Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Barcelona Win 0%
Draw 0%
Real Madrid Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barcelona2.54
Real Madrid1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barcelona
WWDLW
50 GF / 15 GA
Real Madrid
WLDWL
32 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
3.57
Average Goals Scored
2.46
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
11
8.38
Shots on Goal
7.63
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Barcelona
14 matches
Real Madrid
13 matches
| Barcelona | Statistic | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 10 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 50 | Goals For | 32 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 3.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.46 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 8.38 | Shots On Goal | 7.63 |
| 21.75 | Total Shots | 18.5 |
| 7 | Corners | 6.5 |
| 68.9% | Ball Possession | 50.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona won 10 times, Real Madrid won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:26 from Barcelona's perspective. 14 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 4.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Barcelona 4-3-3 / Real Madrid 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Barcelona wins 10, draws 0, Real Madrid wins 5
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
Home
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 24 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Real Madrid
Away
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 15 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 11 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
ECL Playoffs
Relegation