CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich
Referee: J. Benes
Baník Ostrava
Match Timeline
Zlin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
M. Kopecny
Baník Ostrava
VAR
20'
Jakub Černín
Zlin
🟥
21'
Jakub Černín
Zlin
🔄
46'
S. Kanu ↔ D. Machalik
Zlin
🔄
46'
L. Bartosak ↔ J. Didiba
Zlin
🟨
69'
David Machalík
Zlin
🔄
73'
V. Sinyavskiy ↔ D. Holzer
Baník Ostrava
🔄
73'
V. Jurecka ↔ D. Owusu
Baník Ostrava
🔄
74'
K. Penkevics ↔ T. Hellebrand
Zlin
🔄
76'
O. Kricfalusi ↔ J. Boula
Baník Ostrava
🔄
78'
M. Koubek ↔ J. Pesek
Zlin
🔄
87'
A. Gning ↔ V. Skrkon
Baník Ostrava
🔄
87'
A. Musak ↔ D. Planka
Baník Ostrava
🔄
87'
M. Cupak ↔ T. Ulbrich
Zlin
90'
M. Frydrych
Baník Ostrava

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
73.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.3%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Baník Ostrava Win 33.2%
Draw 26.2%
Zlin Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Baník Ostrava1.2
Zlin1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
WWDLW
35 GF / 60 GA
Zlin Zlin
WLDWL
42 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
17
BTTS Yes
19
13
Over 2.5
19
3.72
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 39 matches
Zlin Zlin 33 matches
Baník Ostrava Statistic Zlin
6 Wins 10
10 Draws 8
23 Losses 15
35 Goals For 42
60 Goals Against 54
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
17 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 19
8 Over 3.5 13
6 Clean Sheets 8
19 Failed To Score 9
3.72 Shots On Goal 3
12 Total Shots 10.91
4.87 Corners 3.94
46.1% Ball Possession 40.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Baník Ostrava expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Zlin in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zlin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Baník Ostrava have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Zlin.

Baník Ostrava Analysis

With 22 points from 30 games and a place of 16, Baník Ostrava still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 25:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Ondrej Kricfalusi (5 goals), David Lischka (4 goals), V. Jurecka (4 goals), with creative support from David Planka (4 assists), V. Jurecka (3 assists), Jiri Boula (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Zlin Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Zlin have collected 34 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 37:48 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Cupak (7 goals), T. Poznar (6 goals), Jakub Černín (5 goals), with creative support from S. Kanu (4 assists), M. Cupak (3 assists), Tom Ulbrich (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Baník Ostrava won 7 times, Zlin won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:17 from Baník Ostrava's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.8%)
Predicted formations: Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1 / Zlin 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Baník Ostrava wins 7, draws 6, Zlin wins 2
Stats
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
Zlin Zlin
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
0
10 Corner Kicks 2
13 Fouls 9
6 Offsides 0
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 0
8 Shots on Goal 0
10 Shots off Goal 0
5 Blocked Shots 0
15 Shots insidebox 0
8 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 6
512 Total passes 221
442 Passes accurate 139
2.23 expected_goals 0.00
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Baník Ostrava
Formation
Zlin
M. Jedlicka
M. Jedlicka
M. Frydrych
M. Frydrych
M. Chalus
M. Chalus
K. Pojezny
K. Pojezny
A. Bewene
A. Bewene
A. Musak
A. Musak
O. Kricfalusi
O. Kricfalusi
V. Sinyavskiy
V. Sinyavskiy
S. Plavsic
S. Plavsic
V. Jurecka
V. Jurecka
A. Gning
A. Gning
S. Bachurek
S. Bachurek
M. Kopecny
M. Kopecny
J. Cernin
J. Cernin
J. Kolar
J. Kolar
M. Pisoja
M. Pisoja
C. Nombil
C. Nombil
K. Penkevics
K. Penkevics
M. Koubek
M. Koubek
M. Cupak
M. Cupak
L. Bartosak
L. Bartosak
S. Kanu
S. Kanu
Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
23
M. Jedlicka
G
17
M. Frydrych
⚽ 90'
D
37
M. Chalus
D
6
K. Pojezny
D
34
A. Bewene
M
55
A. Musak
↓ 87'
M
80
O. Kricfalusi
↓ 76'
M
99
V. Sinyavskiy
↓ 73'
M
10
S. Plavsic
F
15
V. Jurecka
↓ 73'
F
12
A. Gning
↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
1
V. Budinsky
G
95
D. Holzer
↑ 73'
M
9
D. Buchta
M
5
J. Boula
↑ 76'
M
66
M. Rusnak
M
25
D. Owusu
↑ 73'
M
22
V. Skrkon
↑ 87'
F
18
D. Planka
↑ 87'
M
19
F. Sancl
M
29
J. Pira
F
2
M. Havran
M
Zlin 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
64
S. Bachurek
G
23
M. Kopecny
⚽ 9'
D
24
J. Cernin
🟥 21'
D
28
J. Kolar
D
82
M. Pisoja
19
C. Nombil
M
5
K. Penkevics
↓ 74'
M
15
M. Koubek
↓ 78'
M
26
M. Cupak
↓ 87'
M
31
L. Bartosak
↓ 46'
M
14
S. Kanu
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
34
M. Knobloch
G
91
J. Kalabiska
D
10
J. Pesek
↑ 78'
F
39
A. Krapka
D
8
D. Machalik
↑ 46' 🟨 69'
M
6
J. Didiba
↑ 46'
M
4
T. Ulbrich
↑ 87'
M
53
T. Hellebrand
↑ 74'
M
Last matches: Baník Ostrava
18.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
AS Trencin
2
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Miedz Legnica
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Zaglebie Lubin
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
01.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Hanácká
3
1
W
30.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Táborsko
5
0
W
26.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Táborsko
3
0
W
23.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Dukla Praha
3
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
25.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
0
1
L
18.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
FK Jablonec
1
4
L
05.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Odra Opole
2
0
W
14.03.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
6
2
W
28.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Sparta Praha
2
5
L
Last matches: Zlin
18.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Slask Wroclaw
1
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Polonia Warszawa
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1
2
L
03.07.26
Fri
Zlin
AS Trencin
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Zlin
Skalica
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Zlin
Hanácká
0
2
L
20.06.26
Fri
Zlin
Petržalka
3
3
D
23.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Slovácko
1
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Teplice
2
4
L
09.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
1
1
D
02.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Dukla Praha
2
1
W
25.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Pardubice
1
3
L
18.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Teplice
3
2
W
11.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Bohemians 1905
1
2
L
04.04.26
Cze
Zlin
FK Jablonec
0
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Zlin
Vysočina Jihlava
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Slavia Praha
1
3
L
08.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
2
6
L
01.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Plzen
3
0
W
H2H: Baník Ostrava vs Zlin
16.05.26
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
2
0
W
08.03.26
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
6
2
W
05.10.25
H2H
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
03.03.24
H2H
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
0
1
W
01.11.23
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
0
1
L
23.09.23
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
5
1
W
24.05.23
H2H
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
2
1
L
29.01.23
H2H
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
13.08.22
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
3
1
W
29.06.22
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
1
1
D
27.11.21
H2H
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
2
2
D
01.08.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
5
1
W
15.05.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
4
2
W
23.01.21
H2H
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
30.05.20
H2H
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
Last matches: Baník Ostrava
01.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Hanácká
3
1
W
26.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Táborsko
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
25.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
0
1
L
18.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
05.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Odra Opole
2
0
W
08.03.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
6
2
W
22.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Sigma Olomouc
2
0
W
13.12.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Pardubice
1
4
L
29.11.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Dukla Praha
3
1
W
08.11.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
FK Jablonec
0
1
L
19.10.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
27.09.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Sparta Praha
0
3
L
17.09.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
1
1
D
13.09.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slovan Liberec
0
2
L
28.08.25
UEF
Baník Ostrava
Celje
0
2
L
24.08.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
2
0
W
10.08.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Karviná
1
2
L
H2H at home: Baník Ostrava
16.05.26
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
2
0
W
08.03.26
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
6
2
W
01.11.23
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
0
1
L
23.09.23
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
5
1
W
13.08.22
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
3
1
W
29.06.22
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
1
1
D
01.08.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
5
1
W
15.05.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
4
2
W
Last matches: Zlin
18.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Slask Wroclaw
1
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Polonia Warszawa
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Zlin
AS Trencin
3
1
W
09.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Pardubice
1
3
L
11.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Bohemians 1905
1
2
L
08.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
2
6
L
21.02.26
Cze
Zlin
Hradec Králové
0
0
D
14.02.26
Cze
Zlin
Dukla Praha
0
0
D
01.02.26
Cze
Zlin
Slovan Liberec
0
2
L
06.12.25
Cze
Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
1
3
L
23.11.25
Cze
Zlin
Slovácko
0
2
L
01.11.25
Cze
Zlin
FK Jablonec
3
1
W
18.10.25
Cze
Zlin
Slavia Praha
0
0
D
28.09.25
Cze
Zlin
Plzen
1
0
W
31.08.25
Cze
Zlin
Sparta Praha
1
3
L
16.08.25
Cze
Zlin
Sigma Olomouc
0
1
L
02.08.25
Cze
Zlin
Karviná
1
0
W
19.07.25
Cze
Zlin
Teplice
3
1
W
H2H away: Zlin
16.05.26
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
2
0
L
08.03.26
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
6
2
L
01.11.23
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
0
1
W
23.09.23
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
5
1
L
13.08.22
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
3
1
L
29.06.22
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
1
1
D
01.08.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
5
1
L
15.05.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
4
2
L

Standings

1. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 21 8 1 63:23 40 71
W L W W W
2 30 19 6 5 60:33 27 63
W W D W L
3 30 15 8 7 50:34 16 53
L W D W W
4 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L L D L
5 30 14 7 9 43:34 9 49
L W W D L
6 30 12 10 8 43:30 13 46
L L L L L
7 30 12 7 11 34:34 0 43
W W L W L
8 30 11 8 11 39:46 -7 41
L W W W W
9 30 12 3 15 43:51 -8 39
L L W L L
10 30 10 6 14 26:35 -9 36
W L W W W
11 30 8 11 11 44:52 -8 35
L W L D D
12
Zlin Away
30 9 7 14 37:48 -11 34
W L L D W
13 30 6 11 13 29:38 -9 29
W W W W D
14 30 4 11 15 20:42 -22 23
L L W L L
15 30 5 8 17 26:45 -19 23
W W L L W
16 30 5 7 18 25:45 -20 22
W W W W L
Championship round
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Round