ECUADOR LIGA PRO
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Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.9%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Barcelona SC Win 63.9%
Draw 4.1%
Guayaquil City FC Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barcelona SC1.04
Guayaquil City FC0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
WWDLW
30 GF / 31 GA
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
WLDWL
19 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
0.9
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
12
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
8
3.58
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 32 matches
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 21 matches
Barcelona SC Statistic Guayaquil City FC
13 Wins 7
8 Draws 4
11 Losses 10
30 Goals For 19
31 Goals Against 25
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
12 BTTS Yes 9
18 Over 1.5 10
11 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 4
12 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 8
3.58 Shots On Goal 3
12.31 Total Shots 7.82
3.81 Corners 2.65
48.3% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Barcelona SC's more proactive style and Guayaquil City FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Guayaquil City FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barcelona SC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Guayaquil City FC in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Guayaquil City FC having the stronger overall control. Barcelona SC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 29 points compared to Guayaquil City FC in 13 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guayaquil City FC.

Barcelona SC Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 29 points from 17 games, Barcelona SC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 20:13, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Darío Benedetto (4 goals), Milton Celiz (2 goals), Jhonny Quiñónez (2 goals), with creative support from Darío Benedetto (1 assists), Milton Celiz (1 assists), Jhonny Quiñónez (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

Guayaquil City FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 19 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 14:19 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Edinson Mero (6 goals), Damián Díaz (4 goals), Pablo González (2 goals), with creative support from Junior Ayovi (4 assists), Santiago Laurino (2 assists), Edinson Mero (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona SC won 10 times, Guayaquil City FC won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:12 from Barcelona SC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Barcelona SC 4-2-3-1 / Guayaquil City FC 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Barcelona SC wins 10, draws 2, Guayaquil City FC wins 3
Last matches: Barcelona SC
12.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Emelec
0
0
D
05.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
02.06.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
29.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
4
L
24.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
22.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
0
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Aucas
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
06.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Macara
1
3
L
15.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
08.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
19.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Libertad
0
0
D
Last matches: Guayaquil City FC
11.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
08.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
0
1
L
31.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
2
4
L
23.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
19.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Orense SC
0
1
L
09.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
21.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
1
4
L
23.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
0
0
D
18.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
05.02.26
Fri
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
H2H: Barcelona SC vs Guayaquil City FC
15.03.26
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
05.02.26
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
1
2
W
01.02.26
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
26.11.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
11.06.23
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
1
2
W
09.02.23
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
3
2
L
02.10.22
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
09.05.22
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
1
4
W
08.08.21
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
07.03.21
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
0
3
W
05.02.21
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
0
1
W
10.12.20
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
W
27.08.20
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
2
1
L
28.09.19
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
0
2
W
05.05.19
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Barcelona SC
05.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Aucas
3
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
08.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Emelec
1
0
W
04.03.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
19.02.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fri
Barcelona SC
Aucas
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Barcelona SC
Inter Miami
2
2
D
01.02.26
Fri
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
H2H at home: Barcelona SC
01.02.26
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
26.11.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
02.10.22
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
08.08.21
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
10.12.20
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
W
05.05.19
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Guayaquil City FC
08.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
0
1
L
23.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
02.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
21.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
3
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
1
4
L
18.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
01.02.26
Fri
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
H2H away: Guayaquil City FC
01.02.26
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
W
26.11.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
L
02.10.22
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
08.08.21
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
L
10.12.20
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
L
05.05.19
H2H
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
L

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 14 1 3 40:19 21 43
W W W L W
2 18 9 5 4 21:16 5 32
W W D W L
3 18 8 6 4 20:13 7 30
D W L W W
4 18 8 4 6 19:14 5 28
D L W D W
5 18 8 3 7 18:20 -2 27
L L W D W
6 18 7 5 6 28:18 10 26
L L L W D
7 18 7 5 6 18:18 0 26
W W D L L
8 18 7 2 9 19:19 0 23
L W W W L
9 18 6 5 7 19:19 0 23
W W D L W
10 18 6 5 7 22:24 -2 23
D L L L W
11 18 6 4 8 16:21 -5 22
W L L D L
12 18 6 6 6 14:17 -3 21
D D W W D
13 18 5 6 7 23:27 -4 21
L W D D L
14 18 4 6 8 17:25 -8 18
D L L W L
15 18 4 5 9 10:18 -8 17
L D L L D
16 18 3 4 11 7:23 -16 13
D L W L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs