BELARUS PREMIER LEAGUE
06.09.2026 14:00
Lokomotiv Stadium

Baranovichi vs FC Dnepr Mogilev Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Baranovichi Win 75%
Draw 8.9%
FC Dnepr Mogilev Win 16.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Baranovichi1.29
FC Dnepr Mogilev1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Baranovichi Baranovichi
WWDLW
31 GF / 44 GA
FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev
WLDWL
28 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
15
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Baranovichi Baranovichi 28 matches
FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev 29 matches
Baranovichi Statistic FC Dnepr Mogilev
6 Wins 4
9 Draws 11
13 Losses 14
31 Goals For 28
44 Goals Against 45
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
15 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Dnepr Mogilev having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Dnepr Mogilev.

Baranovichi Analysis

So far, Baranovichi have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 21 points from 20 matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 22:35 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Dnepr Mogilev Analysis

With 15 points from 20 games and a place of 14, FC Dnepr Mogilev still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 16:29, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 11 5 1 35:14 21 38
W D W W W
2 18 11 5 2 31:14 17 38
D W W W W
3 17 11 3 3 30:14 16 36
L L W W D
4 20 9 6 5 28:15 13 33
W D W L L
5 20 9 5 6 21:17 4 32
W W L W W
6 20 9 4 7 32:21 11 31
L D L W W
7 19 9 3 7 21:17 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 8 4 8 26:26 0 28
L L L W W
9 19 7 6 6 27:20 7 27
W D L L L
10 19 5 7 7 20:24 -4 22
L D W W L
11 20 5 6 9 22:35 -13 21
W D L D L
12 20 5 6 9 22:35 -13 21
L L L L L
13 18 3 8 7 14:20 -6 17
W D W D L
14 20 2 9 9 16:29 -13 15
D D D L D
15 18 4 3 11 16:32 -16 15
L W D L D
16 19 2 4 13 16:44 -28 10
L L L W D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga