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16.07.2026 00:30
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Referee: G. Guerrero
Barcelona SC
Match Timeline
Guayaquil City FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
M. Lugo
Barcelona SC
🟨
45'
S. Laurino
Guayaquil City FC
⚽
63'
E. Mero · Assist: D. Diaz
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
64'
H. Villalba ↔ E. Mendoza
Barcelona SC
🔄
65'
J. Wila ↔ S. Diaz
Barcelona SC
🔄
67'
G. Vallecilla ↔ B. Carabali
Barcelona SC
🔄
67'
B. Castillo ↔ J. Perlaza
Barcelona SC
🟨
68'
R. Arias
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
75'
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz ↔ M. Mejia
Barcelona SC
🟨
78'
J. Baez
Barcelona SC
🔄
83'
E. Mero ↔ D. Dorregaray
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
88'
M. Bolanos ↔ A. Naula
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
90+5'
A. Naula
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
90+9'
D. Benedetto
Barcelona SC
🔄
90+4'
S. Laurino ↔ E. Cabezas
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
90+4'
R. Arias ↔ J. Ordonez
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
90+4'
P. Gonzalez ↔ K. Sambonino
Guayaquil City FC
⚽
90'
D. Benedetto
Barcelona SC

Barcelona SC vs Guayaquil City FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 59.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 54.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
59.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
54.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
83.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Barcelona SC Win 58.2%
Draw 8%
Guayaquil City FC Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barcelona SC1.04
Guayaquil City FC0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
D W L L W
4 GF / 6 GA
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
W L L D L
6 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
0.9
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
12
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
8
3.54
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 32 matches
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 21 matches
Barcelona SC Statistic Guayaquil City FC
13 Wins 7
8 Draws 4
11 Losses 10
30 Goals For 19
31 Goals Against 25
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
12 BTTS Yes 9
18 Over 1.5 10
11 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 4
12 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 8
3.54 Shots On Goal 3
12.43 Total Shots 8.11
3.75 Corners 2.83
48.1% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Barcelona SC's more proactive style and Guayaquil City FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Barcelona SC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 30 points compared to Guayaquil City FC in 11 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Guayaquil City FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guayaquil City FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barcelona SC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Guayaquil City FC in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Guayaquil City FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Barcelona SC Analysis

Barcelona SC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 30 points after 18 outings. The return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 20:13, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Darío Benedetto (4 goals), Milton Celiz (2 goals), Jhonny Quiñónez (2 goals), with creative support from Darío Benedetto (1 assists), Milton Celiz (1 assists), Jhonny Quiñónez (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

Guayaquil City FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 22 points from 18 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 16:21, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Edinson Mero (6 goals), Damián Díaz (4 goals), Pablo González (2 goals), with creative support from Junior Ayovi (4 assists), Santiago Laurino (2 assists), Edinson Mero (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona SC won 9 times, Guayaquil City FC won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:13 from Barcelona SC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
Predicted formations: Barcelona SC 4-2-3-1 / Guayaquil City FC 3-4-3
H2H summary: Barcelona SC wins 9, draws 3, Guayaquil City FC wins 3

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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