NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

08.02.2026 13:30

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 1

Ajax

AFAS Stadion

Referee: D. Makkelie

AZ Alkmaar

Match Timeline

Ajax

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis

Probability Distribution

AZ Alkmaar Win 0%

Draw 0%

Ajax Win 0%

Expected Goals (xG)

AZ Alkmaar1.79

Ajax1.58

Recent Form (Last 5)

AZ Alkmaar

WWDLW

61 GF / 47 GA

Ajax

WLDWL

49 GF / 49 GA

Key Stats

1.85

Average Goals Scored

1.69

1.42

Average Goals Conceded

1.69

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

6.18

Shots on Goal

5.66

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AZ Alkmaar 33 matches

Ajax 29 matches

AZ Alkmaar	Statistic	Ajax
17	Wins	12
6	Draws	8
10	Losses	9
61	Goals For	49
47	Goals Against	49
1.85	Avg Goals Scored	1.69
1.42	Avg Goals Conceded	1.69
18	BTTS Yes	19
25	Over 1.5	29
21	Over 2.5	19
16	Over 3.5	13
13	Clean Sheets	5
3	Failed To Score	5
6.18	Shots On Goal	5.66
16.21	Total Shots	14.1
5.76	Corners	5.07
54.1%	Ball Possession	56.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 8 times, Ajax won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:16 from AZ Alkmaar's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1 / Ajax 4-3-3

H2H summary: AZ Alkmaar wins 8, draws 4, Ajax wins 3

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	27	3	4	101:45	56	84	W W D W W
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	26	65	W D W W D
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77:53	24	59	W L D D D
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	19	58	L W D D W
5	Ajax Away	34	14	14	6	62:41	21	56	D L D W W
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	13	53	W W W L W
7	AZ Alkmaar Home	34	14	10	10	58:51	7	52	D D D D W
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	4	51	D L W W L
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	4	48	W W L L D
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	-22	43	L L D L L
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49:63	-14	39	L W L L D
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	1	38	L L D D D
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43:56	-13	38	W D W W D
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	-6	37	W W D W L
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44:71	-27	37	L L W L D
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	-20	32	L D L W L
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	-23	29	D W L L D
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	-50	19	L L L L L