CZECH-REPUBLIC › CZECH LIGA
16.05.2026 15:00
Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich
Referee: J. Benes
Baník Ostrava
Match Timeline
Zlin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
M. Kopecny
Baník Ostrava
VAR
20'
Jakub Černín
Zlin
🟥
21'
Jakub Černín
Zlin
🔄
46'
S. Kanu ↔ D. Machalik
Zlin
🔄
46'
L. Bartosak ↔ J. Didiba
Zlin
🟨
69'
David Machalík
Zlin
🔄
73'
V. Sinyavskiy ↔ D. Holzer
Baník Ostrava
🔄
73'
V. Jurecka ↔ D. Owusu
Baník Ostrava
🔄
74'
K. Penkevics ↔ T. Hellebrand
Zlin
🔄
76'
O. Kricfalusi ↔ J. Boula
Baník Ostrava
🔄
78'
M. Koubek ↔ J. Pesek
Zlin
🔄
87'
A. Gning ↔ V. Skrkon
Baník Ostrava
🔄
87'
A. Musak ↔ D. Planka
Baník Ostrava
🔄
87'
M. Cupak ↔ T. Ulbrich
Zlin
⚽
90'
M. Frydrych
Baník Ostrava

Baník Ostrava vs Zlin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
73.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Baník Ostrava Win 33.2%
Draw 26.2%
Zlin Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Baník Ostrava1.2
Zlin1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
WWDLW
35 GF / 60 GA
Zlin Zlin
WLDWL
42 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
17
BTTS Yes
19
13
Over 2.5
19
3.72
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 39 matches
Zlin Zlin 33 matches
Baník Ostrava Statistic Zlin
6 Wins 10
10 Draws 8
23 Losses 15
35 Goals For 42
60 Goals Against 54
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
17 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 19
8 Over 3.5 13
6 Clean Sheets 8
19 Failed To Score 9
3.72 Shots On Goal 3
12 Total Shots 10.91
4.87 Corners 3.94
46.1% Ball Possession 40.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Baník Ostrava expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Zlin in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zlin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Baník Ostrava have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Zlin.

Baník Ostrava Analysis

With 22 points from 30 games and a place of 16, Baník Ostrava still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 25:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Ondrej Kricfalusi (5 goals), David Lischka (4 goals), V. Jurecka (4 goals), with creative support from David Planka (4 assists), V. Jurecka (3 assists), Jiri Boula (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Zlin Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Zlin have collected 34 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 37:48 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Cupak (7 goals), T. Poznar (6 goals), Jakub Černín (5 goals), with creative support from S. Kanu (4 assists), M. Cupak (3 assists), Tom Ulbrich (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Baník Ostrava won 8 times, Zlin won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:16 from Baník Ostrava's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.8%)
Predicted formations: Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1 / Zlin 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Baník Ostrava wins 8, draws 5, Zlin wins 2

Standings

1. Liga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 10 12 13 40:42 -2 42
W W W W D
2
Zlin Away
35 11 8 16 43:56 -13 41
W L L D W
3 35 9 13 13 49:57 -8 40
L W L D D
4 35 7 9 19 30:51 -21 30
W W L L W
5 35 7 8 20 32:49 -17 29
W W W W L
6 35 5 11 19 23:51 -28 26
L L W L L
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation