ITALY › SERIE B

24.04.2026 19:00

Avellino

2 - 0

Bari

Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi

Referee: G. Manganiello

Avellino

Match Timeline

Bari

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Avellino vs Bari Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 57%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 70.5%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 53.5%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	57%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	70.5%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	53.5%	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Avellino Win 57%

Draw 17.5%

Bari Win 25.4%

Expected Goals (xG)

Avellino1.31

Bari1.16

Recent Form (Last 5)

Avellino

WWDLW

40 GF / 55 GA

Bari

WLDWL

33 GF / 58 GA

Key Stats

1.11

Average Goals Scored

0.92

1.53

Average Goals Conceded

1.61

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

3.19

Shots on Goal

3.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avellino 36 matches

Bari 36 matches

Avellino	Statistic	Bari
11	Wins	8
10	Draws	10
15	Losses	18
40	Goals For	33
55	Goals Against	58
1.11	Avg Goals Scored	0.92
1.53	Avg Goals Conceded	1.61
19	BTTS Yes	19
28	Over 1.5	29
17	Over 2.5	19
9	Over 3.5	7
6	Clean Sheets	6
13	Failed To Score	14
3.19	Shots On Goal	3.03
9.36	Total Shots	10.36
4.06	Corners	3.56
48.1%	Ball Possession	46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Avellino won 2 times, Bari won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from Avellino's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (82.5%)

Predicted formations: Avellino 4-3-1-2 / Bari 3-4-1-2

H2H summary: Avellino wins 2, draws 4, Bari wins 6

Standings

Serie B: Regular season

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Venezia	38	24	10	4	77:31	46	82	W D W W D
2	Frosinone	38	23	12	3	76:34	42	81	W W W W D
3	Monza	38	22	10	6	61:32	29	76	D L W W W
4	Palermo	38	20	12	6	61:33	28	72	L W D W D
5	Catanzaro	38	15	14	9	62:51	11	59	L L W D D
6	Modena	38	15	10	13	49:36	13	55	L W L L D
7	Juve Stabia	38	11	18	9	44:45	-1	51	D L D D W
8	Avellino Home	38	13	10	15	43:55	-12	49	W L W W D
9	Mantova	38	13	7	18	45:57	-12	46	L W W L W
10	Padova	38	12	10	16	39:49	-10	46	W W L W W
11	Cesena	38	12	10	16	45:56	-11	46	L D D L L
12	Carrarese	38	10	14	14	47:52	-5	44	L D L D L
13	Sampdoria	38	11	11	16	35:48	-13	44	L W D L W
14	Virtus Entella	38	10	12	16	36:51	-15	42	W L W D D
15	Empoli	38	9	14	15	47:54	-7	41	D W L D L
16	Sudtirol	38	8	17	13	38:48	-10	41	D L L L D
17	Bari Away	38	10	10	18	38:60	-22	40	W W L L L
18	Reggiana	38	9	10	19	36:56	-20	37	W L D L W
19	Spezia	38	8	11	19	43:59	-16	35	D D L W L
20	Pescara	38	7	14	17	51:66	-15	35	D L D D L

Promotion - Serie A

Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)

Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)

Serie B (Play Out)

Relegation