ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Referee: Anthony Diaz, Ecuador
Barcelona SC
Match Timeline
Aucas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
17'
Bryan Carabalí
Barcelona SC
20'
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
Barcelona SC
🟨
22'
Alex Zova
Aucas
🟨
40'
Luis Cano
Barcelona SC
🟨
42'
Andres Mena
Aucas
🔄
46'
L. Cano ↔ M. Mejia
Barcelona SC
🟨
64'
Matias Lugo
Barcelona SC
🔄
69'
D. Benedetto ↔ S. Nunez
Barcelona SC
🔄
73'
A. Zova ↔ S. Porozo
Aucas
🔄
76'
J. Wila ↔ T. Martinez
Barcelona SC
🔄
77'
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz ↔ C. Montano
Barcelona SC
79'
S. Nunez · Assist: C. Montano
Barcelona SC
🔄
81'
P. Guzman ↔ L. Arroyo
Aucas
🔄
85'
J. Perlaza ↔ J. Mina
Barcelona SC
90'
M. Celiz · Assist: T. Martinez
Barcelona SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.8%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Barcelona SC Win 43.1%
Draw 20.1%
Aucas Win 36.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barcelona SC0.9
Aucas1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
WWDLW
23 GF / 23 GA
Aucas Aucas
WLDWL
17 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.13
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
11
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
4
3.76
Shots on Goal
5.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 25 matches
Aucas Aucas 15 matches
Barcelona SC Statistic Aucas
10 Wins 7
7 Draws 4
8 Losses 4
23 Goals For 17
23 Goals Against 13
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
11 BTTS Yes 6
13 Over 1.5 7
8 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 4
3.76 Shots On Goal 5.23
11.9 Total Shots 14.69
3.81 Corners 5.77
48.2% Ball Possession 58.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barcelona SC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Aucas in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aucas having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aucas. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Barcelona SC Analysis

Placed 4 with 20 points from 13 outings, Barcelona SC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:11 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Benedetto (5 goals), J. R. Quinonez Ruiz (2 goals), Jandry Gomez (2 goals), with creative support from D. Benedetto (2 assists), J. R. Quinonez Ruiz (1 assists), Jandry Gomez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Aucas Analysis

Aucas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 22 points after 13 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a 16:12 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. Miranda (6 goals), A. Mena (3 goals), R. Quinonez (3 goals), with creative support from Santiago Morales (2 assists), A. Mena (1 assists), Piero Guzmán (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona SC won 4 times, Aucas won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:17 from Barcelona SC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
Predicted formations: Barcelona SC 4-4-2 / Aucas 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Barcelona SC wins 4, draws 4, Aucas wins 7

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 22 2 3 66:28 38 68
D W W W W
2
Aucas Away
27 14 5 8 31:26 5 47
W W L W W
3 27 13 6 8 35:27 8 45
W L D W W
4 27 12 8 7 47:25 22 44
D W D L W
5 27 12 5 10 27:22 5 41
L W W L W
6 27 10 9 8 28:22 6 39
L W D L D
7 27 10 7 10 29:30 -1 37
L W D W W
8 27 9 9 9 33:34 -1 36
W D D W W
9 27 9 9 9 27:30 -3 36
W W D D L
10 27 9 8 10 29:30 -1 35
L L W L D
11 27 9 8 10 23:32 -9 32
W L W D L
12 27 9 5 13 23:35 -12 32
L D L L L
13 27 8 6 13 31:41 -10 30
L L W D L
14 27 9 2 16 26:38 -12 29
W L L L L
15 27 6 6 15 17:29 -12 24
L L L D L
16 27 5 5 17 14:37 -23 20
W L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs