NIGERIA NPFL
--.--.---- --:--
Sani Abacha Stadium
Barau FC
Match Timeline
Nasarawa United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
43'
J. Atule
Barau FC
🔄
47'
I. Nura ↔ H. Ezeonye
Barau FC
77'
S. Anthony
Barau FC
🔄
80'
O. K. Okagube ↔ M. Tsehuan
Barau FC
🔄
80'
H. Ekawu ↔ C. Nkwocha Flavian
Barau FC
🔄
80'
J. Atule ↔ A. Hussain
Barau FC
84'
A. Hussain
Barau FC
🔄
86'
U. Maidubuji ↔ E. Okoko
Barau FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 90.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
90.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Barau FC Win 90.3%
Draw 0%
Nasarawa United Win 9.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barau FC0.84
Nasarawa United0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barau FC Barau FC
WWDLW
31 GF / 30 GA
Nasarawa United Nasarawa United
WLDWL
37 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.84
Average Goals Scored
1
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
11
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barau FC Barau FC 37 matches
Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 37 matches
Barau FC Statistic Nasarawa United
12 Wins 16
13 Draws 8
12 Losses 13
31 Goals For 37
30 Goals Against 31
0.84 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
11 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 19
9 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 2
15 Clean Sheets 13
21 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nasarawa United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Nasarawa United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nasarawa United.

Barau FC Analysis

From their first 37 matches, Barau FC have collected 49 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 13 draws, and 12 losses, while the 31:30 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Umar (5 goals), J. Atule (4 goals), Y. Ibrahim (4 goals), with creative support from I. Nura (2 assists), M. Umar (1 assists), Y. Ibrahim (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Nasarawa United Analysis

Nasarawa United sit 5 with 56 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 16 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 37:31, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Yusuf (7 goals), J. Istifanus (6 goals), H. Alakija (3 goals), with creative support from A. Yusuf (1 assists), J. John (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Barau FC won 1 times, Nasarawa United won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:0 from Barau FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Barau FC wins 1, draws 1, Nasarawa United wins 0

Lineups

Barau FC
Formation
Nasarawa United
C. Chiaha
C. Chiaha
J. Ambrose
J. Ambrose
B. Duah
B. Duah
I. Nura
I. Nura
O. K. Okagube
O. K. Okagube
H. Ekawu
H. Ekawu
U. Maidubuji
U. Maidubuji
S. Anthony
S. Anthony
A. Sugau
A. Sugau
J. Atule
J. Atule
M. Umar
M. Umar
C. Olughu
C. Olughu
A. Abdullahi
A. Abdullahi
H. Mubarak
H. Mubarak
B. Amadi
B. Amadi
O. Adekunle
O. Adekunle
E. Utaka
E. Utaka
S. Mancha
S. Mancha
P. Samuel
P. Samuel
L. Ugochukwu
L. Ugochukwu
C. Nduka
C. Nduka
S. V. Chimezie
S. V. Chimezie
Barau FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
C. Chiaha
35
J. Ambrose
3
B. Duah
33
I. Nura
↓ 47'
2
O. K. Okagube
↓ 80'
25
H. Ekawu
↓ 80'
8
U. Maidubuji
↓ 86'
11
S. Anthony
⚽ 77'
22
A. Sugau
7
J. Atule
⚽ 43' ↓ 80'
12
M. Umar
Substitutes
24
E. Nwabulu
5
M. Tsehuan
↑ 80'
14
E. Okoko
↑ 86'
4
E. Nwokorie
27
C. Nkwocha Flavian
↑ 80'
26
S. Chukwudi Oganbor
19
H. Ezeonye
↑ 47'
29
U. Moses
39
A. Hussain
⚽ 84' ↑ 80'
Nasarawa United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
C. Olughu
6
A. Abdullahi
3
H. Mubarak
21
B. Amadi
5
O. Adekunle
28
E. Utaka
20
S. Mancha
10
P. Samuel
17
L. Ugochukwu
4
C. Nduka
29
S. V. Chimezie
Substitutes
38
J. Oladeji
12
A. Nwadioha
37
D. Suleiman
18
I. Ikemdinachi
15
M. Hassan
24
J. Victor Ekioke
22
H. Alakija
23
J. Istifanus
30
J. John
Last matches: Barau FC
10.05.26
NPF
Barau FC
Shooting Stars
0
1
L
03.05.26
NPF
Barau FC
El Kanemi Warriors
3
0
W
19.04.26
NPF
Barau FC
Kwara United
1
2
L
12.04.26
NPF
Barau FC
Remo Stars
2
1
W
05.04.26
NPF
Barau FC
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
29.03.26
NPF
Barau FC
Katsina United
0
0
D
21.03.26
NPF
Barau FC
Wikki Tourist
0
0
D
15.03.26
NPF
Barau FC
Abia Warriors
2
0
W
08.03.26
NPF
Barau FC
Kano Pillars
0
1
L
02.03.26
NPF
Barau FC
Plateau United
2
1
W
25.02.26
NPF
Barau FC
Rivers United
0
1
L
21.02.26
NPF
Barau FC
Warri Wolves
0
0
D
14.02.26
NPF
Barau FC
Kun Khalifat FC
1
0
W
02.02.26
NPF
Barau FC
Ikorodu City
1
0
W
29.01.26
NPF
Barau FC
Bendel Insurance
0
0
D
25.01.26
NPF
Barau FC
Bayelsa United
1
1
D
18.01.26
NPF
Barau FC
Enyimba
0
0
D
14.01.26
NPF
Barau FC
Niger Tornadoes
2
1
W
28.12.25
NPF
Barau FC
Niger Tornadoes
0
2
L
23.12.25
NPF
Barau FC
Nasarawa United
0
0
D
Last matches: Nasarawa United
10.05.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Plateau United
1
0
W
03.05.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Shooting Stars
2
3
L
19.04.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
3
0
W
14.04.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
El Kanemi Warriors
0
1
L
05.04.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Kun Khalifat FC
0
1
L
28.03.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Kwara United
0
1
L
23.03.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Rivers United
4
1
W
15.03.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Remo Stars
1
2
L
08.03.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Ikorodu City
1
0
W
01.03.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Enugu Rangers
0
2
L
22.02.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Bendel Insurance
1
0
W
15.02.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Katsina United
0
1
L
08.02.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Bayelsa United
1
1
D
01.02.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Wikki Tourist
1
1
D
28.01.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Enyimba
1
1
D
25.01.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Abia Warriors
2
1
W
18.01.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Niger Tornadoes
2
1
W
14.01.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Kano Pillars
0
1
L
28.12.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Kano Pillars
0
3
L
23.12.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Barau FC
0
0
D
H2H: Barau FC vs Nasarawa United
24.05.26
H2H
Barau FC
Nasarawa United
3
0
W
23.12.25
H2H
Nasarawa United
Barau FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Barau FC
03.05.26
NPF
Barau FC
El Kanemi Warriors
3
0
W
12.04.26
NPF
Barau FC
Remo Stars
2
1
W
29.03.26
NPF
Barau FC
Katsina United
0
0
D
15.03.26
NPF
Barau FC
Abia Warriors
2
0
W
02.03.26
NPF
Barau FC
Plateau United
2
1
W
14.02.26
NPF
Barau FC
Kun Khalifat FC
1
0
W
02.02.26
NPF
Barau FC
Ikorodu City
1
0
W
25.01.26
NPF
Barau FC
Bayelsa United
1
1
D
14.01.26
NPF
Barau FC
Niger Tornadoes
2
1
W
19.12.25
NPF
Barau FC
Rivers United
4
1
W
14.12.25
NPF
Barau FC
Shooting Stars
0
1
L
30.11.25
NPF
Barau FC
Kwara United
3
2
W
17.11.25
NPF
Barau FC
Enugu Rangers
2
0
W
02.11.25
NPF
Barau FC
Wikki Tourist
0
0
D
19.10.25
NPF
Barau FC
Kano Pillars
2
1
W
05.10.25
NPF
Barau FC
Warri Wolves
0
1
L
07.09.25
NPF
Barau FC
Bendel Insurance
1
1
D
24.08.25
NPF
Barau FC
Enyimba
0
0
D
H2H at home: Barau FC
24.05.26
H2H
Barau FC
Nasarawa United
3
0
W
Last matches: Nasarawa United
03.05.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Shooting Stars
2
3
L
14.04.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
El Kanemi Warriors
0
1
L
28.03.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Kwara United
0
1
L
15.03.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Remo Stars
1
2
L
01.03.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Enugu Rangers
0
2
L
15.02.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Katsina United
0
1
L
01.02.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Wikki Tourist
1
1
D
25.01.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Abia Warriors
2
1
W
28.12.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Kano Pillars
0
3
L
14.12.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Plateau United
0
0
D
30.11.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
0
1
L
16.11.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Kun Khalifat FC
1
1
D
02.11.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Rivers United
0
1
L
19.10.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Ikorodu City
0
2
L
04.10.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Bendel Insurance
1
0
W
21.09.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Bayelsa United
2
1
W
07.09.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Enyimba
0
0
D
27.08.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Niger Tornadoes
0
1
L
H2H away: Nasarawa United
24.05.26
H2H
Barau FC
Nasarawa United
3
0
L