Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
63.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
77.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- |
Bari
Venezia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bari
35 matches
Venezia
37 matches
| Bari | Statistic | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 22 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 17 | Losses | 5 |
| 33 | Goals For | 73 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.97 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.06 | Shots On Goal | 5.76 |
| 10.49 | Total Shots | 16.81 |
| 3.54 | Corners | 4.51 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 62.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Venezia's more proactive style and Bari's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Venezia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 72 points while Bari sit 17 on 34, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bari expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Venezia in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Venezia having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Venezia. Bari have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Bari approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 34 points from 34 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats with a 33:53 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on G. Moncini (9 goals), E. Rao (6 goals), C. Gytkjaer (3 goals), with creative support from M. Dorval (6 assists), L. Dickmann (3 assists), G. Moncini (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Venezia come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 72 points from 34 matches. The record of 21 wins, 9 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 68:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Adorante (15 goals), John Yeboah (9 goals), Gianluca Busio (7 goals), with creative support from John Yeboah (8 assists), Kike Pérez (7 assists), A. Hainaut (5 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Bari won 2 times, Venezia won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:17 from Bari's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.
Bari
2
7
3
8
1
2
Lineups
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Catanzaro
Bari
Virtus Entella
Bari
Avellino
Bari
Monza
Bari
Modena
Bari
Carrarese
Bari
Frosinone
Bari
Reggiana
Bari
Pescara
Bari
Empoli
Bari
Sampdoria
Bari
Padova
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Spezia
Bari
Mantova
Bari
Palermo
Bari
Cesena
Bari
Juve Stabia
Venezia
Palermo
Venezia
Spezia
Venezia
Empoli
Venezia
Virtus Entella
Venezia
Juve Stabia
Venezia
Monza
Venezia
Padova
Venezia
Sampdoria
Venezia
Reggiana
Venezia
Avellino
Venezia
Sudtirol
Venezia
Pescara
Venezia
Cesena
Venezia
Modena
Venezia
Frosinone
Venezia
Carrarese
Venezia
Mantova
Venezia
Catanzaro
Venezia
Reggiana
Venezia
Virtus Entella
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Virtus Entella
Bari
Modena
Bari
Carrarese
Bari
Reggiana
Bari
Empoli
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Spezia
Bari
Palermo
Bari
Juve Stabia
Bari
Avellino
Bari
Catanzaro
Bari
Pescara
Bari
Frosinone
Bari
Cesena
Bari
Mantova
Bari
Padova
Bari
Sampdoria
Bari
Monza
Venezia
Spezia
Venezia
Virtus Entella
Venezia
Monza
Venezia
Sampdoria
Venezia
Sudtirol
Venezia
Cesena
Venezia
Frosinone
Venezia
Mantova
Venezia
Reggiana
Venezia
Modena
Venezia
Avellino
Venezia
Inter
Venezia
Padova
Venezia
Catanzaro
Venezia
Carrarese
Venezia
Empoli
Venezia
Palermo
Venezia
Hellas Verona
Venezia
Pescara
Venezia
Juve Stabia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Venezia
Away
|
38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
Bari
Home
|
38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|