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13.09.2026 15:15
Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Referee: Daniele Doveri, Italy
Avellino
Match Timeline
Palermo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
16'
Tommaso Cancellotti ↔ Filippo Missori
Avellino
🟨
35'
Mattia Bani
Palermo
🟨
56'
Filippo Missori
Avellino
🔄
57'
Luca Pandolfi ↔ Walid Cheddira
Avellino
🔄
59'
Jacopo Segre ↔ Nahuel Estévez
Palermo
🔄
59'
Emmanuel Gyasi ↔ Dennis Johnsen
Palermo
⚽
60'
Walid Cheddira · Assist: Raffaele Russo
Avellino
⚽
63'
Dennis Johnsen · Assist: Joel Pohjanpalo
Palermo
🔄
76'
Filippo Ranocchia ↔ Claudio Gomes
Palermo
🔄
77'
Joel Pohjanpalo ↔ Alessandro Gabrielloni
Palermo
🟨
84'
Michael Venturi
Avellino
🔄
86'
Luca Di Maggio ↔ Dimitrios Sounas
Avellino
🔄
86'
Brando Moruzzi ↔ Marco Sala
Avellino
🔄
87'
Raffaele Russo ↔ Tommaso Biasci
Avellino
🔄
87'
Tommaso Cassandro ↔ Niccolò Pierozzi
Palermo

Avellino vs Palermo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Avellino Win 57%
Draw 5.1%
Palermo Win 37.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avellino1.68
Palermo2.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avellino Avellino
W W L L D
6 GF / 6 GA
Palermo Palermo
W W W W W
14 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
2.36
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
3.75
Shots on Goal
6.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avellino Avellino 8 matches
Palermo Palermo 11 matches
Avellino Statistic Palermo
4 Wins 7
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
17 Goals For 26
13 Goals Against 11
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 2.36
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 2
3.75 Shots On Goal 6.4
8.25 Total Shots 14.4
2.25 Corners 3.4
45.8% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Avellino won 3 times, Palermo won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:14 from Avellino's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Avellino 3-5-2 / Palermo 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Avellino wins 3, draws 2, Palermo wins 5

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 21:11 10 23
D W W W W
2 10 6 2 2 18:10 8 20
D W W L W
3 9 5 3 1 16:6 10 18
W W D D W
4 10 5 3 2 15:11 4 18
D L W L W
5 9 4 3 2 18:13 5 15
D D W W D
6 10 4 3 3 14:10 4 15
L D W D W
7 10 4 2 4 10:11 -1 14
D W W L L
8 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
D L D L D
9 9 3 3 3 16:13 3 12
W D D L W
10 9 3 3 3 13:10 3 12
D L D W L
11 10 3 3 4 10:11 -1 12
W W L L D
12 10 2 6 2 11:14 -3 12
D W L D L
13 10 2 4 4 11:12 -1 10
L D L W D
14 9 3 1 5 9:10 -1 10
W L W W L
15 9 3 1 5 9:19 -10 10
L L W D L
16 9 2 3 4 12:17 -5 9
L W D L L
17 9 3 3 3 9:9 0 8
L W W D D
18 10 2 2 6 10:18 -8 8
W L D L L
19 9 2 1 6 8:15 -7 7
L L D L L
20 10 1 3 6 11:22 -11 6
D D L D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation