NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

31.01.2026 15:30

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 3

NEC Nijmegen

AFAS Stadion

Referee: S. Gozubuyuk

AZ Alkmaar

Match Timeline

NEC Nijmegen

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis

Probability Distribution

AZ Alkmaar Win 0%

Draw 0%

NEC Nijmegen Win 0%

Expected Goals (xG)

AZ Alkmaar1.82

NEC Nijmegen2.1

Recent Form (Last 5)

AZ Alkmaar

WWDLW

60 GF / 44 GA

NEC Nijmegen

WLDWL

49 GF / 33 GA

Key Stats

1.88

Average Goals Scored

2.58

1.38

Average Goals Conceded

1.74

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

6.31

Shots on Goal

6.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AZ Alkmaar 32 matches

NEC Nijmegen 19 matches

AZ Alkmaar	Statistic	NEC Nijmegen
17	Wins	10
6	Draws	5
9	Losses	4
60	Goals For	49
44	Goals Against	33
1.88	Avg Goals Scored	2.58
1.38	Avg Goals Conceded	1.74
17	BTTS Yes	15
24	Over 1.5	18
20	Over 2.5	16
15	Over 3.5	13
13	Clean Sheets	3
3	Failed To Score	1
6.31	Shots On Goal	6.68
16.38	Total Shots	15.47
5.84	Corners	5.47
54.3%	Ball Possession	56.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 8 times, NEC Nijmegen won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:17 from AZ Alkmaar's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AZ Alkmaar 4-3-3 / NEC Nijmegen 3-4-2-1

H2H summary: AZ Alkmaar wins 8, draws 3, NEC Nijmegen wins 4

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	27	3	4	101:45	56	84	W W D W W
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	26	65	W D W W D
3	NEC Nijmegen Away	34	16	11	7	77:53	24	59	W L D D D
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	19	58	L W D D W
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62:41	21	56	D L D W W
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	13	53	W W W L W
7	AZ Alkmaar Home	34	14	10	10	58:51	7	52	D D D D W
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	4	51	D L W W L
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	4	48	W W L L D
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	-22	43	L L D L L
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49:63	-14	39	L W L L D
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	1	38	L L D D D
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43:56	-13	38	W D W W D
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	-6	37	W W D W L
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44:71	-27	37	L L W L D
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	-20	32	L D L W L
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	-23	29	D W L L D
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	-50	19	L L L L L