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07.10.2026 22:30
Estádio da Ressacada
Referee: Bruno Mota Correia, Brazil
Avai
Match Timeline
Londrina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
Caio Suassuna · Assist: Jean Lucas
Avai
🟨
30'
Hyan
Avai
⚽
32'
Hyan
Avai
🟨
39'
Guilherme Portuga
Londrina
🟨
45+2'
Douglas Teixeira
Avai
🔄
46'
Herbert ↔ Vitinho Mota
Londrina
🔄
46'
Gabriel Lacerda ↔ Willian Pottker
Londrina
⚽
49'
Willian Pottker · Assist: Joao Vitor
Londrina
🔄
58'
Hyan ↔ Leo Chu
Avai
🟨
67'
Allyson
Avai
🔄
68'
Guilherme Dantas ↔ Victor Feitosa
Londrina
🔄
68'
Igor Bahia ↔ Pablo Dyego
Londrina
🔄
70'
Luiz Henrique ↔ Paulo Vitor
Avai
🔄
70'
Caio Suassuna ↔ Leo Gamalho
Avai
🟨
77'
Léo Gamalho
Avai
🔄
77'
Wenderson ↔ Gaspar
Avai
🔄
82'
Joao Coni ↔ Thalis
Londrina
🟨
90+5'
Léo Chú
Avai

Avai vs Londrina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 43.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 64.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
43.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
64.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Avai Win 26.9%
Draw 43.7%
Londrina Win 29.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avai1.16
Londrina1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avai Avai
L L L D L
2 GF / 8 GA
Londrina Londrina
L L L W W
9 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
15
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
19
3.32
Shots on Goal
3.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avai Avai 31 matches
Londrina Londrina 31 matches
Avai Statistic Londrina
8 Wins 7
6 Draws 7
17 Losses 17
30 Goals For 39
42 Goals Against 45
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
15 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 23
14 Over 2.5 19
5 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 7
11 Failed To Score 12
3.32 Shots On Goal 3.94
11.74 Total Shots 13.77
4 Corners 5.58
46.6% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Londrina. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Avai expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Londrina in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Londrina having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Avai Analysis

Avai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 30 points from 31 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 30:42 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Daniel Penha (5 goals), Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Jean Lucas (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (5 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Daniel Penha (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina sit 18 with 28 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats with a 39:45 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from João Vitor (4 assists), Bruno Santos (3 assists), Lucas Marques (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 5 times, Londrina won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:7 from Avai's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (73.1%)
Predicted formations: Avai 4-2-3-1 / Londrina 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Avai wins 5, draws 3, Londrina wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 20 10 7 66:32 34 70
W W W D W
2 37 19 11 7 49:26 23 68
W D W D D
3 37 19 9 9 53:38 15 66
W D L D W
4 37 18 8 11 38:31 7 62
L W L W W
5 37 16 14 7 44:33 11 62
L D D W D
6 37 17 7 13 57:51 6 58
W L W L D
7 37 17 7 13 39:41 -2 58
W W W D W
8 37 15 13 9 45:35 10 58
W D L D D
9 37 14 13 10 50:42 8 55
L D W L D
10 37 15 9 13 49:50 -1 54
W L W L L
11 37 14 10 13 52:42 10 52
L W W L D
12 37 14 9 14 45:39 6 51
W D W W W
13 37 11 14 12 34:32 2 47
L L L L L
14 37 11 14 12 44:44 0 47
L W L D D
15 37 12 10 15 40:49 -9 46
L W L D L
16 37 11 10 16 38:47 -9 43
L L L D L
17
Avai Home
37 11 7 19 35:47 -12 40
W L L D W
18 37 8 8 21 45:58 -13 32
L L L W D
19 37 8 5 24 27:55 -28 29
W W W W L
20 37 3 6 28 21:79 -58 15
L L D D L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation