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ITALY › SERIE B
13.09.2026 15:15
Avellino
FT
1 - 1
Palermo
Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Referee: D. Doveri
Avellino
Match Timeline
Palermo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
16'
T. Cancellotti ↔ F. Missori
Avellino
🟨
35'
Mattia Bani
Palermo
🟨
56'
Filippo Missori
Avellino
🔄
57'
L. Pandolfi ↔ W. Cheddira
Avellino
🔄
59'
J. Segre ↔ N. Estevez
Palermo
🔄
59'
E. Gyasi ↔ D. Johnsen
Palermo
⚽
60'
W. Cheddira · Assist: R. Russo
Avellino
⚽
63'
D. Johnsen · Assist: J. Pohjanpalo
Palermo
🔄
76'
F. Ranocchia ↔ C. Gomes
Palermo
🔄
77'
J. Pohjanpalo ↔ A. Gabrielloni
Palermo
🟨
84'
Michael Venturi
Avellino
🔄
86'
B. Moruzzi ↔ M. Sala
Avellino
🔄
86'
L. Di Maggio ↔ D. Sounas
Avellino
🔄
87'
R. Russo ↔ T. Biasci
Avellino
🔄
87'
T. Cassandro ↔ N. Pierozzi
Palermo

Avellino vs Palermo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57%
Odds 4.02
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.97
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57%
4.02 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.97 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.9%
1.24 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Avellino Win 57%
Draw 5.1%
Palermo Win 37.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avellino1.68
Palermo2.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avellino Avellino
WWDLW
17 GF / 13 GA
Palermo Palermo
WLDWL
26 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
2.36
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
3.75
Shots on Goal
6.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avellino Avellino 8 matches
Palermo Palermo 11 matches
Avellino Statistic Palermo
4 Wins 7
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
17 Goals For 26
13 Goals Against 11
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 2.36
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 2
3.75 Shots On Goal 6.4
8.25 Total Shots 14.4
2.25 Corners 3.4
44.3% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Avellino won 3 times, Palermo won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:14 from Avellino's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Avellino 3-5-2 / Palermo 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Avellino wins 3, draws 2, Palermo wins 5

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Palermo Away
6 5 1 0 14:7 7 16
W W D W W
2
Mantova
6 4 2 0 13:6 7 14
W D W D W
3
Modena
6 4 1 1 11:6 5 13
W W D L W
4
Sudtirol
6 3 3 0 9:3 6 12
D W D W D
5
Ascoli
6 3 2 1 7:4 3 11
D W L W D
6
Avellino Home
6 3 1 2 11:7 4 10
W L D W W
7
Pisa
6 3 1 2 11:8 3 10
W D L W W
8
Benevento
6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
W W W L D
9
Hellas Verona
6 2 1 3 12:10 2 7
L W L W D
10
Padova
6 2 1 3 5:8 -3 7
L L W L D
11
Cesena
6 1 4 1 7:8 -1 7
L D D D W
12
Arezzo
6 2 1 3 6:13 -7 7
D L W L L
13
Empoli
6 2 0 4 6:10 -4 6
L L L W L
14
Virtus Entella
6 1 3 2 8:7 1 6
D D W D L
15
Cremonese
6 1 3 2 5:7 -2 6
D D D W L
16
Vicenza Virtus
6 1 2 3 7:13 -6 5
L L D D L
17
Carrarese
6 1 1 4 4:6 -2 4
W L L L D
18
Sampdoria
6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
L W L L L
19
Catanzaro
6 1 0 5 6:12 -6 3
L L W L L
20
Juve Stabia
6 1 3 2 5:8 -3 2
D D D L W
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation