Avellino
Match Timeline
Bari
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
70.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
53.5%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Avellino Win 57%
Draw 17.5%
Bari Win 25.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avellino1.31
Bari1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avellino
WWDLW
40 GF / 55 GA
Bari
WLDWL
33 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
19
BTTS Yes
19
17
Over 2.5
19
3.19
Shots on Goal
3.03
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Avellino
36 matches
Bari
36 matches
| Avellino | Statistic | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 8 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 18 |
| 40 | Goals For | 33 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 3.19 | Shots On Goal | 3.03 |
| 9.36 | Total Shots | 10.36 |
| 4.06 | Corners | 3.56 |
| 48.1% | Ball Possession | 46.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Avellino won 2 times, Bari won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from Avellino's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.5%)
Predicted formations: Avellino 4-3-1-2 / Bari 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Avellino wins 2, draws 4, Bari wins 6
Stats
Avellino
Bari
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots on Goal
0
0
Shots off Goal
10
10
Shots off Goal
6
6
Blocked Shots
2
2
Blocked Shots
3
3
Lineups
Avellino
Formation
Bari
A. Iannarilli
T. Cancellotti
P. Enrici
A. Izzo
A. Fontanarosa
D. Sounas
L. Palmiero
M. Besaggio
M. Palumbo
C. Patierno
R. Russo
M. Cerofolini
V. Mantovani
C. Odenthal
D. Nikolaou
M. Mane
G. Maggiore
M. Braunoder
K. Piscopo
M. Dorval
G. Moncini
E. Rao
Avellino
4-3-1-2
Starting XI
1
A. Iannarilli
G
29
T. Cancellotti
D
56
P. Enrici
D
4
A. Izzo
D
63
A. Fontanarosa
D
24
D. Sounas
M
🎯 67'
↓ 90+4'
6
L. Palmiero
M
🟨 72'
39
M. Besaggio
M
⚽ 67'
↓ 86'
20
M. Palumbo
M
⚽ 79'
9
C. Patierno
F
↓ 71'
🟨 11'
10
R. Russo
F
↓ 86'
Substitutes
30
G. Daffara
G
14
T. Biasci
F
99
A. Favilli
F
🎯 79'
↑ 71'
8
L. Pandolfi
F
2
F. Missori
D
↑ 86'
27
A. Le Borgne
M
↑ 90+4'
21
M. Armellino
M
7
G. Tutino
F
↑ 86'
94
R. Insigne
F
3
M. Sala
D
11
L. D'Andrea
F
16
J. Kumi
M
Bari
3-4-1-2
Starting XI
31
M. Cerofolini
G
13
V. Mantovani
D
26
C. Odenthal
D
43
D. Nikolaou
D
↓ 80'
30
M. Mane
↓ 46'
18
G. Maggiore
M
↓ 80'
27
M. Braunoder
M
28
K. Piscopo
M
93
M. Dorval
F
11
G. Moncini
F
↓ 66'
17
E. Rao
↓ 66'
Substitutes
1
M. Pissardo
G
10
N. Bellomo
M
↑ 80'
9
C. Gytkjaer
F
↑ 66'
25
R. Pucino
D
80
F. Artioli
M
↑ 80'
🟨 81'
20
N. Cavuoti
M
49
G. De Pieri
M
↑ 46'
66
D. Traore
M
24
L. Dickmann
D
90
M. Cuni
F
↑ 66'
8
R. Pagano
M
37
G. Stabile
Last matches: Avellino
12.05.26
Ser
Avellino
Catanzaro
0
3
L
08.05.26
Ser
Avellino
Modena
1
0
W
01.05.26
Ser
Avellino
Empoli
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Avellino
Mantova
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Avellino
Catanzaro
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Avellino
Palermo
0
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Avellino
Sampdoria
1
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
Avellino
Sudtirol
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
Avellino
Virtus Entella
2
1
W
07.03.26
Ser
Avellino
Padova
1
0
W
03.03.26
Ser
Avellino
Venezia
0
4
L
28.02.26
Ser
Avellino
Juve Stabia
0
0
D
22.02.26
Ser
Avellino
Reggiana
1
1
D
15.02.26
Ser
Avellino
Pescara
0
1
L
11.02.26
Ser
Avellino
Frosinone
1
3
L
08.02.26
Ser
Avellino
Monza
1
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Avellino
Cesena
3
1
W
24.01.26
Ser
Avellino
Spezia
0
1
L
17.01.26
Ser
Avellino
Carrarese
1
2
L
10.01.26
Ser
Avellino
Sampdoria
2
1
W
Last matches: Bari
22.05.26
Ser
Bari
Sudtirol
0
0
D
15.05.26
Ser
Bari
Sudtirol
0
0
D
08.05.26
Ser
Bari
Catanzaro
3
2
W
01.05.26
Ser
Bari
Virtus Entella
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Bari
Venezia
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bari
Monza
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Bari
Modena
3
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bari
Carrarese
0
3
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bari
Frosinone
1
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Bari
Reggiana
4
1
W
08.03.26
Ser
Bari
Pescara
0
4
L
04.03.26
Ser
Bari
Empoli
2
1
W
27.02.26
Ser
Bari
Sampdoria
2
0
W
21.02.26
Ser
Bari
Padova
1
1
D
15.02.26
Ser
Bari
Sudtirol
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Bari
Spezia
0
0
D
07.02.26
Ser
Bari
Mantova
1
2
L
30.01.26
Ser
Bari
Palermo
0
3
L
24.01.26
Ser
Bari
Cesena
2
1
W
17.01.26
Ser
Bari
Juve Stabia
0
1
L
H2H: Avellino vs Bari
24.04.26
H2H
Avellino
Bari
2
0
W
27.12.25
H2H
Bari
Avellino
1
1
D
10.04.22
H2H
Bari
Avellino
1
0
L
06.12.21
H2H
Avellino
Bari
1
1
D
10.04.21
H2H
Avellino
Bari
1
0
W
20.12.20
H2H
Bari
Avellino
4
1
L
01.03.20
H2H
Bari
Avellino
2
1
L
20.10.19
H2H
Avellino
Bari
2
2
D
02.04.18
H2H
Avellino
Bari
1
2
L
08.10.17
H2H
Bari
Avellino
2
1
L
06.05.17
H2H
Avellino
Bari
1
1
D
17.12.16
H2H
Bari
Avellino
2
1
L
Last matches: Avellino
08.05.26
Ser
Avellino
Modena
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Avellino
Catanzaro
1
1
D
18.03.26
Ser
Avellino
Sudtirol
3
2
W
07.03.26
Ser
Avellino
Padova
1
0
W
28.02.26
Ser
Avellino
Juve Stabia
0
0
D
15.02.26
Ser
Avellino
Pescara
0
1
L
11.02.26
Ser
Avellino
Frosinone
1
3
L
31.01.26
Ser
Avellino
Cesena
3
1
W
17.01.26
Ser
Avellino
Carrarese
1
2
L
10.01.26
Ser
Avellino
Sampdoria
2
1
W
20.12.25
Ser
Avellino
Palermo
2
2
D
08.12.25
Ser
Avellino
Venezia
1
1
D
22.11.25
Ser
Avellino
Empoli
0
3
L
01.11.25
Ser
Avellino
Reggiana
4
3
W
25.10.25
Ser
Avellino
Spezia
0
4
L
04.10.25
Ser
Avellino
Mantova
0
0
D
27.09.25
Ser
Avellino
Virtus Entella
2
0
W
12.09.25
Ser
Avellino
Monza
2
1
W
H2H at home: Avellino
24.04.26
H2H
Avellino
Bari
2
0
W
06.12.21
H2H
Avellino
Bari
1
1
D
10.04.21
H2H
Avellino
Bari
1
0
W
20.10.19
H2H
Avellino
Bari
2
2
D
02.04.18
H2H
Avellino
Bari
1
2
L
06.05.17
H2H
Avellino
Bari
1
1
D
Last matches: Bari
22.05.26
Ser
Bari
Sudtirol
0
0
D
08.05.26
Ser
Bari
Catanzaro
3
2
W
11.04.26
Ser
Bari
Monza
0
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bari
Frosinone
1
2
L
08.03.26
Ser
Bari
Pescara
0
4
L
27.02.26
Ser
Bari
Sampdoria
2
0
W
21.02.26
Ser
Bari
Padova
1
1
D
07.02.26
Ser
Bari
Mantova
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ser
Bari
Cesena
2
1
W
10.01.26
Ser
Bari
Carrarese
0
1
L
13.12.25
Ser
Bari
Sudtirol
0
0
D
04.12.25
Ser
Bari
Juve Stabia
0
0
D
29.11.25
Ser
Bari
Empoli
0
5
L
07.11.25
Ser
Bari
Spezia
1
1
D
18.10.25
Ser
Bari
Reggiana
1
3
L
30.09.25
Ser
Bari
Virtus Entella
2
2
D
19.09.25
Ser
Bari
Palermo
0
2
L
13.09.25
Ser
Bari
Modena
0
3
L
24.08.25
Ser
Bari
Venezia
1
2
L
17.08.25
Cop
Bari
AC Milan
0
2
L
H2H away: Bari
24.04.26
H2H
Avellino
Bari
2
0
L
06.12.21
H2H
Avellino
Bari
1
1
D
10.04.21
H2H
Avellino
Bari
1
0
L
20.10.19
H2H
Avellino
Bari
2
2
D
02.04.18
H2H
Avellino
Bari
1
2
W
06.05.17
H2H
Avellino
Bari
1
1
D
Standings
Serie B: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Avellino
Home
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
Bari
Away
|
38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation