UNITED-ARAB-EMIRATES PRO LEAGUE
05.05.2026 16:45
Baniyas Stadium
Referee: A. Al Naqbi
Baniyas SC
Match Timeline
Al-Dhafra
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
K. El Berkaoui · Assist: A. Al Karbi
Al-Dhafra
36'
Y. Niakate · Assist: S. Al Noobi
Baniyas SC
🟨
39'
Mahamadou Camara
Baniyas SC
🔄
46'
M. Al Harbi ↔ Z. Mohammed
Al-Dhafra
56'
K. El Berkaoui
Al-Dhafra
🔄
67'
F. Awana ↔ K. Mubarak
Baniyas SC
🔄
67'
G. Saviour ↔ N. Chadli
Baniyas SC
🔄
67'
I. Bayesh ↔ Marcelinho
Al-Dhafra
🔄
78'
Joao Victor ↔ M. Hunt
Baniyas SC
🔄
78'
A. Koroma ↔ L. Verde
Baniyas SC
🔄
78'
M. Dabbur ↔ L. Wamba
Baniyas SC
🔄
79'
K. El Berkaoui ↔ A. Soussi
Al-Dhafra
82'
N. Chadli
Baniyas SC
🔄
90'
R. Djooh ↔ Vittor Moura
Al-Dhafra
🔄
90'
M. El Khaloui ↔ R. Yaslam
Al-Dhafra

Baniyas SC vs Al-Dhafra Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 29.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
29.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Baniyas SC Win 86.8%
Draw 0%
Al-Dhafra Win 13.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Baniyas SC1.41
Al-Dhafra1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Baniyas SC Baniyas SC
WWDLW
24 GF / 35 GA
Al-Dhafra Al-Dhafra
WLDWL
25 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
10
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
12
3.65
Shots on Goal
1.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 23 matches
Al-Dhafra Al-Dhafra 23 matches
Baniyas SC Statistic Al-Dhafra
7 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
12 Losses 15
24 Goals For 25
35 Goals Against 45
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96
10 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 1
8 Failed To Score 10
3.65 Shots On Goal 1.76
10.94 Total Shots 7
4.47 Corners 3.18
41% Ball Possession 34.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al-Dhafra. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Baniyas SC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Al-Dhafra in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Dhafra having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Al-Dhafra arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Baniyas SC Analysis

From their first 23 matches, Baniyas SC have collected 25 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, while the 24:35 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Niakate (7 goals), L. Wamba (5 goals), Saviour Godwin (3 goals), with creative support from S. Al Noobi (4 assists), Y. Niakate (3 assists), A. Koroma (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Dhafra Analysis

With 18 points from 23 games and a place of 13, Al-Dhafra still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 15 defeats with a 25:45 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. El Berkaoui (8 goals), M. El Khaloui (5 goals), A. El Refaey (3 goals), with creative support from K. Ibrahim (3 assists), M. El Khaloui (2 assists), J. Gudmundsson (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Baniyas SC won 10 times, Al-Dhafra won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:13 from Baniyas SC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Baniyas SC 4-2-3-1 / Al-Dhafra 4-4-2
H2H summary: Baniyas SC wins 10, draws 3, Al-Dhafra wins 2

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 21 5 0 62:18 44 68
W W W W W
2 26 17 7 2 60:18 42 58
D D W D L
3 26 14 6 6 39:29 10 48
W W W W W
4 26 13 5 8 46:30 16 44
W L D L W
5 26 10 10 6 38:26 12 40
L D L W D
6 26 9 11 6 36:34 2 38
D W L W W
7 26 9 5 12 27:34 -7 32
D W D W L
8 26 8 5 13 35:47 -12 29
W D L L D
9 26 6 9 11 35:45 -10 27
L D D D D
10 26 7 6 13 29:43 -14 27
L D D W D
11 26 5 9 12 29:45 -16 24
L L D L D
12 26 6 4 16 28:52 -24 22
W L D L L
13 26 4 9 13 24:37 -13 21
D D L L D
14 26 5 5 16 25:55 -30 20
L L W L L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation