LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Skonto stadions
Referee: S. Vasjkovs
Auda
Match Timeline
Tukums
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
29'
A. Appiah · Assist: B. Diedhiou
Auda
🟨
36'
Anmanis Kaspars
Tukums
🟨
36'
B. Pena
Auda
VAR
43'
D. Valmiers
Tukums
🟨
46'
W. Fofana
Auda
🔄
54'
B. Pena ↔ E. Daskevics
Auda
🔄
54'
W. Fofana ↔ E. Bongemba
Auda
🔄
63'
J. Toba ↔ K. Shigema
Tukums
🔄
63'
R. Melkis ↔ K. Klavins
Tukums
🔄
63'
J. Gerold ↔ K. Kone
Auda
64'
J. Minins
Auda
🔄
69'
R. Bocs ↔ O. Rubenis
Auda
🔄
69'
B. Diedhiou ↔ M. Fofana
Auda
69'
K. Kone
Auda
🔄
76'
Leoni ↔ D. Radzenieks
Tukums
🔄
76'
R. Deruzinskis ↔ E. Sprukts
Tukums
🔄
86'
D. Valmiers ↔ M. Susts
Tukums
🟨
89'
H. Joksts
Tukums
🟨
89'
K. Volkovs
Tukums

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Auda Win 88%
Draw 6%
Tukums Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auda1.71
Tukums1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auda Auda
WWDLW
49 GF / 37 GA
Tukums Tukums
WLDWL
45 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.97
16
BTTS Yes
25
16
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auda Auda 32 matches
Tukums Tukums 29 matches
Auda Statistic Tukums
18 Wins 4
6 Draws 10
8 Losses 15
49 Goals For 45
37 Goals Against 57
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.97
16 BTTS Yes 25
24 Over 1.5 28
16 Over 2.5 22
8 Over 3.5 13
12 Clean Sheets 1
6 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0.17 Corners 0
12.5% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Auda's more proactive style and Tukums's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tukums having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tukums. Tukums arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Auda arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 46 points compared to Tukums in 9 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Auda Analysis

Placed 3 with 46 points from 24 outings, Auda continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 39:26 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Tukums Analysis

With 20 points from 26 games and a place of 9, Tukums still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 40:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Auda won 8 times, Tukums won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:16 from Auda's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Auda 4-3-3 / Tukums -
H2H summary: Auda wins 8, draws 3, Tukums wins 4
Last matches: Auda
25.08.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.08.26
UEF
Auda
Dinamo Tirana
0
4
L
09.08.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
04.08.26
UEF
Auda
Dinamo Tirana
1
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Auda
FCSB
4
1
W
26.07.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Auda
FCSB
3
2
W
04.07.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
29.06.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
0
2
L
25.06.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
Last matches: Tukums
08.08.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
0
2
L
02.08.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
27.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
05.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
3
L
01.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
2
L
26.06.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
2
3
L
21.06.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
17.06.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
2
1
W
12.06.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
0
3
L
25.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
15.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
1
D
07.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
6
1
W
01.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
5
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
1
2
L
21.04.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
17.04.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
2
2
D
H2H: Auda vs Tukums
21.08.26
H2H
Auda
Tukums
3
0
W
17.06.26
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
1
L
26.04.26
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
02.11.25
H2H
Auda
Tukums
0
1
L
10.08.25
H2H
Tukums
Auda
1
0
L
13.06.25
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
4
W
18.04.25
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
0
W
03.11.24
H2H
Tukums
Auda
0
3
W
02.10.24
H2H
Auda
Tukums
1
1
D
02.06.24
H2H
Tukums
Auda
1
4
W
21.04.24
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
0
W
05.11.23
H2H
Auda
Tukums
1
0
W
12.08.23
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
2
D
06.06.23
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
2
D
24.04.23
H2H
Auda
Tukums
0
3
L
Last matches: Auda
25.08.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
04.08.26
UEF
Auda
Dinamo Tirana
1
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Auda
FCSB
4
1
W
26.07.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
29.06.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
0
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
H2H at home: Auda
21.08.26
H2H
Auda
Tukums
3
0
W
26.04.26
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
02.11.25
H2H
Auda
Tukums
0
1
L
18.04.25
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
0
W
02.10.24
H2H
Auda
Tukums
1
1
D
21.04.24
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
0
W
05.11.23
H2H
Auda
Tukums
1
0
W
24.04.23
H2H
Auda
Tukums
0
3
L
Last matches: Tukums
08.08.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
0
2
L
18.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
05.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
3
L
26.06.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
2
3
L
21.06.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
30.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
0
3
L
25.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
15.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
1
2
L
09.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
3
3
D
15.03.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Tukums
Panevėžys
1
2
L
H2H away: Tukums
21.08.26
H2H
Auda
Tukums
3
0
L
26.04.26
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
1
L
02.11.25
H2H
Auda
Tukums
0
1
W
18.04.25
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
0
L
02.10.24
H2H
Auda
Tukums
1
1
D
21.04.24
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
0
L
05.11.23
H2H
Auda
Tukums
1
0
L
24.04.23
H2H
Auda
Tukums
0
3
W

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 21 3 2 65:20 45 66
D W W W D
2 26 20 5 1 79:24 55 65
D W W W W
3
Auda Home
26 16 4 6 43:26 17 52
W W W W D
4 27 10 7 10 33:31 2 37
D W W L W
5 27 11 4 12 36:39 -3 37
L W W L W
6 25 8 4 13 26:37 -11 28
D L W L W
7 27 7 7 13 28:46 -18 28
W L L L L
8 27 4 9 14 19:50 -31 21
L L L D L
9 27 4 8 15 40:54 -14 20
L L W L L
10 26 3 5 18 26:68 -42 14
L L D L W