🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Q2 Stadium
Referee: R. Montero
Austin
Match Timeline
Seattle Sounders
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
I. Sanchez · Assist: B. Sabovic
Austin
26'
P. Rothrock
Seattle Sounders
🟨
59'
Jackson Ragen
Seattle Sounders
🟨
60'
Besard Sabović
Austin
🔄
62'
J. Rosales ↔ P. Placheta
Austin
🔄
62'
B. Sabovic ↔ O. Wolff
Austin
🔄
62'
D. Musovski ↔ O. De Rosario
Seattle Sounders
🔄
63'
B. Hines-Ike ↔ M. Djordjevic
Austin
🔄
66'
P. Kingston ↔ K. Kossa-Rienzi
Seattle Sounders
🔄
67'
S. Brunell ↔ P. Arriola
Seattle Sounders
🔄
83'
B. Vazquez ↔ C. Ramirez
Austin
🔄
83'
F. Torres ↔ E. Torres
Austin
86'
M. Uzuni · Assist: E. Torres
Austin
🟨
88'
Myrto Uzuni
Austin
🔄
88'
Nouhou ↔ S. Gomez
Seattle Sounders
🟨
90+4'
Jackson Ragen
Seattle Sounders
🟥
90+4'
Jackson Ragen
Seattle Sounders
90'
C. Ramirez · Assist: E. Torres
Austin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.1%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Austin Win 52.1%
Draw 4.9%
Seattle Sounders Win 43%
Expected Goals (xG)
Austin1.13
Seattle Sounders1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Austin Austin
WWDLW
26 GF / 39 GA
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WLDWL
35 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
10
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
12
3.87
Shots on Goal
5.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Austin Austin 23 matches
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 matches
Austin Statistic Seattle Sounders
5 Wins 13
7 Draws 3
11 Losses 6
26 Goals For 35
39 Goals Against 25
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
10 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 5
3.87 Shots On Goal 5.11
10.4 Total Shots 13.17
4.33 Corners 4.72
47.2% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Seattle Sounders's more proactive style and Austin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Seattle Sounders. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Seattle Sounders carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 24 points while Austin sit 14 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Austin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Austin expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Seattle Sounders in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Seattle Sounders having the stronger overall control.

Austin Analysis

Austin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 14 points from 15 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats with a 19:31 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Uzuni (5 goals), C. Ramirez (4 goals), J. Bell (2 goals), with creative support from Facundo Torres (5 assists), C. Ramirez (1 assists), Guilherme Biro (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Seattle Sounders have collected 24 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 17:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Rothrock (4 goals), A. Rusnak (3 goals), C. Roldan (3 goals), with creative support from A. Rusnak (3 assists), J. Ferreira (3 assists), J. Morris (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Austin won 3 times, Seattle Sounders won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:13 from Austin's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Austin 4-1-4-1 / Seattle Sounders 4-4-2
Missing players: Austin 2, Seattle Sounders 8
H2H summary: Austin wins 3, draws 3, Seattle Sounders wins 5
Stats
Austin Austin
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 4
5 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 3
0 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
418 Total passes 383
365 Passes accurate 340
1.15 expected_goals 1.28
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Austin
Formation
Seattle Sounders
B. Stuver
B. Stuver
B. Hines-Ike
B. Hines-Ike
O. Svatok
O. Svatok
Guilherme Biro
Guilherme Biro
J. Rosales
J. Rosales
B. Sabovic
🎯
B. Sabovic
I. Sanchez
I. Sanchez
J. Gallagher
J. Gallagher
F. Torres
F. Torres
B. Vazquez
B. Vazquez
M. Uzuni
M. Uzuni
A. Thomas
A. Thomas
P. Kingston
P. Kingston
S. Hawkins
S. Hawkins
J. Ragen
J. Ragen
Nouhou
Nouhou
S. Brunell
S. Brunell
H. Dotson
H. Dotson
J. Ferreira
J. Ferreira
A. Rusnak
A. Rusnak
P. Rothrock
P. Rothrock
D. Musovski
D. Musovski
Austin 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
B. Stuver
G
4
B. Hines-Ike
↓ 63'
D
5
O. Svatok
D
29
Guilherme Biro
D
30
J. Rosales
↓ 62'
M
14
B. Sabovic
🎯 11' ↓ 62' 🟨 60'
M
6
I. Sanchez
⚽ 11'
M
17
J. Gallagher
M
11
F. Torres
↓ 83'
F
9
B. Vazquez
↓ 83'
F
10
M. Uzuni
⚽ 86' 🟨 88'
F
Substitutes
12
D. Las
G
21
C. Ramirez
⚽ 90' ↑ 83'
F
77
P. Placheta
↑ 62'
M
7
J. Nelson
F
23
Z. Kolmanic
D
35
M. Djordjevic
↑ 63'
D
33
O. Wolff
↑ 62'
M
38
E. Torres
🎯 86' 🎯 90' ↑ 83'
M
20
N. Dubersarsky
M
Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
26
A. Thomas
G
45
P. Kingston
↓ 66'
D
39
S. Hawkins
D
25
J. Ragen
🟨 59' 🟨 90+4' 🟥 90+4'
D
5
Nouhou
↓ 88'
D
37
S. Brunell
↓ 67'
M
31
H. Dotson
M
9
J. Ferreira
M
11
A. Rusnak
M
14
P. Rothrock
⚽ 26'
M
19
D. Musovski
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
50
M. Anchor
G
24
S. Frei
G
28
Y. Gomez Andrade
D
95
O. De Rosario
↑ 62'
F
35
A. Lopez
D
90
S. Gomez
↑ 88'
M
17
P. Arriola
↑ 67'
F
53
G. Sandnes
85
K. Kossa-Rienzi
↑ 66'
M
Last matches: Austin
26.07.26
Maj
Austin
Houston Dynamo
0
3
L
08.07.26
Fri
Austin
Sporting JAX
4
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Austin
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
23.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
0
3
L
17.05.26
Maj
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Austin
San Diego
0
5
L
10.05.26
Maj
Austin
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Austin
Houston Dynamo
2
0
W
23.04.26
Maj
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
1
5
L
18.04.26
Maj
Austin
Toronto FC
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Austin
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Austin
Inter Miami
2
2
D
22.03.26
Maj
Austin
Los Angeles FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Austin
Charlotte
1
3
L
01.03.26
Maj
Austin
DC United
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Austin
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Austin
Chicago Fire
2
2
D
Last matches: Seattle Sounders
25.07.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia Union
0
1
L
17.07.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
1
5
L
25.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
17.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
10.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Diego
1
1
D
02.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
FC Dallas
2
1
W
19.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
4
1
W
16.04.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
0
2
L
05.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo
1
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
19.03.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
1
0
W
13.03.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
3
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
23.02.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Colorado Rapids
2
0
W
15.02.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
Louisville City
3
1
W
H2H: Austin vs Seattle Sounders
23.07.26
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
3
1
W
21.09.25
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
29.06.25
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Austin
2
0
L
14.07.24
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
03.03.24
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Austin
0
0
D
31.08.23
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
18.05.23
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Austin
1
2
W
11.09.22
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Austin
3
0
L
20.03.22
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
23.07.21
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
31.05.21
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Austin
0
0
D
Last matches: Austin
08.07.26
Fri
Austin
Sporting JAX
4
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Austin
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
17.05.26
Maj
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
03.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Austin
Houston Dynamo
2
0
W
11.04.26
Maj
Austin
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
22.03.26
Maj
Austin
Los Angeles FC
0
0
D
01.03.26
Maj
Austin
DC United
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Austin
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
11.02.26
Fri
Austin
Chicago Fire
2
2
D
28.01.26
Fri
Austin
Louisville City
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Austin
San Antonio
0
0
D
H2H at home: Austin
23.07.26
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
3
1
W
21.09.25
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
14.07.24
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
31.08.23
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
20.03.22
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
23.07.21
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
Last matches: Seattle Sounders
25.07.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia Union
0
1
L
25.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
0
2
L
05.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo
1
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
1
0
W
13.03.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
3
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
05.02.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
3
L
H2H away: Seattle Sounders
23.07.26
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
3
1
L
21.09.25
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
2
1
L
14.07.24
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
0
1
W
31.08.23
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
1
2
W
20.03.22
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
23.07.21
H2H
Austin
Seattle Sounders
0
1
W

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 3 3 37:16 21 33
D L W L W
2 18 10 3 5 34:18 16 33
W W W W L
3 17 10 3 4 35:20 15 33
D L W L L
4 16 8 2 6 28:24 4 26
L L D W W
5 16 8 2 6 23:24 -1 26
W D D W L
6 17 7 5 5 32:25 7 26
L D W W L
7 17 7 4 6 23:23 0 25
W W W W D
8 16 7 3 6 19:20 -1 24
L L L L L
9 17 6 5 6 19:24 -5 23
D L D L L
10 17 6 3 8 31:32 -1 21
W D W L L
11 18 5 6 7 24:29 -5 21
D L L D W
12 17 5 5 7 31:28 3 20
W L L D W
13 17 6 1 10 26:25 1 19
L W L L W
14 17 4 5 8 22:35 -13 17
L W L L L
15 17 4 2 11 18:44 -26 14
L W L L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Austin 2 missing
-
J. Bell
Missing Fixture Pelvis Injury
OUT
-
M. Desler
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
Seattle Sounders 8 missing
-
Y. Gomez Andrade
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Kim Kee-Hee
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
A. Roldan
Missing Fixture Hip Injury
OUT
-
N. Petkovic
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
C. Roldan
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Morris
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
P. de La Vega
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
R. Sailor
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT