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08.11.2026 15:45
AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

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Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
AZ Alkmaar Win 0%
Draw 0%
Groningen Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AZ Alkmaar2.06
Groningen1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
WWDLW
35 GF / 20 GA
Groningen Groningen
WLDWL
28 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
2.06
10
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
13
6.18
Shots on Goal
5.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 17 matches
Groningen Groningen 16 matches
AZ Alkmaar Statistic Groningen
10 Wins 6
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 7
35 Goals For 28
20 Goals Against 33
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 2.06
10 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
6.18 Shots On Goal 5.78
16.55 Total Shots 14.89
7.45 Corners 4.89
58.9% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 8 times, Groningen won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:11 from AZ Alkmaar's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1 / Groningen 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AZ Alkmaar wins 8, draws 3, Groningen wins 3

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 31:10 21 23
W W W W W
2 9 6 2 1 20:10 10 20
D L W D W
3 9 6 1 2 27:12 15 19
L W L W W
4 9 5 3 1 27:12 15 18
W D D W W
5 9 5 2 2 17:10 7 17
L D W W W
6 9 4 3 2 16:17 -1 15
D D W L W
7 9 4 2 3 22:19 3 14
L W W D D
8 9 3 3 3 15:11 4 12
W L W D L
9 9 2 5 2 20:21 -1 11
L D D D D
10 9 3 2 4 16:18 -2 11
L L D L D
11 9 3 2 4 16:26 -10 11
W W L W D
12 9 2 4 3 15:16 -1 10
D D D L D
13 9 2 3 4 16:22 -6 9
W D L L D
14 9 2 3 4 13:21 -8 9
D W D W D
15 9 2 1 6 10:22 -12 7
W L L L D
16 9 1 3 5 10:18 -8 6
L D L D L
17 9 1 3 5 11:20 -9 6
W D D L L
18 9 0 2 7 9:26 -17 2
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie