🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
23.07.2026 01:30
Q2 Stadium
Referee: Ricardo Montero, Costa Rica
Austin
Match Timeline
Seattle Sounders
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
I. Sanchez · Assist: B. Sabovic
Austin
26'
P. Rothrock
Seattle Sounders
🟨
59'
Jackson Ragen
Seattle Sounders
🟨
60'
Besard Sabović
Austin
🔄
62'
J. Rosales ↔ P. Placheta
Austin
🔄
62'
B. Sabovic ↔ O. Wolff
Austin
🔄
62'
D. Musovski ↔ O. De Rosario
Seattle Sounders
🔄
63'
B. Hines-Ike ↔ M. Djordjevic
Austin
🔄
66'
P. Kingston ↔ K. Kossa-Rienzi
Seattle Sounders
🔄
67'
S. Brunell ↔ P. Arriola
Seattle Sounders
🔄
83'
B. Vazquez ↔ C. Ramirez
Austin
🔄
83'
F. Torres ↔ E. Torres
Austin
86'
M. Uzuni · Assist: E. Torres
Austin
🟨
88'
Myrto Uzuni
Austin
🔄
88'
Nouhou ↔ S. Gomez
Seattle Sounders
🟨
90+4'
Jackson Ragen
Seattle Sounders
🟥
90+4'
Jackson Ragen
Seattle Sounders
90'
C. Ramirez · Assist: E. Torres
Austin

Austin vs Seattle Sounders Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.1%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Austin Win 52.1%
Draw 4.9%
Seattle Sounders Win 43%
Expected Goals (xG)
Austin1.13
Seattle Sounders1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Austin Austin
WWDLW
26 GF / 39 GA
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WLDWL
35 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
10
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
12
3.87
Shots on Goal
5.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Austin Austin 23 matches
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 matches
Austin Statistic Seattle Sounders
5 Wins 13
7 Draws 3
11 Losses 6
26 Goals For 35
39 Goals Against 25
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
10 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 5
3.87 Shots On Goal 5.11
10.4 Total Shots 13.17
4.33 Corners 4.72
47.2% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Seattle Sounders's more proactive style and Austin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Seattle Sounders. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Seattle Sounders carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 24 points while Austin sit 14 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Austin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Austin expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Seattle Sounders in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Seattle Sounders having the stronger overall control.

Austin Analysis

Austin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 14 points from 15 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats with a 19:31 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Uzuni (5 goals), C. Ramirez (4 goals), J. Bell (2 goals), with creative support from Facundo Torres (5 assists), C. Ramirez (1 assists), Guilherme Biro (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Seattle Sounders have collected 24 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 17:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Rothrock (4 goals), A. Rusnak (3 goals), C. Roldan (3 goals), with creative support from A. Rusnak (3 assists), J. Ferreira (3 assists), J. Morris (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Austin won 4 times, Seattle Sounders won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:14 from Austin's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Austin 4-1-4-1 / Seattle Sounders 4-4-2
Missing players: Austin 2, Seattle Sounders 8
H2H summary: Austin wins 4, draws 3, Seattle Sounders wins 5

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 24 8 6 10 42:37 5 30
L L W W L
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)