LATVIA VIRSLIGA
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Skonto stadions

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.8%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Auda Win 62.8%
Draw 4.5%
Super Nova Win 32.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auda1.57
Super Nova1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auda Auda
WWDLW
52 GF / 37 GA
Super Nova Super Nova
WLDWL
32 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
16
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auda Auda 33 matches
Super Nova Super Nova 29 matches
Auda Statistic Super Nova
19 Wins 9
6 Draws 5
8 Losses 15
52 Goals For 32
37 Goals Against 45
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
16 BTTS Yes 18
25 Over 1.5 23
17 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 5
13 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0.14 Corners 0
10.7% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Auda's more proactive style and Super Nova's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Super Nova having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Auda arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 46 points compared to Super Nova in 6 on 27, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Super Nova. Super Nova arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Auda Analysis

Placed 3 with 46 points from 24 outings, Auda continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 39:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Super Nova Analysis

Super Nova sit 6 with 27 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 26:37, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Auda won 14 times, Super Nova won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:7 from Auda's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Auda 4-3-3 / Super Nova -
H2H summary: Auda wins 14, draws 1, Super Nova wins 0
Last matches: Auda
21.08.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
3
0
W
13.08.26
UEF
Auda
Dinamo Tirana
0
4
L
09.08.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
04.08.26
UEF
Auda
Dinamo Tirana
1
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Auda
FCSB
4
1
W
26.07.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Auda
FCSB
3
2
W
04.07.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
29.06.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
0
2
L
25.06.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
Last matches: Super Nova
22.08.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
09.08.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
20.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
0
W
06.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
1
2
L
01.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
25.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
5
L
21.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
L
16.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
29.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
24.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
0
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
0
W
16.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
1
W
11.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
1
1
D
06.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
01.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
27.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
23.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
18.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
14.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
1
4
L
H2H: Auda vs Super Nova
21.06.26
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
W
01.05.26
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
W
08.03.26
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
22.09.25
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
3
2
W
18.08.25
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
3
1
W
01.07.25
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
1
W
11.05.25
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
1
D
16.03.25
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
1
0
W
02.03.24
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
1
0
W
02.09.23
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
1
0
W
25.06.23
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
5
W
02.05.23
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
W
11.03.23
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
18.09.22
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
3
0
W
02.07.22
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
W
Last matches: Auda
21.08.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
3
0
W
04.08.26
UEF
Auda
Dinamo Tirana
1
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Auda
FCSB
4
1
W
26.07.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
29.06.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
0
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
H2H at home: Auda
08.03.26
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
22.09.25
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
3
2
W
18.08.25
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
3
1
W
16.03.25
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
1
0
W
02.03.24
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
1
0
W
02.09.23
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
1
0
W
11.03.23
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
18.09.22
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
3
0
W
Last matches: Super Nova
01.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
16.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
0
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
0
W
06.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
27.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
09.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
1
0
W
03.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
2
1
W
22.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
08.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Paide
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Trans Narva
3
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
2
5
L
H2H away: Super Nova
08.03.26
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
L
22.09.25
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
3
2
L
18.08.25
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
3
1
L
16.03.25
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
1
0
L
02.03.24
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
1
0
L
02.09.23
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
1
0
L
11.03.23
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
L
18.09.22
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
3
0
L

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 21 2 2 62:17 45 65
W W W D W
2 25 20 4 1 76:21 55 64
W W W W W
3
Auda Home
25 15 4 6 42:26 16 49
W W W D L
4 27 10 7 10 33:31 2 37
D W W L W
5 26 11 4 11 36:38 -2 37
W W L W L
6 25 8 4 13 26:37 -11 28
D L W L W
7 27 7 7 13 28:46 -18 28
W L L L L
8 27 4 9 14 19:50 -31 21
L L L D L
9 27 4 8 15 40:54 -14 20
L L W L L
10 26 3 5 18 26:68 -42 14
L L D L W