BRAZIL SERIE B
19.08.2026 22:30
Estádio da Ressacada
Referee: J. Vitor Gobi
Avai
Match Timeline
Sport Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
43'
Felipinho ↔ Edson Lucas
Sport Recife
🟨
46'
Paulo Vitor
Avai
🔄
46'
Leo Chu ↔ Jean Lucas
Avai
66'
Diego Hernandez · Assist: Edson Lucas
Sport Recife
🔄
67'
Marlon Douglas ↔ Juan Alano
Sport Recife
🔄
68'
Paulo Vitor ↔ Gabriel Cipriano
Avai
🔄
69'
Allyson ↔ Romildo Del Piage
Avai
73'
Romildo Del Piage
Avai
🔄
83'
Augusto ↔ Claudinho
Sport Recife
🔄
83'
Pedro Perotti ↔ Ze Roberto
Sport Recife
🔄
84'
Clayson ↔ Dudu
Sport Recife
🔄
88'
William ↔ Douglas Teixeira
Avai
🔄
88'
F. Vizeu ↔ Leo Gamalho
Avai
🟨
90+3'
Claudinho
Sport Recife
90'
Leo Gamalho
Avai

Avai vs Sport Recife Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Avai Win 47.9%
Draw 5.1%
Sport Recife Win 47.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avai0.99
Sport Recife1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avai Avai
WWDLW
23 GF / 29 GA
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WLDWL
28 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
11
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
8
3.23
Shots on Goal
4.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avai Avai 22 matches
Sport Recife Sport Recife 22 matches
Avai Statistic Sport Recife
6 Wins 8
5 Draws 11
11 Losses 3
23 Goals For 28
29 Goals Against 20
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
11 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 4
3.23 Shots On Goal 4.23
10.68 Total Shots 13.59
3.59 Corners 4.82
48% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sport Recife's more proactive style and Avai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sport Recife. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Sport Recife carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 32 points while Avai sit 18 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Avai expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sport Recife in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Recife having the stronger overall control.

Avai Analysis

Avai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 20 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats with a 21:27 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Daniel Penha (3 goals), Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Sorriso (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (3 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Daniel Penha (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sport Recife Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Sport Recife have collected 32 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 26:19 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Chrystian Barletta (6 goals), Perotti (6 goals), Biel Fonseca (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel Fonseca (3 assists), Carlos De Pena (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 5 times, Sport Recife won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from Avai's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Avai 4-2-3-1 / Sport Recife 4-3-3
H2H summary: Avai wins 5, draws 3, Sport Recife wins 4

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
11 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
12 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
13 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17
Avai Home
29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
Promotion
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