AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
AZ Alkmaar Win 0%
Draw 0%
NEC Nijmegen Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AZ Alkmaar2.25
NEC Nijmegen1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
AZ Alkmaar
WWDLW
29 GF / 13 GA
NEC Nijmegen
WLDWL
28 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
2.64
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
7
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
12
8
Shots on Goal
4.88
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AZ Alkmaar
11 matches
NEC Nijmegen
15 matches
| AZ Alkmaar | Statistic | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 8 |
| 29 | Goals For | 28 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 2.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.87 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 8 | Shots On Goal | 4.88 |
| 19.6 | Total Shots | 15.25 |
| 8.8 | Corners | 4.63 |
| 56.8% | Ball Possession | 54.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 8 times, NEC Nijmegen won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:17 from AZ Alkmaar's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1 / NEC Nijmegen 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: AZ Alkmaar wins 8, draws 3, NEC Nijmegen wins 4
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
Home
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 11 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 7 |
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 7 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
NEC Nijmegen
Away
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 6 |
L
W
W
L
|
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:15 | -9 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | -12 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie