Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
95%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Avai
Sport Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Avai
22 matches
Sport Recife
22 matches
| Avai | Statistic | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 11 |
| 11 | Losses | 3 |
| 23 | Goals For | 28 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.91 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.23 | Shots On Goal | 4.23 |
| 10.68 | Total Shots | 13.59 |
| 3.59 | Corners | 4.82 |
| 48% | Ball Possession | 53.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sport Recife's more proactive style and Avai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sport Recife. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Sport Recife carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 32 points while Avai sit 18 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Avai expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sport Recife in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Recife having the stronger overall control.
Avai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 20 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats with a 21:27 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Daniel Penha (3 goals), Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Sorriso (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (3 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Daniel Penha (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 21 matches, Sport Recife have collected 32 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 26:19 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Chrystian Barletta (6 goals), Perotti (6 goals), Biel Fonseca (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel Fonseca (3 assists), Carlos De Pena (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 5 times, Sport Recife won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from Avai's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.
Avai
3
4
11
6
5
3
Lineups
Avai
Ponte Preta
Avai
Operario-PR
Avai
CRB
Avai
Juventude
Avai
America Mineiro
Avai
São Bernardo
Avai
Nautico Recife
Avai
Botafogo SP
Avai
Athletic Club
Avai
Cuiaba
Avai
Londrina
Avai
Ceara
Avai
Criciuma
Avai
Goias
Avai
Vila Nova
Avai
Fortaleza EC
Avai
Novorizontino
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
Ponte Preta
Avai
Sport Recife
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
Londrina
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
Goias
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Juventude
Sport Recife
CRB
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ceara
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Avai
CRB
Avai
America Mineiro
Avai
Nautico Recife
Avai
Cuiaba
Avai
Criciuma
Avai
Goias
Avai
Fortaleza EC
Avai
Novorizontino
Avai
Ponte Preta
Avai
Operario-PR
Avai
Juventude
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Goias
Sport Recife
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
Juventude
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
Londrina
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Sport Recife
Away
|
24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 |
Avai
Home
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 17 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|