BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Ressacada
Referee: Y. Ferreira
Avai
Match Timeline
Cuiaba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
Jean Lucas · Assist: Sorriso
Avai
🔄
46'
Vinicius Peixoto ↔ Kauan Cristtyan
Cuiaba
🔄
52'
Joao Maistro ↔ Guilherme Aquino
Avai
🟨
54'
Léo Gamalho
Avai
🔄
54'
Sorriso ↔ DG
Avai
🟨
57'
Marlon Lopes
Cuiaba
🔄
62'
David Miguel ↔ Luiz Otavio
Cuiaba
🔄
66'
William ↔ Wenderson
Avai
🔄
66'
Leo Gamalho ↔ Walace Franca
Avai
🟨
69'
Jean Lucas
Avai
🔄
73'
Pepe ↔ Weverson
Cuiaba
🔄
73'
Calebe Costa ↔ Victor Barbara
Cuiaba
🔄
79'
Luiz Henrique ↔ Paulo Vitor
Avai
🔄
79'
Thayllon ↔ Jamerson
Avai
🔄
80'
Marlon ↔ Eric Melo
Cuiaba
🔄
81'
Vitor Mendes ↔ Marcos Junior
Cuiaba

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.6%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.6%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.3%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Avai Win 19%
Draw 12.4%
Cuiaba Win 68.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avai0.83
Cuiaba1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avai Avai
WWDLW
14 GF / 20 GA
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WLDWL
9 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
0.69
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
0.46
7
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
1
3.23
Shots on Goal
4.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avai Avai 13 matches
Cuiaba Cuiaba 13 matches
Avai Statistic Cuiaba
2 Wins 4
4 Draws 7
7 Losses 2
14 Goals For 9
20 Goals Against 6
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 0.69
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 0.46
7 BTTS Yes 3
10 Over 1.5 6
7 Over 2.5 1
3 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 7
3.23 Shots On Goal 4.15
10.77 Total Shots 11.23
3.46 Corners 3.46
50.9% Ball Possession 46.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Cuiaba's more proactive style and Avai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Avai expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cuiaba in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cuiaba having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cuiaba. Avai have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Avai Analysis

Avai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 10 points from 12 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats with a 12:17 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Walace Franca (3 goals), Luiz Henrique (2 goals), Paulo Vitor (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (2 assists), Thayllon (2 assists), Allyson (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cuiaba Analysis

With 16 points from 12 games and a place of 14, Cuiaba still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 8:6, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Hernandes (2 goals), Joao Basso (2 goals), Eric (1 goals), with creative support from Pepê (2 assists), Hernandes (1 assists), Joao Basso (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 2 times, Cuiaba won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Avai's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: Avai 4-2-3-1 / Cuiaba 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Avai wins 2, draws 1, Cuiaba wins 4
Stats
Avai Avai
Cuiaba Cuiaba
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
1 Corner Kicks 13
10 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 1
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Goal 7
2 Shots off Goal 8
4 Blocked Shots 3
4 Shots insidebox 11
4 Shots outsidebox 7
7 Goalkeeper Saves 1
306 Total passes 444
226 Passes accurate 364
0.52 expected_goals 0.69
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Avai
Formation
Cuiaba
Igor Bohn
Igor Bohn
Wesley Gasolina
Wesley Gasolina
Allyson
Allyson
Joao Maistro
Joao Maistro
William
William
Ze Ricardo
Ze Ricardo
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique
Thayllon
Thayllon
Jean Lucas
Jean Lucas
Sorriso
🎯
Sorriso
Leo Gamalho
Leo Gamalho
Marcelo Carne
Marcelo Carne
Raylan
Raylan
Joao Basso
Joao Basso
Raul
Raul
Vitor Mendes
Vitor Mendes
Marlon
Marlon
Pepe
Pepe
Calebe Costa
Calebe Costa
David Miguel
David Miguel
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Vinicius Peixoto
Vinicius Peixoto
Avai 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Igor Bohn
G
52
Wesley Gasolina
D
3
Allyson
D
50
Joao Maistro
↓ 52'
D
56
William
↓ 66'
D
77
Ze Ricardo
M
8
Luiz Henrique
↓ 79'
M
43
Thayllon
↓ 79'
M
10
Jean Lucas
⚽ 31' 🟨 69'
M
11
Sorriso
🎯 31' ↓ 54'
M
9
Leo Gamalho
↓ 66' 🟨 54'
F
Substitutes
21
Otavio Passos
G
95
Wenderson
↑ 66'
M
36
DG
↑ 54'
D
4
Gabriel Simples
D
25
Paulo Vitor
↑ 79'
M
18
Hyan
M
15
Guilherme Aquino
↑ 52'
D
66
Quaresma
D
6
N. Cabral
D
5
Romildo Del Piage
M
57
Walace Franca
↑ 66'
F
16
Jamerson
↑ 79'
M
Cuiaba 5-4-1
Starting XI
31
Marcelo Carne
G
37
Raylan
D
13
Joao Basso
D
30
Raul
D
4
Vitor Mendes
↓ 81'
D
6
Marlon
↓ 80' 🟨 57'
D
8
Pepe
↓ 73'
M
5
Calebe Costa
↓ 73'
M
20
David Miguel
↓ 62'
M
27
Rodrigo Rodrigues
M
29
Vinicius Peixoto
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
Joao Carlos
G
23
Marcos Junior
↑ 81'
F
97
Luiz Otavio
↑ 62'
53
Weverson
↑ 73'
M
44
Gabriel Knesowitsch
D
91
Luis Soares
D
2
Nino Paraiba
D
17
Victor Barbara
↑ 73'
M
14
Eric Melo
↑ 80'
D
41
Kauan Cristtyan
↑ 46'
F
Last matches: Avai
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Avai
Botafogo SP
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Avai
Athletic Club
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
Avai
Londrina
2
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Avai
Ceara
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Avai
Vila Nova
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ser
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
Last matches: Cuiaba
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
02.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
1
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
H2H: Avai vs Cuiaba
21.06.26
H2H
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
10.08.25
H2H
Avai
Cuiaba
2
0
W
11.04.25
H2H
Cuiaba
Avai
2
2
D
27.10.22
H2H
Cuiaba
Avai
1
0
L
03.07.22
H2H
Avai
Cuiaba
1
2
L
28.11.20
H2H
Cuiaba
Avai
2
1
L
22.08.20
H2H
Avai
Cuiaba
0
2
L
Last matches: Avai
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
H2H at home: Avai
21.06.26
H2H
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
10.08.25
H2H
Avai
Cuiaba
2
0
W
03.07.22
H2H
Avai
Cuiaba
1
2
L
22.08.20
H2H
Avai
Cuiaba
0
2
L
Last matches: Cuiaba
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
H2H away: Cuiaba
21.06.26
H2H
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
L
10.08.25
H2H
Avai
Cuiaba
2
0
L
03.07.22
H2H
Avai
Cuiaba
1
2
W
22.08.20
H2H
Avai
Cuiaba
0
2
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 9 6 2 20:12 8 33
W W W W D
2 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W L W L
3 17 9 4 4 22:18 4 31
W W W W L
4 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L W W W D
5 17 8 5 4 17:8 9 29
W D W W W
6 17 8 4 5 20:17 3 28
L W W D L
7 17 7 5 5 23:16 7 26
D L L L D
8 17 6 8 3 21:15 6 26
D L L D D
9 17 7 4 6 18:23 -5 25
D W W L D
10 17 6 6 5 19:19 0 24
W L W D D
11 17 5 9 3 14:11 3 24
D W D L W
12 16 5 7 4 16:16 0 22
L W L D D
13 17 6 3 8 21:21 0 21
L D L L D
14 17 5 5 7 20:18 2 20
D W L W W
15 17 5 5 7 26:31 -5 20
D L W D D
16 16 5 3 8 24:24 0 18
W D W W L
17 16 4 5 7 15:20 -5 17
L L L D W
18
Avai Home
17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
W L L W L
19 17 2 2 13 11:33 -22 8
L L L L L
20 16 1 3 12 10:27 -17 6
L L L W L
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