JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
29.04.2026 05:00
Best Denki Stadium
Referee: J. Iida
Avispa Fukuoka
Match Timeline
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
S. Nakano
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
⚽
10'
S. Higashi · Assist: M. Kato
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🟨
18'
Yotaro Nakajima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
⚽
19'
S. Usui
Avispa Fukuoka
VAR
29'
Keiya Shiihashi
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
46'
M. Tashiro ↔ T. Oka
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
46'
K. Shiihashi ↔ Y. Kitajima
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
46'
T. Shiotani ↔ T. Yamasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
46'
Y. Nakajima ↔ R. Germain
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
VAR
58'
Kinoshita Kosuke
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
59'
K. Kinoshita ↔ A. Suzuki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
59'
M. Kato ↔ N. Maeda
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🟨
63'
Kamijima Takumi
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
64'
M. Shigemi ↔ R. Tsuruno
Avispa Fukuoka
⚽
72'
T. Miki · Assist: Y. Maejima
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
75'
S. Higashi ↔ T. Arslan
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🟥
80'
Shintaro Nago
Avispa Fukuoka
VAR
80'
Shintaro Nago
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
85'
Y. Maejima ↔ D. Miya
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
85'
S. Usui ↔ Y. Michiwaki
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
85'
↔ M. Ohara
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🟨
88'
Yuma Tsujioka
Avispa Fukuoka
🟨
90+6'
Motoki Ohara
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
90+4'
T. Miki ↔ K. Okuno
Avispa Fukuoka
🟨
92'
Yuma Tsujioka
Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 22.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
22.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Away / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Avispa Fukuoka Win 28.9%
Draw 12.4%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win 58.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avispa Fukuoka1.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
WWDLW
26 GF / 31 GA
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
WLDWL
20 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
11
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
8
3.54
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 17 matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13 matches
Avispa Fukuoka Statistic Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5 Wins 5
6 Draws 2
6 Losses 6
26 Goals For 20
31 Goals Against 19
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
11 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 1
3.54 Shots On Goal 5
11.46 Total Shots 16.83
4.62 Corners 6.5
42.5% Ball Possession 55.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Avispa Fukuoka won 2 times, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:22 from Avispa Fukuoka's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: Avispa Fukuoka 3-4-2-1 / Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Avispa Fukuoka wins 2, draws 4, Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins 9

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)