BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Ressacada
Referee: Joao Vitor Gobi, Brazil
Avai
Match Timeline
Sport Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
43'
Felipinho ↔ Edson Lucas
Sport Recife
🟨
46'
Paulo Vitor
Avai
🔄
46'
Léo Chú ↔ Jean Lucas
Avai
66'
Diego Hernández · Assist: Edson Lucas
Sport Recife
🔄
67'
Marlon ↔ Juan Alano
Sport Recife
🔄
68'
Paulo Vitor ↔ Gabriel Cipriano
Avai
🔄
69'
Allyson ↔ Romildo Del Piage
Avai
73'
Romildo Del Piage
Avai
🔄
83'
Augusto Pucci ↔ Claudinho
Sport Recife
🔄
83'
Perotti ↔ Zé Roberto
Sport Recife
🔄
84'
Clayson ↔ Dudu
Sport Recife
🔄
88'
William Fernando ↔ Douglas Teixeira
Avai
🔄
88'
Felipe Vizeu ↔ Léo Gamalho
Avai
90'
Léo Gamalho
Avai
🟨
90+3'
Claudinho
Sport Recife

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Avai Win 47.9%
Draw 5.1%
Sport Recife Win 47.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avai0.99
Sport Recife1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avai Avai
WWDLW
23 GF / 29 GA
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WLDWL
28 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
11
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
8
3.23
Shots on Goal
4.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avai Avai 22 matches
Sport Recife Sport Recife 22 matches
Avai Statistic Sport Recife
6 Wins 8
5 Draws 11
11 Losses 3
23 Goals For 28
29 Goals Against 20
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
11 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 4
3.23 Shots On Goal 4.23
10.68 Total Shots 13.59
3.59 Corners 4.82
48% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sport Recife's more proactive style and Avai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sport Recife. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Sport Recife carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 32 points while Avai sit 18 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Avai expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sport Recife in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Recife having the stronger overall control.

Avai Analysis

Avai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 20 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats with a 21:27 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Daniel Penha (3 goals), Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Sorriso (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (3 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Daniel Penha (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sport Recife Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Sport Recife have collected 32 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 26:19 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Chrystian Barletta (6 goals), Perotti (6 goals), Biel Fonseca (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel Fonseca (3 assists), Carlos De Pena (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 5 times, Sport Recife won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from Avai's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Avai 4-2-3-1 / Sport Recife 4-3-3
H2H summary: Avai wins 5, draws 3, Sport Recife wins 4
Stats
Avai Avai
Sport Recife Sport Recife
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 3
18 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 0
38% Ball Possession 62%
19 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Goal 4
11 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 8
11 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
342 Total passes 596
281 Passes accurate 518
1.51 expected_goals 0.48
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Avai
Formation
Sport Recife
Bruno Ferreira
Bruno Ferreira
Jefferson Maciel
Jefferson Maciel
Allyson
Allyson
Reynaldo
Reynaldo
Joao Vitor
Joao Vitor
Paulo Vitor
Paulo Vitor
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique
William Fernando
William Fernando
Thayllon Roberth
Thayllon Roberth
Felipe Vizeu
Felipe Vizeu
Léo Chú
Léo Chú
Thiago Couto
Thiago Couto
Augusto Pucci
Augusto Pucci
Marcelo Ajul
Marcelo Ajul
Kayky Almeida
Kayky Almeida
Felipinho
Felipinho
Zé Gabriel
Zé Gabriel
Willian Oliveira
Willian Oliveira
Marlon
Marlon
Diego Hernández
Diego Hernández
Clayson
Clayson
Perotti
Perotti
Avai 3-4-3
Starting XI
94
Bruno Ferreira
G
38
Jefferson Maciel
D
3
Allyson
↓ 69'
D
40
Reynaldo
D
22
Joao Vitor
M
25
Paulo Vitor
↓ 68' 🟨 46'
M
8
Luiz Henrique
M
56
William Fernando
↓ 88'
M
43
Thayllon Roberth
F
11
Felipe Vizeu
↓ 88'
F
7
Léo Chú
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
10
Jean Lucas
↑ 46'
M
23
Gabriel Cipriano
↑ 68'
F
5
Romildo Del Piage
⚽ 73' ↑ 69'
M
36
Douglas Teixeira
↑ 88'
D
9
Léo Gamalho
⚽ 90' ↑ 88'
F
1
Igor Bohn
G
15
Guilherme Aquino
D
2
Wallison
D
66
Mateus Quaresma
D
95
Wenderson
M
77
Zé Ricardo
M
20
Isaías Pereira
F
Sport Recife 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
26
Thiago Couto
G
68
Augusto Pucci
↓ 83'
D
3
Marcelo Ajul
D
33
Kayky Almeida
D
60
Felipinho
↓ 43'
D
23
Zé Gabriel
M
29
Willian Oliveira
M
31
Marlon
↓ 67'
M
20
Diego Hernández
⚽ 66'
M
25
Clayson
↓ 84'
M
9
Perotti
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
96
Edson Lucas
🎯 66' ↑ 43'
D
8
Juan Alano
↑ 67'
M
27
Claudinho
↑ 83' 🟨 90+3'
D
99
Zé Roberto
↑ 83'
F
77
Dudu
↑ 84'
F
21
Brenno
G
5
Marcelo Benevenuto
D
28
Habraão
D
48
Pedro Martins
M
15
Murilo Rhikman
M
10
Carlos De Pena
M
Last matches: Avai
23.08.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
16.08.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
2
1
W
11.08.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
0
1
L
28.07.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
0
1
L
21.07.26
Ser
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.07.26
Ser
Avai
São Bernardo
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Avai
Botafogo SP
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Avai
Athletic Club
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Avai
Londrina
2
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Avai
Ceara
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Avai
Vila Nova
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ser
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
Last matches: Sport Recife
28.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
2
L
24.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
3
0
W
14.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
08.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
0
W
27.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
1
1
D
22.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Goias
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
3
3
D
04.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
19.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
0
0
D
11.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Juventude
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
CRB
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
3
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ceara
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
H2H: Avai vs Sport Recife
19.08.26
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
2
1
W
11.04.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Avai
2
2
D
08.09.24
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
0
2
L
19.05.24
H2H
Sport Recife
Avai
1
2
W
29.09.23
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
07.06.23
H2H
Sport Recife
Avai
2
1
L
10.09.17
H2H
Sport Recife
Avai
0
1
W
04.06.17
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
1
0
W
14.10.15
H2H
Sport Recife
Avai
3
0
L
05.07.15
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
09.10.13
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
1
0
W
17.07.13
H2H
Sport Recife
Avai
2
0
L
Last matches: Avai
11.08.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
0
1
L
21.07.26
Ser
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
H2H at home: Avai
19.08.26
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
2
1
W
08.09.24
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
0
2
L
29.09.23
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
04.06.17
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
1
0
W
05.07.15
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
09.10.13
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
1
0
W
Last matches: Sport Recife
28.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
2
L
08.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Goias
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Juventude
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
3
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
0
0
D
H2H away: Sport Recife
19.08.26
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
2
1
L
08.09.24
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
0
2
W
29.09.23
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
04.06.17
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
1
0
L
05.07.15
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
09.10.13
H2H
Avai
Sport Recife
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16
Avai Home
24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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