PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Referee: C. Macedo
AVS
Match Timeline
FC Porto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
Roni
AVS
🔄
49'
Mateus Pivo ↔ T. Galletto
AVS
53'
D. Gul · Assist: B. Sainz
FC Porto
58'
Roni · Assist: G. Neiva
AVS
🟨
59'
Roni
AVS
🔄
59'
S. Fofana ↔ V. Froholdt
FC Porto
🔄
59'
B. Sainz ↔ William Gomes
FC Porto
🟨
61'
Dominik Prpić
FC Porto
🔄
68'
G. Neiva ↔ Tomane
AVS
🔄
68'
A. Varela ↔ T. Silva
FC Porto
🔄
68'
Pepê ↔ O. Pietuszewski
FC Porto
🔄
76'
G. Mendonca ↔ A. Santos
AVS
80'
A. Santos · Assist: T. Akinsola
AVS
🔄
81'
R. Mora ↔ G. Veiga
FC Porto
🟨
85'
Pedro Lima
AVS
🟨
90+2'
Dominik Prpić
FC Porto
🟥
90+2'
Dominik Prpić
FC Porto

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
AVS Win 23.1%
Draw 0%
FC Porto Win 76.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
AVS0.68
FC Porto1.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
AVS AVS
WWDLW
24 GF / 66 GA
FC Porto FC Porto
WLDWL
82 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.86
2.06
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
14
BTTS Yes
19
19
Over 2.5
23
3.06
Shots on Goal
5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AVS AVS 32 matches
FC Porto FC Porto 44 matches
AVS Statistic FC Porto
2 Wins 34
11 Draws 7
19 Losses 3
24 Goals For 82
66 Goals Against 25
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
2.06 Avg Goals Conceded 0.57
14 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 33
19 Over 2.5 23
12 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 23
17 Failed To Score 3
3.06 Shots On Goal 5.2
11.19 Total Shots 14.25
3.72 Corners 5.41
39.6% Ball Possession 53.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FC Porto's more proactive style and AVS's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FC Porto. FC Porto look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. FC Porto carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 85 points while AVS sit 18 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

AVS Analysis

With 17 points from 32 games and a place of 18, AVS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 11 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 24:66 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Nene (4 goals), Pedro Lima (4 goals), Tomané (4 goals), with creative support from T. Akinsola (3 assists), Pedro Lima (2 assists), Guilherme Neiva (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Porto Analysis

FC Porto come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 85 points after 32 matches. With 27 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 64:15, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Samu (13 goals), William Gomes (8 goals), V. Froholdt (6 goals), with creative support from G. Veiga (8 assists), A. Costa (8 assists), V. Froholdt (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 14 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, AVS won 1 times, FC Porto won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:10 from AVS's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: AVS 4-3-3 / FC Porto 4-3-3
H2H summary: AVS wins 1, draws 0, FC Porto wins 3
Stats
AVS AVS
FC Porto FC Porto
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
10
3 Corner Kicks 7
7 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 1
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 10
6 Shots insidebox 16
3 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
251 Total passes 550
171 Passes accurate 467
0.75 expected_goals 3.06
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

AVS
Formation
FC Porto
Adriel
Adriel
Mateus Pivo
Mateus Pivo
C. Devenish
C. Devenish
Paulo Vitor
Paulo Vitor
D. Rivas
D. Rivas
G. Mendonca
G. Mendonca
Roni
⚽ 2
Roni
T. Akinsola
🎯
T. Akinsola
Pedro Lima
Pedro Lima
G. Neiva
🎯
G. Neiva
D. Duarte
D. Duarte
Claudio Ramos
Claudio Ramos
A. Costa
A. Costa
Thiago Silva
Thiago Silva
D. Prpic
D. Prpic
F. Moura
F. Moura
S. Fofana
S. Fofana
A. Varela
A. Varela
R. Mora
R. Mora
Pepê
Pepê
D. Gul
D. Gul
B. Sainz
🎯
B. Sainz
AVS 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Adriel
G
97
Mateus Pivo
↓ 49'
D
42
C. Devenish
D
3
Paulo Vitor
D
12
D. Rivas
D
23
G. Mendonca
↓ 76'
M
70
Roni
⚽ 23' ⚽ 58' 🟨 59'
M
11
T. Akinsola
🎯 80'
M
8
Pedro Lima
🟨 85'
M
21
G. Neiva
🎯 58' ↓ 68'
M
20
D. Duarte
F
Substitutes
93
Simao
G
88
Trigueira
G
7
Tomane
↑ 68'
F
25
A. Green
F
33
A. Santos
⚽ 80' ↑ 76'
D
26
Ponck
D
27
A. Algobia
M
19
T. Galletto
↑ 49'
M
14
O. Perea
F
FC Porto 4-3-3
Starting XI
14
Claudio Ramos
G
20
A. Costa
D
3
Thiago Silva
D
21
D. Prpic
🟨 61' 🟨 90+2' 🟥 90+2'
D
74
F. Moura
D
42
S. Fofana
↓ 59'
M
22
A. Varela
↓ 68'
M
86
R. Mora
↓ 81'
M
11
Pepê
↓ 68'
F
27
D. Gul
⚽ 53'
F
17
B. Sainz
🎯 53' ↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
99
D. Costa
G
4
J. Kiwior
D
13
P. Rosario
M
29
T. Moffi
F
10
G. Veiga
↑ 81'
M
8
V. Froholdt
↑ 59'
M
7
William Gomes
↑ 59'
F
58
T. Silva
↑ 68'
77
O. Pietuszewski
↑ 68'
F
Last matches: AVS
11.07.26
Fri
AVS
Chaves
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
AVS
Moreirense
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
AVS
Nacional
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
AVS
Sporting CP
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pri
AVS
Rio Ave
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pri
AVS
Guimaraes
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
AVS
GIL Vicente
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pri
AVS
Tondela
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
AVS
Santa Clara
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
AVS
Alverca
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
AVS
Estrela
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
AVS
Benfica
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
AVS
Estoril
3
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
AVS
Famalicao
1
3
L
02.02.26
Pri
AVS
SC Braga
0
4
L
23.01.26
Pri
AVS
Casa Pia
3
3
D
17.01.26
Pri
AVS
Arouca
0
1
L
03.01.26
Pri
AVS
Moreirense
0
2
L
29.12.25
Pri
AVS
FC Porto
0
2
L
21.12.25
Pri
AVS
Nacional
2
2
D
Last matches: FC Porto
16.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estrela
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Tondela
2
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estoril
3
1
W
09.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Famalicao
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
SC Braga
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Moreirense
3
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Benfica
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Arouca
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Rio Ave
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Nacional
1
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Sporting CP
1
1
D
02.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Casa Pia
1
2
L
29.01.26
UEF
FC Porto
Rangers
3
1
W
26.01.26
Pri
FC Porto
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
H2H: AVS vs FC Porto
10.05.26
H2H
AVS
FC Porto
3
1
W
29.12.25
H2H
FC Porto
AVS
2
0
L
15.03.25
H2H
FC Porto
AVS
2
0
L
28.10.24
H2H
AVS
FC Porto
0
5
L
Last matches: AVS
11.07.26
Fri
AVS
Chaves
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
AVS
Sporting CP
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
AVS
Guimaraes
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
AVS
Santa Clara
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
AVS
Estrela
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pri
AVS
Estoril
3
0
W
02.02.26
Pri
AVS
SC Braga
0
4
L
17.01.26
Pri
AVS
Arouca
0
1
L
03.01.26
Pri
AVS
Moreirense
0
2
L
21.12.25
Pri
AVS
Nacional
2
2
D
06.12.25
Pri
AVS
Rio Ave
1
2
L
09.11.25
Pri
AVS
GIL Vicente
1
1
D
02.11.25
Pri
AVS
Tondela
2
2
D
04.10.25
Pri
AVS
Alverca
1
3
L
20.09.25
Pri
AVS
Benfica
0
3
L
30.08.25
Pri
AVS
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.08.25
Pri
AVS
Casa Pia
0
2
L
H2H at home: AVS
10.05.26
H2H
AVS
FC Porto
3
1
W
28.10.24
H2H
AVS
FC Porto
0
5
L
Last matches: FC Porto
26.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estrela
2
1
W
16.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estoril
3
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
SC Braga
2
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Benfica
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Nacional
1
0
W
02.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Casa Pia
1
2
L
22.01.26
UEF
FC Porto
Plzen
1
1
D
18.01.26
Pri
FC Porto
Guimaraes
1
0
W
04.01.26
Pri
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
22.12.25
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
3
0
W
07.12.25
Pri
FC Porto
Tondela
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pri
FC Porto
Famalicao
1
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
FC Porto
Utrecht
1
1
D
27.10.25
Pri
FC Porto
Moreirense
2
1
W
23.10.25
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
0
2
L
29.09.25
Pri
FC Porto
Arouca
4
0
W
25.09.25
UEF
FC Porto
Red Bull Salzburg
1
0
W
19.09.25
Pri
FC Porto
Rio Ave
3
0
W
H2H away: FC Porto
10.05.26
H2H
AVS
FC Porto
3
1
L
28.10.24
H2H
AVS
FC Porto
0
5
W