PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
10.05.2026 17:00
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Referee: C. Macedo
AVS
Match Timeline
FC Porto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
Roni
AVS
🔄
49'
Mateus Pivo ↔ T. Galletto
AVS
53'
D. Gul · Assist: B. Sainz
FC Porto
58'
Roni · Assist: G. Neiva
AVS
🟨
59'
Roni
AVS
🔄
59'
S. Fofana ↔ V. Froholdt
FC Porto
🔄
59'
B. Sainz ↔ William Gomes
FC Porto
🟨
61'
Dominik Prpić
FC Porto
🔄
68'
G. Neiva ↔ Tomane
AVS
🔄
68'
A. Varela ↔ T. Silva
FC Porto
🔄
68'
Pepê ↔ O. Pietuszewski
FC Porto
🔄
76'
G. Mendonca ↔ A. Santos
AVS
80'
A. Santos · Assist: T. Akinsola
AVS
🔄
81'
R. Mora ↔ G. Veiga
FC Porto
🟨
85'
Pedro Lima
AVS
🟨
90+2'
Dominik Prpić
FC Porto
🟥
90+2'
Dominik Prpić
FC Porto

AVS vs FC Porto Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
AVS Win 23.1%
Draw 0%
FC Porto Win 76.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
AVS0.68
FC Porto1.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
AVS AVS
WWDLW
24 GF / 66 GA
FC Porto FC Porto
WLDWL
82 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.86
2.06
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
14
BTTS Yes
19
19
Over 2.5
23
3.06
Shots on Goal
5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AVS AVS 32 matches
FC Porto FC Porto 44 matches
AVS Statistic FC Porto
2 Wins 34
11 Draws 7
19 Losses 3
24 Goals For 82
66 Goals Against 25
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
2.06 Avg Goals Conceded 0.57
14 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 33
19 Over 2.5 23
12 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 23
17 Failed To Score 3
3.06 Shots On Goal 5.2
11.19 Total Shots 14.25
3.72 Corners 5.41
39.6% Ball Possession 53.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FC Porto's more proactive style and AVS's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FC Porto. FC Porto look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. FC Porto carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 85 points while AVS sit 18 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

AVS Analysis

With 17 points from 32 games and a place of 18, AVS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 11 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 24:66 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Nene (4 goals), Pedro Lima (4 goals), Tomané (4 goals), with creative support from T. Akinsola (3 assists), Pedro Lima (2 assists), Guilherme Neiva (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Porto Analysis

FC Porto come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 85 points after 32 matches. With 27 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 64:15, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Samu (13 goals), William Gomes (8 goals), V. Froholdt (6 goals), with creative support from G. Veiga (8 assists), A. Costa (8 assists), V. Froholdt (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 14 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, AVS won 1 times, FC Porto won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:10 from AVS's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: AVS 4-3-3 / FC Porto 4-3-3
H2H summary: AVS wins 1, draws 0, FC Porto wins 3

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18
AVS Home
34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2