Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
89.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
94.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Austin
St. Louis City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Austin
16 matches
St. Louis City
13 matches
| Austin | Statistic | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 17 | Goals For | 13 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.9 | Shots On Goal | 4.78 |
| 10.5 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 4.8 | Corners | 7.11 |
| 46.7% | Ball Possession | 51.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward St. Louis City. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Austin expected to line up in 4-4-2 and St. Louis City in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St. Louis City having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
From their first 10 matches, Austin have collected 10 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 14:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Agyemang (3 goals), M. Uzuni (3 goals), C. Ramirez (2 goals), with creative support from F. Torres (4 assists), J. Rosales (1 assists), J. Gallagher (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 6 points from 9 games and a place of 14, St. Louis City still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats with a 9:16 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Hartel (3 goals), B. McSorley (1 goals), Christopher Durkin (1 goals), with creative support from S. Becher (2 assists), D. Edelman (2 assists), L. MacNaughton (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Austin won 2 times, St. Louis City won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:19 from Austin's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Austin
6
5
6
7
3
3
Lineups
Austin
Seattle Sounders
Austin
Sporting JAX
Austin
Club Queretaro
Austin
St. Louis City
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
San Diego
Austin
Minnesota United FC
Austin
Houston Dynamo
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
Toronto FC
Austin
Los Angeles Galaxy
Austin
Inter Miami
Austin
Los Angeles FC
Austin
Real Salt Lake
Austin
Charlotte
Austin
DC United
Austin
Minnesota United FC
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
Chicago Fire
Austin
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
DC United
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
St. Louis City
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
San Diego
St. Louis City
Charlotte
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
Austin
Seattle Sounders
Austin
Sporting JAX
Austin
Club Queretaro
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
Houston Dynamo
Austin
Los Angeles Galaxy
Austin
Los Angeles FC
Austin
DC United
Austin
Minnesota United FC
Austin
Chicago Fire
Austin
Louisville City
Austin
San Antonio
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
DC United
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
St. Louis City
New York City FC
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
San Diego
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 37:16 | 21 | 32 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:19 | 15 | 32 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 26 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:24 | 8 | 26 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 23 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
St. Louis City
Away
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 19:24 | -5 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:28 | -5 | 20 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 26:24 | 2 | 19 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 29:31 | -2 | 18 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 17 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 |
Austin
Home
|
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22:32 | -10 | 17 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
| 15 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18:40 | -22 | 14 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
