CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich
Referee: M. Radina
Baník Ostrava
Match Timeline
Mlada Boleslav
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Christophe Kabongo
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
27'
O. Kricfalusi ↔ J. Boula
Baník Ostrava
🟨
30'
David Planka
Baník Ostrava
🟨
35'
Matěj Chaluš
Baník Ostrava
🟨
43'
Michal Ševčík
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
46'
F. Sancl ↔ A. Musak
Baník Ostrava
🟨
58'
Roman Macek
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
61'
V. Sinyavskiy ↔ D. Holzer
Baník Ostrava
🔄
61'
S. Plavsic ↔ D. Owusu
Baník Ostrava
🔄
66'
S. John ↔ J. Kolarik
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
69'
F. Matousek ↔ D. Kostka
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
82'
V. Jurecka ↔ J. Pira
Baník Ostrava
🔄
83'
D. Kozel ↔ J. Zika
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
84'
M. Sevcik ↔ F. Lehky
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
84'
C. Kabongo ↔ J. Klima
Mlada Boleslav
🟨
87'
Martin Králik
Mlada Boleslav

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.8%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Baník Ostrava Win 30.9%
Draw 11.9%
Mlada Boleslav Win 57.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Baník Ostrava1.24
Mlada Boleslav1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
WWDLW
33 GF / 56 GA
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
WLDWL
44 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
15
BTTS Yes
19
11
Over 2.5
19
3.72
Shots on Goal
4.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 36 matches
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 30 matches
Baník Ostrava Statistic Mlada Boleslav
6 Wins 8
9 Draws 11
21 Losses 11
33 Goals For 44
56 Goals Against 52
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
15 BTTS Yes 19
24 Over 1.5 25
11 Over 2.5 19
8 Over 3.5 14
5 Clean Sheets 8
18 Failed To Score 7
3.72 Shots On Goal 4.47
12 Total Shots 12.1
4.86 Corners 4.57
46.2% Ball Possession 54.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Baník Ostrava expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Mlada Boleslav in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mlada Boleslav having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mlada Boleslav. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Baník Ostrava have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Baník Ostrava Analysis

Baník Ostrava sit 16 with 22 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 18 defeats with a 25:45 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ondrej Kricfalusi (5 goals), David Lischka (4 goals), V. Jurecka (4 goals), with creative support from David Planka (4 assists), V. Jurecka (3 assists), Jiri Boula (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mlada Boleslav Analysis

Mlada Boleslav sit 11 with 35 points after 30 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses, while the 44:52 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Sevcik (9 goals), M. Vojta (7 goals), S. John (5 goals), with creative support from M. Vojta (4 assists), D. Marecek (3 assists), R. Macek (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Baník Ostrava won 8 times, Mlada Boleslav won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:13 from Baník Ostrava's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.1%)
Predicted formations: Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1 / Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Baník Ostrava wins 8, draws 4, Mlada Boleslav wins 3
Stats
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 4
15 Fouls 13
4 Offsides 1
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 4
2 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
260 Total passes 639
197 Passes accurate 558
0.44 expected_goals 0.45
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Baník Ostrava
Formation
Mlada Boleslav
M. Jedlicka
M. Jedlicka
A. Bewene
A. Bewene
M. Frydrych
M. Frydrych
M. Chalus
M. Chalus
K. Pojezny
K. Pojezny
V. Sinyavskiy
V. Sinyavskiy
F. Sancl
F. Sancl
O. Kricfalusi
O. Kricfalusi
D. Planka
D. Planka
S. Plavsic
S. Plavsic
V. Jurecka
V. Jurecka
J. Floder
J. Floder
F. Matousek
F. Matousek
M. Kralik
M. Kralik
O. Karafiat
O. Karafiat
M. Hybs
M. Hybs
R. Macek
R. Macek
D. Kozel
D. Kozel
S. John
S. John
M. Sevcik
M. Sevcik
M. Subert
M. Subert
C. Kabongo
C. Kabongo
Baník Ostrava 5-4-1
Starting XI
23
M. Jedlicka
G
34
A. Bewene
D
17
M. Frydrych
D
37
M. Chalus
🟨 35'
D
6
K. Pojezny
D
99
V. Sinyavskiy
↓ 61'
D
19
F. Sancl
↓ 46'
M
80
O. Kricfalusi
↓ 27'
M
18
D. Planka
🟨 30'
M
10
S. Plavsic
↓ 61'
M
15
V. Jurecka
↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
1
V. Budinsky
G
95
D. Holzer
↑ 61'
M
77
L. Almasi
F
9
D. Buchta
M
5
J. Boula
↑ 27'
M
25
D. Owusu
↑ 61'
M
55
A. Musak
↑ 46'
M
20
P. Ortiz
D
29
J. Pira
↑ 82'
F
2
M. Havran
M
Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
59
J. Floder
G
32
F. Matousek
↓ 69'
D
3
M. Kralik
🟨 87'
D
44
O. Karafiat
D
11
M. Hybs
D
7
R. Macek
🟨 58'
M
19
D. Kozel
↓ 83'
M
20
S. John
↓ 66'
M
22
M. Sevcik
↓ 84' 🟨 43'
M
21
M. Subert
25
C. Kabongo
↓ 84' 🟨 26'
F
Substitutes
42
V. Vorel
G
13
D. Donat
D
28
D. Langhamer
M
10
F. Lehky
↑ 84'
F
24
D. Mares
D
49
J. Kolarik
↑ 66'
M
23
J. Klima
↑ 84'
F
31
D. Kostka
↑ 69'
D
15
N. Penner
M
76
J. Zika
↑ 83'
Last matches: Baník Ostrava
25.07.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
AS Trencin
2
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Miedz Legnica
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Zaglebie Lubin
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
01.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Hanácká
3
1
W
30.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Táborsko
5
0
W
26.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Táborsko
3
0
W
23.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Dukla Praha
3
0
W
16.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
2
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
0
1
L
18.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
FK Jablonec
1
4
L
05.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Odra Opole
2
0
W
14.03.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
6
2
W
Last matches: Mlada Boleslav
18.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Ried
4
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Energie Cottbus
4
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Táborsko
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Viktoria Žižkov
3
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
0
5
L
26.06.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
2
0
W
23.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
2
L
16.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
3
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Karviná
3
0
W
18.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovan Liberec
0
0
D
12.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
1
D
04.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
4
2
W
26.03.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Dynamo Dresden
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Pardubice
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
2
2
D
28.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
3
0
W
22.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
15.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
0
0
D
H2H: Baník Ostrava vs Mlada Boleslav
02.05.26
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
22.02.26
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
21.09.25
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
09.03.25
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
W
06.10.24
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
11.05.24
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
1
L
17.02.24
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
1
3
W
02.09.23
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
2
0
W
22.04.23
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
1
0
L
29.10.22
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
3
1
W
06.02.22
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
2
3
W
28.08.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
1
0
W
20.04.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
W
15.12.20
H2H
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
1
3
W
09.03.20
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
2
3
L
Last matches: Baník Ostrava
01.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Hanácká
3
1
W
26.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Táborsko
3
0
W
16.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
0
1
L
18.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
05.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Odra Opole
2
0
W
08.03.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
6
2
W
22.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Sigma Olomouc
2
0
W
13.12.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Pardubice
1
4
L
29.11.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Dukla Praha
3
1
W
08.11.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
FK Jablonec
0
1
L
19.10.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
27.09.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Sparta Praha
0
3
L
17.09.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
1
1
D
13.09.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slovan Liberec
0
2
L
28.08.25
UEF
Baník Ostrava
Celje
0
2
L
24.08.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
2
0
W
10.08.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Karviná
1
2
L
H2H at home: Baník Ostrava
02.05.26
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
22.02.26
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
09.03.25
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
W
11.05.24
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
1
L
02.09.23
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
2
0
W
29.10.22
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
3
1
W
28.08.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
1
0
W
20.04.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
W
09.03.20
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
2
3
L
Last matches: Mlada Boleslav
15.07.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Energie Cottbus
4
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
0
5
L
16.05.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
3
0
W
25.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Karviná
3
0
W
18.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovan Liberec
0
0
D
04.04.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
4
2
W
26.03.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Dynamo Dresden
1
2
L
07.03.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
2
2
D
22.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Slavia Praha
0
4
L
24.01.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Wisla Krakow
4
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
Aarhus Fremad
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Mlada Boleslav
CSKA Sofia
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Hradec Králové
1
1
D
30.11.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Plzen
1
2
L
08.11.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Dukla Praha
1
0
W
22.10.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Bohemians 1905
1
1
D
18.10.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Pardubice
1
2
L
28.09.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
0
2
L
13.09.25
Cze
Mlada Boleslav
Teplice
3
2
W
H2H away: Mlada Boleslav
02.05.26
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
22.02.26
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
09.03.25
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
L
11.05.24
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
1
W
02.09.23
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
2
0
L
29.10.22
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
3
1
L
28.08.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
1
0
L
20.04.21
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
L
09.03.20
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
2
3
W

Standings

1. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 21 8 1 63:23 40 71
W L W W W
2 30 19 6 5 60:33 27 63
W W D W L
3 30 15 8 7 50:34 16 53
L W D W W
4 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L L D L
5 30 14 7 9 43:34 9 49
L W W D L
6 30 12 10 8 43:30 13 46
L L L L L
7 30 12 7 11 34:34 0 43
W W L W L
8 30 11 8 11 39:46 -7 41
L W W W W
9 30 12 3 15 43:51 -8 39
L L W L L
10 30 10 6 14 26:35 -9 36
W L W W W
11 30 8 11 11 44:52 -8 35
L W L D D
12 30 9 7 14 37:48 -11 34
W L L D W
13 30 6 11 13 29:38 -9 29
W W W W D
14 30 4 11 15 20:42 -22 23
L L W L L
15 30 5 8 17 26:45 -19 23
W W L L W
16 30 5 7 18 25:45 -20 22
W W W W L
Championship round
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Round