LATVIA VIRSLIGA
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Skonto stadions

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Auda Win 88%
Draw 6%
Grobiņa Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auda1.63
Grobiņa1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auda Auda
WWDLW
54 GF / 38 GA
Grobiņa Grobiņa
WLDWL
34 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.77
17
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auda Auda 35 matches
Grobiņa Grobiņa 35 matches
Auda Statistic Grobiņa
20 Wins 7
7 Draws 12
8 Losses 16
54 Goals For 34
38 Goals Against 62
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.77
17 BTTS Yes 18
26 Over 1.5 26
17 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 11
14 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0.11 Corners 0
8.3% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Auda's more proactive style and Grobiņa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Auda come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Auda arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 53 points compared to Grobiņa in 8 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Grobiņa. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Auda expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Grobiņa in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Grobiņa having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Auda Analysis

Auda come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 53 points after 27 matches. They have recorded 16 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a 44:27 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Grobiņa Analysis

Grobiņa sit 8 with 24 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 20:50, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Auda won 9 times, Grobiņa won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:10 from Auda's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Auda 4-2-3-1 / Grobiņa 4-4-2
H2H summary: Auda wins 9, draws 4, Grobiņa wins 1
Last matches: Auda
29.08.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
1
1
D
25.08.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
21.08.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
3
0
W
13.08.26
UEF
Auda
Dinamo Tirana
0
4
L
09.08.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
04.08.26
UEF
Auda
Dinamo Tirana
1
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Auda
FCSB
4
1
W
26.07.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Auda
FCSB
3
2
W
04.07.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
29.06.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
0
2
L
25.06.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
Last matches: Grobiņa
29.08.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
21.08.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
3
L
10.08.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
6
L
02.08.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
4
L
27.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
2
2
D
20.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
05.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
1
W
29.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
2
L
25.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
0
D
20.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
29.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
07.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
7
L
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
28.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
H2H: Auda vs Grobiņa
17.08.26
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
3
2
W
25.06.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
0
0
D
07.05.26
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
14.03.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
W
09.11.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
2
2
D
24.08.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
1
0
W
06.08.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
1
0
W
18.06.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
1
2
W
24.04.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
22.09.24
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
02.07.24
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
1
L
11.05.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
2
2
D
31.03.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
1
1
D
06.11.21
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
29.09.21
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
1
5
W
Last matches: Auda
29.08.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
1
1
D
25.08.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
21.08.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
3
0
W
04.08.26
UEF
Auda
Dinamo Tirana
1
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Auda
FCSB
4
1
W
26.07.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
29.06.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
0
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
H2H at home: Auda
17.08.26
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
3
2
W
07.05.26
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
24.08.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
1
0
W
06.08.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
1
0
W
24.04.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
22.09.24
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
02.07.24
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
1
L
06.11.21
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
Last matches: Grobiņa
21.08.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
3
L
10.08.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
6
L
02.08.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
4
L
20.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
29.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
2
L
20.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
29.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
07.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
7
L
28.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
13.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
05.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
1
D
21.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
07.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Metta / LU
3
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Hegelmann Litauen
1
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Suduva Marijampole
1
1
D
21.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
2
3
L
H2H away: Grobiņa
17.08.26
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
3
2
L
07.05.26
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
L
24.08.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
1
0
L
06.08.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
1
0
L
24.04.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
L
22.09.24
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
L
02.07.24
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
1
W
06.11.21
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 21 3 2 65:20 45 66
D W W W D
2 26 20 5 1 79:24 55 65
D W W W W
3
Auda Home
27 16 5 6 44:27 17 53
D W W W W
4 28 10 7 11 33:32 1 37
L D W W L
5 27 11 4 12 36:39 -3 37
L W W L W
6 28 8 7 13 32:47 -15 31
W W L L L
7 26 8 5 13 27:38 -11 29
D D L W L
8 28 5 9 14 20:50 -30 24
W L L L D
9 28 4 8 16 41:58 -17 20
L L L W L
10 26 3 5 18 26:68 -42 14
L L D L W