LITHUANIA A LYGA
--.--.---- --:--
Gargzdai stadium
Referee: M. Lukjancukas
Banga
Match Timeline
Kauno Žalgiris
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
L. Krekovic
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
46'
F. Baldassarra ↔ A. Kalik
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
46'
L. Krekovic ↔ F. Ourega
Kauno Žalgiris
🟨
52'
D. Malzinskas
Banga
🔄
53'
G. Debeljuh ↔ Renan Oliveira
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
58'
L. Kastrati ↔ J. Moutachy
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
60'
A. Appiah ↔ I. Venckus
Banga
🔄
72'
A. Olugbogi ↔ U. Cande
Banga
🟨
76'
J. Moutachy
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
78'
M. Burba ↔ F. Cernych
Kauno Žalgiris
🟨
85'
N. Zebrauskas
Banga
🟨
85'
F. Cernych
Kauno Žalgiris
🟨
85'
V. Slivka
Kauno Žalgiris
🟨
85'
A. Tolordava
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
87'
R. Filipavicius ↔ D. Lukas
Banga
🔄
87'
M. Sato ↔ M. Ambrazaitis
Banga
🔄
87'
V. Magdusauskas ↔ M. Andrejev
Banga
🟨
90+3'
A. Kalik
Kauno Žalgiris

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.9%
Odds 3.94
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.17
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.9%
3.94
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.17
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.9%
1.26
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Banga Win 52.9%
Draw 12.9%
Kauno Žalgiris Win 34.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Banga1.29
Kauno Žalgiris1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Banga Banga
WWDLW
48 GF / 33 GA
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris
WLDWL
65 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
14
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
2.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Banga Banga 31 matches
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 38 matches
Banga Statistic Kauno Žalgiris
13 Wins 20
9 Draws 10
9 Losses 8
48 Goals For 65
33 Goals Against 34
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
14 BTTS Yes 17
21 Over 1.5 28
14 Over 2.5 22
10 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 17
10 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 2.25
0 Total Shots 3.38
0 Corners 2.38
0% Ball Possession 22%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kauno Žalgiris. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kauno Žalgiris having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Banga Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 36 points from 23 games, Banga bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 28:21, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Kauno Žalgiris Analysis

Kauno Žalgiris come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 38 points after 22 matches. They have recorded 10 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a 41:16 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Banga won 5 times, Kauno Žalgiris won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:13 from Banga's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
Predicted formations: Banga - / Kauno Žalgiris 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Banga wins 5, draws 7, Kauno Žalgiris wins 3

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 9 3 35:18 17 45
W W W W W
2 23 10 9 4 41:16 25 39
D D W W W
3 25 11 6 8 36:32 4 39
W D L W W
4
Banga Home
25 10 8 7 29:22 7 38
D D W L W
5 26 10 8 8 36:33 3 38
D L L W D
6 24 11 4 9 37:29 8 37
L W L W W
7 25 7 5 13 23:41 -18 26
W L L W D
8 26 4 12 10 29:44 -15 24
D D L L L
9 26 3 7 16 24:55 -31 16
L L W L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L