NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

21.01.2026 17:45

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 1

Excelsior

AFAS Stadion

Referee: A. Bos

AZ Alkmaar

Match Timeline

Excelsior

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis

Probability Distribution

AZ Alkmaar Win 0%

Draw 0%

Excelsior Win 0%

Expected Goals (xG)

AZ Alkmaar1.91

Excelsior1.21

Recent Form (Last 5)

AZ Alkmaar

WWDLW

58 GF / 43 GA

Excelsior

WLDWL

19 GF / 34 GA

Key Stats

1.93

Average Goals Scored

1.06

1.43

Average Goals Conceded

1.89

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

6.47

Shots on Goal

4.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AZ Alkmaar 30 matches

Excelsior 18 matches

AZ Alkmaar	Statistic	Excelsior
16	Wins	6
5	Draws	2
9	Losses	10
58	Goals For	19
43	Goals Against	34
1.93	Avg Goals Scored	1.06
1.43	Avg Goals Conceded	1.89
16	BTTS Yes	11
23	Over 1.5	14
20	Over 2.5	12
15	Over 3.5	5
12	Clean Sheets	3
3	Failed To Score	4
6.47	Shots On Goal	4.11
16.63	Total Shots	11.94
6.07	Corners	4
54.2%	Ball Possession	45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 8 times, Excelsior won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:18 from AZ Alkmaar's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1 / Excelsior 4-4-2

H2H summary: AZ Alkmaar wins 8, draws 4, Excelsior wins 3

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	27	3	4	101:45	56	84	W W D W W
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	26	65	W D W W D
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77:53	24	59	W L D D D
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	19	58	L W D D W
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62:41	21	56	D L D W W
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	13	53	W W W L W
7	AZ Alkmaar Home	34	14	10	10	58:51	7	52	D D D D W
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	4	51	D L W W L
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	4	48	W W L L D
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	-22	43	L L D L L
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49:63	-14	39	L W L L D
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	1	38	L L D D D
13	Excelsior Away	34	10	8	16	43:56	-13	38	W D W W D
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	-6	37	W W D W L
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44:71	-27	37	L L W L D
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	-20	32	L D L W L
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	-23	29	D W L L D
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	-50	19	L L L L L