ITALY › SERIE B
30.01.2026 19:30
Stadio San Nicola
Referee: A. Rapuano
Bari
Match Timeline
Palermo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Raffaele Pucino
Bari
🟨
32'
Giacomo Stabile
Bari
🟨
38'
Antonio Palumbo
Palermo
🔄
45+1'
E. Rao ↔ L. Dickmann
Bari
⚽
57'
J. Le Douaron · Assist: P. Ceccaroni
Palermo
🔄
63'
M. Mane ↔ N. Cavuoti
Bari
🔄
63'
G. De Pieri ↔ M. Cuni
Bari
🟨
65'
Lorenzo Dickmann
Bari
🟨
65'
Jérémy Le Douaron
Palermo
⚽
67'
J. Pohjanpalo · Assist: A. Palumbo
Palermo
🔄
70'
J. Le Douaron ↔ E. Gyasi
Palermo
🟨
71'
Niccolò Pierozzi
Palermo
🔄
74'
A. Palumbo ↔ C. Gomes
Palermo
🔄
74'
N. Pierozzi ↔ B. Bereszynski
Palermo
🔄
74'
J. Pohjanpalo ↔ G. Corona
Palermo
🔄
76'
G. Moncini ↔ C. Gytkjaer
Bari
🔄
76'
M. Braunoder ↔ T. Esteves
Bari
⚽
82'
F. Ranocchia
Palermo
🔄
84'
M. Bani ↔ A. Vasic
Palermo
🟨
88'
Bartosz Bereszyński
Palermo

Bari vs Palermo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bari Win 0%
Draw 0%
Palermo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bari0.77
Palermo1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bari Bari
WWDLW
18 GF / 33 GA
Palermo Palermo
WLDWL
31 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
12
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
8
2.68
Shots on Goal
4.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bari Bari 22 matches
Palermo Palermo 23 matches
Bari Statistic Palermo
4 Wins 10
8 Draws 9
10 Losses 4
18 Goals For 31
33 Goals Against 16
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
12 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 7
2.68 Shots On Goal 4.26
10.09 Total Shots 13.65
3.55 Corners 5.17
48.6% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bari won 1 times, Palermo won 8 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:22 from Bari's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bari 3-4-2-1 / Palermo 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Bari wins 1, draws 6, Palermo wins 8

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17
Bari Home
38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation