
3.06
Shots on Goal
5.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bari Bari 35 matches
Venezia Venezia 37 matches
Bari Statistic Venezia
8 Wins 22
10 Draws 10
17 Losses 5
33 Goals For 73
55 Goals Against 34
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.97
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
19 BTTS Yes 21
28 Over 1.5 32
18 Over 2.5 22
7 Over 3.5 13
6 Clean Sheets 15
13 Failed To Score 5
3.06 Shots On Goal 5.76
10.49 Total Shots 16.81
3.54 Corners 4.51
47% Ball Possession 62.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Venezia's more proactive style and Bari's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Venezia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 72 points while Bari sit 17 on 34, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bari expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Venezia in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Venezia having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Venezia. Bari have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Bari Analysis

Bari approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 34 points from 34 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats with a 33:53 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on G. Moncini (9 goals), E. Rao (6 goals), C. Gytkjaer (3 goals), with creative support from M. Dorval (6 assists), L. Dickmann (3 assists), G. Moncini (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Venezia Analysis

Venezia come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 72 points from 34 matches. The record of 21 wins, 9 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 68:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Adorante (15 goals), John Yeboah (9 goals), Gianluca Busio (7 goals), with creative support from John Yeboah (8 assists), Kike Pérez (7 assists), A. Hainaut (5 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Bari won 2 times, Venezia won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:17 from Bari's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Bari 3-4-2-1 / Venezia 3-5-2
H2H summary: Bari wins 2, draws 0, Venezia wins 6

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17
Bari Home
38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation