AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL
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Avenger park

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.7%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Avondale Win 47.7%
Draw 11.3%
Preston Lions Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avondale1.79
Preston Lions1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avondale Avondale
WWDLW
65 GF / 34 GA
Preston Lions Preston Lions
WLDWL
41 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
14
BTTS Yes
9
17
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avondale Avondale 26 matches
Preston Lions Preston Lions 26 matches
Avondale Statistic Preston Lions
15 Wins 15
2 Draws 6
9 Losses 5
65 Goals For 41
34 Goals Against 19
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
14 BTTS Yes 9
25 Over 1.5 16
17 Over 2.5 12
13 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 13
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Preston Lions have the edge after taking the first leg 3-2, leaving Avondale needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Preston Lions. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Preston Lions having the stronger overall control. Avondale come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Avondale Analysis

Avondale come into this tie placed 4 in their league with 47 points from 26 matches. Their record of 15 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats with goals at 65:34 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Preston Lions Analysis

Preston Lions enter this tie with a season profile built on 51 points from 26 matches, placing them 2 in their league. The return of 15 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 41:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Avondale won 1 times, Preston Lions won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Avondale's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.7%)
H2H summary: Avondale wins 1, draws 3, Preston Lions wins 2