LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Skonto stadions
Referee: E. Malcevs
Auda
Match Timeline
Tukums
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
K. Volkovs
Tukums
🟨
16'
D. Melniks
Auda
22'
E. Daskevics
Auda
🟨
39'
Anmanis Kaspars
Tukums
🟨
43'
W. Fofana
Auda
45'
E. Oloko
Tukums
45'
H. Ibrahim
Auda
🔄
46'
H. Ibrahim ↔ I. Kone
Auda
🔄
46'
D. Valmiers ↔ R. Melkis
Tukums
🟨
53'
R. Reingolcs
Tukums
🟨
57'
O. Rubenis
Auda
🔄
73'
W. Fofana ↔ S. Aranda
Auda
🔄
73'
Anmanis Kaspars ↔ J. Toba
Tukums
🔄
73'
Leoni ↔ R. Deruzinskis
Tukums
🔄
77'
R. Reingolcs ↔ K. Klavins
Tukums
🔄
79'
T. Hrvoj ↔ A. Ogunji
Auda
🔄
79'
E. Daskevics ↔ M. Diagne
Auda
🟨
81'
M. Ouedraogo
Auda
🔄
85'
B. Samoilovs ↔ R. Baumanis
Tukums

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
65.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Auda Win 60.6%
Draw 4.3%
Tukums Win 35.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auda1.53
Tukums1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auda Auda
WWDLW
16 GF / 14 GA
Tukums Tukums
WLDWL
16 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
7
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auda Auda 12 matches
Tukums Tukums 11 matches
Auda Statistic Tukums
6 Wins 0
3 Draws 7
3 Losses 4
16 Goals For 16
14 Goals Against 20
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
7 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Auda's more proactive style and Tukums's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Auda arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 16 points compared to Tukums in 9 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Tukums. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tukums having the stronger overall control.

Auda Analysis

Auda come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 16 points after 8 matches. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 10:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Vergara (6 goals), H. Ibrahim (3 goals), B. Diedhiou (1 goals), with creative support from T. Hrvoj (3 assists), J. Vergara (2 assists), E. Daskevics (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Tukums Analysis

Tukums are currently 9 in the standings with 5 points from 8 matches. The record of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 7:9 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Oloko (4 goals), R. Deruzinskis (3 goals), Leoni (2 goals), with creative support from B. Samoilovs (2 assists), Leoni (1 assists), Anmanis Kaspars (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Auda won 8 times, Tukums won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:15 from Auda's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Auda wins 8, draws 3, Tukums wins 4

Lineups

Auda
Formation
Tukums
N. Purins
N. Purins
T. Hrvoj
T. Hrvoj
M. Ouedraogo
M. Ouedraogo
D. Melniks
D. Melniks
O. Rubenis
O. Rubenis
Y. Traore
Y. Traore
E. Daskevics
E. Daskevics
H. Ibrahim
H. Ibrahim
E. Bongemba
E. Bongemba
W. Fofana
W. Fofana
J. Vergara
J. Vergara
I. Baturins
I. Baturins
D. Valmiers
D. Valmiers
K. Volkovs
K. Volkovs
H. Joksts
H. Joksts
A. Enyou
A. Enyou
R. Reingolcs
R. Reingolcs
Anmanis Kaspars
Anmanis Kaspars
Leoni
Leoni
S. Shibata
S. Shibata
B. Samoilovs
B. Samoilovs
E. Oloko
E. Oloko
Auda 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
98
N. Purins
2
T. Hrvoj
↓ 79'
4
M. Ouedraogo
🟨 81'
21
D. Melniks
🟨 16'
71
O. Rubenis
🟨 57'
20
Y. Traore
17
E. Daskevics
⚽ 22' ↓ 79'
14
H. Ibrahim
⚽ 45' ↓ 46'
8
E. Bongemba
10
W. Fofana
↓ 73' 🟨 43'
7
J. Vergara
Substitutes
1
R. Sturins
22
A. Ogunji
↑ 79'
9
M. Diagne
↑ 79'
80
S. Aranda
↑ 73'
79
I. Kone
↑ 46'
6
R. Kragliks
11
O. Camara
18
A. Arroyo
26
H. Lusweki
Tukums 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
97
I. Baturins
21
D. Valmiers
↓ 46'
6
K. Volkovs
🟨 4'
25
H. Joksts
46
A. Enyou
8
R. Reingolcs
↓ 77' 🟨 53'
4
Anmanis Kaspars
↓ 73' 🟨 39'
11
Leoni
↓ 73'
7
S. Shibata
10
B. Samoilovs
↓ 85'
19
E. Oloko
⚽ 45'
Substitutes
35
K. Minajevs
88
M. Stals
16
K. Klavins
↑ 77'
28
R. Melkis
↑ 46'
22
R. Baumanis
↑ 85'
5
J. Toba
↑ 73'
27
R. Deruzinskis
↑ 73'
Last matches: Auda
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
Last matches: Tukums
30.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
0
3
L
25.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
15.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
1
D
07.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
6
1
W
01.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
5
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
17.04.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
2
2
D
13.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
09.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
3
3
D
05.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
1
D
22.03.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
2
L
15.03.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fri
Tukums
Džiugas Telšiai
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Tukums
Panevėžys
1
2
L
H2H: Auda vs Tukums
26.04.26
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
02.11.25
H2H
Auda
Tukums
0
1
L
10.08.25
H2H
Tukums
Auda
1
0
L
13.06.25
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
4
W
18.04.25
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
0
W
03.11.24
H2H
Tukums
Auda
0
3
W
02.10.24
H2H
Auda
Tukums
1
1
D
02.06.24
H2H
Tukums
Auda
1
4
W
21.04.24
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
0
W
05.11.23
H2H
Auda
Tukums
1
0
W
12.08.23
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
2
D
06.06.23
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
2
D
24.04.23
H2H
Auda
Tukums
0
3
L
01.10.22
H2H
Tukums
Auda
1
0
L
18.07.22
H2H
Auda
Tukums
3
0
W
Last matches: Auda
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
H2H at home: Auda
26.04.26
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
02.11.25
H2H
Auda
Tukums
0
1
L
18.04.25
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
0
W
02.10.24
H2H
Auda
Tukums
1
1
D
21.04.24
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
0
W
05.11.23
H2H
Auda
Tukums
1
0
W
24.04.23
H2H
Auda
Tukums
0
3
L
18.07.22
H2H
Auda
Tukums
3
0
W
Last matches: Tukums
30.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
0
3
L
25.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
15.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
1
D
09.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
3
3
D
15.03.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Tukums
Panevėžys
1
2
L
H2H away: Tukums
26.04.26
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
1
L
02.11.25
H2H
Auda
Tukums
0
1
W
18.04.25
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
0
L
02.10.24
H2H
Auda
Tukums
1
1
D
21.04.24
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
0
L
05.11.23
H2H
Auda
Tukums
1
0
L
24.04.23
H2H
Auda
Tukums
0
3
W
18.07.22
H2H
Auda
Tukums
3
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 1 1 38:11 27 43
?
2 16 12 3 1 50:17 33 39
?
3
Auda Home
16 11 1 4 32:20 12 34
?
4 16 6 4 6 21:23 -2 22
?
5 16 6 2 8 18:23 -5 20
?
6 16 5 3 8 19:24 -5 18
?
7 16 3 6 7 12:30 -18 15
?
8 16 2 7 7 29:30 -1 13
?
9 16 2 7 7 10:26 -16 13
?
10 16 0 4 12 13:38 -25 4
?