SPAIN COPA DEL REY
03.03.2026 20:00
Camp Nou
Referee: R. De Burgos
Barcelona
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
J. Kounde ↔ A. Balde
Barcelona
29'
M. Bernal · Assist: Lamine Yamal
Barcelona
45'
Raphinha
Barcelona
🔄
58'
A. Lookman ↔ N. Molina
Atletico Madrid
🔄
58'
Koke ↔ A. Sorloth
Atletico Madrid
🔄
64'
F. Torres ↔ M. Rashford
Barcelona
🔄
64'
Fermín ↔ D. Olmo
Barcelona
🟨
66'
Dani Olmo
Barcelona
🟨
67'
João Cancelo
Barcelona
🔄
69'
J. Alvarez ↔ A. Baena
Atletico Madrid
🔄
71'
↔ R. Araujo
Barcelona
72'
M. Bernal · Assist: J. Cancelo
Barcelona
🔄
76'
G. Simeone ↔ J. M. Gimenez
Atletico Madrid
🟨
90+3'
Lamine Yamal
Barcelona
🟨
90+5'
Alejandro Baena
Atletico Madrid

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Barcelona Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico Madrid Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barcelona2.01
Atletico Madrid1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barcelona Barcelona
WWDLW
99 GF / 45 GA
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
80 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
2.61
Average Goals Scored
2
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
24
BTTS Yes
22
32
Over 2.5
23
7.26
Shots on Goal
5.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barcelona Barcelona 38 matches
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 40 matches
Barcelona Statistic Atletico Madrid
29 Wins 24
2 Draws 8
7 Losses 8
99 Goals For 80
45 Goals Against 44
2.61 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
24 BTTS Yes 22
38 Over 1.5 32
32 Over 2.5 23
17 Over 3.5 15
12 Clean Sheets 14
2 Failed To Score 5
7.26 Shots On Goal 5.6
19.58 Total Shots 13.63
7 Corners 6.53
68.7% Ball Possession 53.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona won 11 times, Atletico Madrid won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:19 from Barcelona's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Barcelona 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
H2H summary: Barcelona wins 11, draws 1, Atletico Madrid wins 3