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SPAIN › LA LIGA
10.10.2026 16:30
Camp Nou
Referee: J. Manzano
Barcelona
Match Timeline
Getafe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
A. Gordon
Barcelona
⚽
30'
Gabriel Jesus
Barcelona
🟨
34'
Kiko Femenía
Getafe
🔄
37'
Z. Romero ↔ A. Abqar
Getafe
🟨
45+2'
Johan Mojica
Getafe
🟨
46'
Dani Olmo
Barcelona
🔄
61'
D. Olmo ↔ Pedri
Barcelona
🔄
61'
Gavi ↔ Fermin
Barcelona
🔄
65'
J. Mojica ↔ Davinchi
Getafe
🔄
65'
A. Garcia ↔ S. Boselli
Getafe
🔄
65'
I. Azon ↔ M. Satriano
Getafe
🟨
71'
Sebastián Boselli
Getafe
🔄
71'
Rodri ↔ M. Bernal
Barcelona
🔄
71'
A. Gordon ↔ K. Adeyemi
Barcelona
⚽
73'
J. Kounde · Assist: Lamine Yamal
Barcelona
🟨
75'
Ramón Terrats
Getafe
🔄
82'
Gabriel Jesus ↔ H. Abdelkarim
Barcelona
🔄
85'
Kiko Femenia ↔ S. Sazonov
Getafe
🟨
90+1'
Fermín López
Barcelona

Barcelona vs Getafe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.09
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.28
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.09 ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
2.25 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.28 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.67 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.36 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Barcelona Win 88%
Draw 5.6%
Getafe Win 6.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barcelona2.59
Getafe0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barcelona Barcelona
WWDLW
50 GF / 15 GA
Getafe Getafe
WLDWL
13 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
3.57
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
9
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
5
8.38
Shots on Goal
3.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barcelona Barcelona 14 matches
Getafe Getafe 15 matches
Barcelona Statistic Getafe
12 Wins 5
1 Draws 4
1 Losses 6
50 Goals For 13
15 Goals Against 17
3.57 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
9 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 8
11 Over 2.5 5
10 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 5
8.38 Shots On Goal 3.11
21.75 Total Shots 11.44
7 Corners 4
68.9% Ball Possession 42.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Barcelona's more proactive style and Getafe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barcelona expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Getafe in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Getafe having the stronger overall control. Barcelona arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 21 points compared to Getafe in 11 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Getafe. Barcelona come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Barcelona Analysis

Barcelona approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 21 points after 7 outings. They have recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a 31:7 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Raphinha (10 goals), Lamine Yamal (7 goals), Fermín (2 goals), with creative support from Lamine Yamal (4 assists), Dani Olmo (3 assists), Raphinha (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Getafe Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Getafe have collected 8 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 4:7 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Satriano (1 goals), Iván Azón (1 goals), E. Ünal (1 goals), with creative support from M. Satriano (1 assists), Iván Azón (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona won 10 times, Getafe won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:6 from Barcelona's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Barcelona 4-3-3 / Getafe 4-5-1
Missing players: Barcelona 4, Getafe 2
H2H summary: Barcelona wins 10, draws 4, Getafe wins 1

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 34:7 27 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
W W W W L
3 8 6 1 1 14:9 5 19
W D W W W
4 8 6 0 2 19:8 11 18
W L W W L
5 8 4 2 2 13:12 1 14
D L W W D
6 8 4 1 3 12:15 -3 13
W W L W D
7 8 3 2 3 12:8 4 11
L D L L W
8 8 2 4 2 12:11 1 10
L D L D W
9 8 1 5 2 8:6 2 8
D W D D D
10 6 2 2 2 7:6 1 8
D D W W
11 8 2 2 4 13:13 0 8
L W W L L
12 8 2 2 4 11:11 0 8
D L L W D
13 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W
14 8 2 2 4 4:10 -6 8
L W L D D
15 8 2 2 4 13:23 -10 8
D L L W L
16 8 2 2 4 8:18 -10 8
L D L L L
17 7 1 3 3 11:15 -4 6
D L L D W
18 8 1 3 4 11:17 -6 6
D W L D L
19 8 1 2 5 6:15 -9 5
D L W L L
20 8 0 4 4 4:13 -9 4
D L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2