FRANCE LIGUE 1
12.09.2026 18:45

Auxerre vs Nice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.5%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Auxerre Win 44.9%
Draw 24.7%
Nice Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auxerre1.26
Nice1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auxerre Auxerre
WWDLW
13 GF / 17 GA
Nice Nice
WLDWL
7 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
7
BTTS Yes
0
5
Over 2.5
3
4.67
Shots on Goal
2.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auxerre Auxerre 8 matches
Nice Nice 7 matches
Auxerre Statistic Nice
2 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
4 Losses 2
13 Goals For 7
17 Goals Against 5
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
7 BTTS Yes 0
7 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 5
0 Failed To Score 5
4.67 Shots On Goal 2.5
12.67 Total Shots 14.5
6.33 Corners 6.5
48% Ball Possession 57.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Auxerre won 4 times, Nice won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:14 from Auxerre's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.3%)
Predicted formations: Auxerre 4-3-3 / Nice 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Auxerre wins 4, draws 4, Nice wins 4

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 5:1 4 9
W W W
2 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W D W
3 3 2 1 0 5:2 3 7
W D W
4 2 1 1 0 3:0 3 4
W D
5 2 1 1 0 5:4 1 4
W D
6 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
W D
7 2 1 0 1 6:4 2 3
L W
8 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
9 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 2:5 -3 3
W L
11 2 0 2 0 4:4 0 2
D D
12 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
L D D
13 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
L D
14 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
15 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
D L
16 3 0 1 2 2:5 -3 1
L D L
17
Nice Away
2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
L D
18 3 0 0 3 4:11 -7 0
L L L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation