LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Skonto stadions
Referee: I. Purins
Auda
Match Timeline
Ogre United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
J. Vergara
Auda
🟨
18'
D. Vejkrigers
Ogre United
🔄
46'
D. Vejkrigers ↔ D. Sedols
Ogre United
🔄
46'
T. Mickevics ↔ K. Johnson
Ogre United
53'
J. Gerold · Assist: A. Ogunji
Auda
🟨
55'
H. Ibrahim
Auda
🟥
65'
D. Melniks
Auda
🟨
65'
M. Marusii
Ogre United
🟨
65'
K. Kone
Auda
🟨
66'
M. Ouedraogo
Auda
🟨
66'
K. Cudars
Ogre United
🟨
66'
N. Parfjonovs
Ogre United
🔄
68'
K. Cudars ↔ E. Evelons
Ogre United
🔄
68'
M. Pacepko ↔ E. Sprukts
Ogre United
🔄
69'
J. Gerold ↔ W. Fofana
Auda
🔄
69'
K. Kone ↔ A. Arroyo
Auda
🟨
71'
A. Ogunji
Auda
🟨
75'
M. Ivulans
Ogre United
🟨
76'
E. Daskevics
Auda
🔄
78'
E. Daskevics ↔ M. Diagne
Auda
🔄
78'
J. Vergara ↔ B. Diedhiou
Auda
🔄
84'
M. Ivulans ↔ K. Hayashi
Ogre United
🔄
87'
H. Ibrahim ↔ R. Kragliks
Auda
🟨
89'
W. Fofana
Auda
🟨
90+9'
R. Kragliks
Auda

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds 1.19
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 98.4%
Odds 1.38
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
1.19
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
98.4%
1.38
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.67
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Auda Win 100%
Draw 0%
Ogre United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auda1.92
Ogre United1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auda Auda
WWDLW
32 GF / 24 GA
Ogre United Ogre United
WLDWL
14 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
0.82
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
2.29
11
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auda Auda 19 matches
Ogre United Ogre United 17 matches
Auda Statistic Ogre United
11 Wins 0
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 13
32 Goals For 14
24 Goals Against 39
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 2.29
11 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Auda's more proactive style and Ogre United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ogre United. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ogre United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Auda arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 28 points compared to Ogre United in 10 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ogre United having the stronger overall control.

Auda Analysis

Auda approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 28 points after 14 outings. With 9 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:20, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Vergara (12 goals), H. Ibrahim (4 goals), W. Fofana (3 goals), with creative support from E. Daskevics (6 assists), T. Hrvoj (4 assists), J. Vergara (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Ogre United Analysis

Ogre United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 3 points from 14 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 12:35, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through K. Cudars (5 goals), E. Evelons (1 goals), K. Johnson (1 goals), with creative support from M. Kalnins (1 assists), D. Vejkrigers (1 assists), E. Sprukts (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Auda won 1 times, Ogre United won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Auda's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Auda wins 1, draws 1, Ogre United wins 0

Lineups

Auda
Formation
Ogre United
N. Purins
N. Purins
A. Ogunji
🎯
A. Ogunji
M. Ouedraogo
M. Ouedraogo
D. Melniks
D. Melniks
O. Rubenis
O. Rubenis
H. Ibrahim
H. Ibrahim
E. Daskevics
E. Daskevics
K. Kone
K. Kone
E. Bongemba
E. Bongemba
J. Gerold
J. Gerold
J. Vergara
J. Vergara
N. Parfjonovs
N. Parfjonovs
M. Lormanis
M. Lormanis
T. Marusiy
T. Marusiy
M. Marusii
M. Marusii
D. Vejkrigers
D. Vejkrigers
R. Ziemelis
R. Ziemelis
M. Ivulans
M. Ivulans
K. Cudars
K. Cudars
T. Mickevics
T. Mickevics
R. Aditajs
R. Aditajs
M. Pacepko
M. Pacepko
Auda 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
98
N. Purins
22
A. Ogunji
🎯 53' 🟨 71'
4
M. Ouedraogo
🟨 66'
21
D. Melniks
🟥 65'
71
O. Rubenis
14
H. Ibrahim
↓ 87' 🟨 55'
17
E. Daskevics
↓ 78' 🟨 76'
47
K. Kone
↓ 69' 🟨 65'
8
E. Bongemba
46
J. Gerold
⚽ 53' ↓ 69'
7
J. Vergara
⚽ 11' ↓ 78'
Substitutes
1
R. Sturins
9
M. Diagne
↑ 78'
2
T. Hrvoj
25
B. Diedhiou
↑ 78'
10
W. Fofana
↑ 69' 🟨 89'
80
S. Aranda
6
R. Kragliks
↑ 87' 🟨 90+9'
18
A. Arroyo
↑ 69'
26
H. Lusweki
Ogre United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
N. Parfjonovs
🟨 66'
37
M. Lormanis
3
T. Marusiy
77
M. Marusii
🟨 65'
6
D. Vejkrigers
↓ 46' 🟨 18'
2
R. Ziemelis
21
M. Ivulans
↓ 84' 🟨 75'
19
K. Cudars
↓ 68' 🟨 66'
8
T. Mickevics
↓ 46'
14
R. Aditajs
11
M. Pacepko
↓ 68'
Substitutes
32
L. Dalbins
20
K. Biscuhis
13
K. Gulbis
18
E. Evelons
↑ 68'
28
D. Sedols
↑ 46'
7
K. Kumakura
5
K. Hayashi
↑ 84'
23
E. Sprukts
↑ 68'
47
K. Johnson
↑ 46'
Last matches: Auda
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
Last matches: Ogre United
25.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
6
L
02.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
3
4
L
27.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
22.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
0
4
L
17.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
1
1
D
13.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
07.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
2
L
03.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
2
L
20.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
1
L
15.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
1
D
06.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Ogre United
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ogre United
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
H2H: Auda vs Ogre United
30.05.26
H2H
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
17.04.26
H2H
Ogre United
Auda
1
1
D
Last matches: Auda
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
H2H at home: Auda
30.05.26
H2H
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
Last matches: Ogre United
21.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
6
L
22.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
0
4
L
07.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
2
L
06.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Ogre United
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ogre United
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
H2H away: Ogre United
30.05.26
H2H
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 10.79
Draw 6.74
Home 1.19
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.84
Draw 3.06
Home 1.52
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.38
Over 2.75 1.46
Over 3.0 1.58
Over 3.25 1.81
Over 3.5 2.01
Over 3.75 2.27
Over 4.0 2.72
Over 4.25 2.69
Under 2.5 2.87
Under 2.75 2.58
Under 3.0 2.30
Under 3.25 1.98
Under 3.5 1.76
Under 3.75 1.58
Under 4.0 1.41
Under 4.25 1.42
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 11.00
Draw 5.75
Home 1.22
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.50
Draw 2.88
Home 1.57
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 3.40
Home 1.44
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.00
Over 4.5 3.40
Over 5.5 5.50
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 13.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 12.50
Draw 6.10
Home 1.17
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 9.10
Draw 2.75
Home 1.57
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 9.05
Draw 3.56
Home 1.39
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 1.75 1.09
Over 2.0 1.12
Over 2.25 1.24
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 2.75 1.44
Over 3.0 1.55
Over 3.25 1.78
Over 3.5 1.97
Over 3.75 2.17
Over 4.0 2.56
Over 4.25 2.83
Over 4.5 3.08
Over 4.75 3.74
Over 5.0 4.85
Over 5.25 5.14
Over 5.5 5.45
Over 6.0 9.20
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 13.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 16.50
Under 1.0 12.00
Under 1.5 5.65
Under 1.75 5.24
Under 2.0 4.75
Under 2.25 3.34
Under 2.5 2.70
Under 2.75 2.43
Under 3.0 2.17
Under 3.25 1.91
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 3.75 1.55
Under 4.0 1.40
Under 4.25 1.33
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 4.75 1.19
Under 5.0 1.11
Under 5.25 1.10
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.0 1.00
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.50
Draw 6.00
Home 1.19
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 3.5 1.94
Over 4.5 3.10
Over 5.5 5.25
Under 1.5 5.40
Under 2.5 2.75
Under 3.5 1.72
Under 4.5 1.29
Under 5.5 1.10

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 1 1 38:11 27 43
W W W W W
2 16 12 3 1 50:17 33 39
W W W D W
3
Auda Home
16 11 1 4 32:20 12 34
W W W L L
4 16 6 4 6 21:23 -2 22
W D L W W
5 16 6 2 8 18:23 -5 20
L L W W D
6 16 5 3 8 19:24 -5 18
D L W L L
7 16 3 6 7 12:30 -18 15
D D L D D
8 16 2 7 7 29:30 -1 13
L L L D D
9 16 2 7 7 10:26 -16 13
L D L D D
10 16 0 4 12 13:38 -25 4
L D L L L