LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Skonto stadions
Referee: J. Keziks
Auda
Match Timeline
Grobiņa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
J. Vergara · Assist: E. Daskevics
Auda
🟨
14'
D. Melniks
Auda
28'
I. Kone · Assist: E. Bongemba
Auda
🟨
45+1'
J. Ribeiro
Grobiņa
45'
J. Vergara · Assist: E. Daskevics
Auda
🔄
46'
N. Pincuks ↔ V. Kudrjavcevs
Grobiņa
🔄
46'
J. Krautmanis ↔ G. Kluskins
Grobiņa
50'
W. Fofana
Auda
53'
T. Hrvoj
Auda
59'
W. Fofana · Assist: E. Bongemba
Auda
🟨
61'
A. Kholod
Grobiņa
🔄
62'
T. Hrvoj ↔ A. Ogunji
Auda
🔄
62'
E. Daskevics ↔ J. Gerold
Auda
🔄
62'
D. Melniks ↔ A. Arroyo
Auda
🟨
66'
K. Rupeiks
Grobiņa
🔄
66'
D. Sirbu ↔ O. Rascevskis
Grobiņa
🔄
66'
A. Kholod ↔ A. Aruna
Grobiņa
🔄
70'
J. Vergara ↔ M. Diagne
Auda
🔄
76'
D. Dobrecovs ↔ O. Olatunde-Matthew
Grobiņa
🔄
78'
O. Rubenis ↔ R. Kragliks
Auda
🟨
83'
O. Olatunde-Matthew
Grobiņa
90'
J. Gerold
Auda

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 23.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
23.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
45.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Auda Win 54.6%
Draw 13.7%
Grobiņa Win 31.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auda1.4
Grobiņa1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auda Auda
WWDLW
20 GF / 16 GA
Grobiņa Grobiņa
WLDWL
20 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
9
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auda Auda 14 matches
Grobiņa Grobiņa 17 matches
Auda Statistic Grobiņa
8 Wins 4
3 Draws 7
3 Losses 6
20 Goals For 20
16 Goals Against 23
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
9 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Auda's more proactive style and Grobiņa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Grobiņa. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Grobiņa having the stronger overall control. Auda arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 22 points compared to Grobiņa in 7 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Auda Analysis

Auda come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 22 points after 10 matches. The return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 18:12, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Vergara (8 goals), H. Ibrahim (4 goals), E. Daskevics (2 goals), with creative support from T. Hrvoj (4 assists), J. Vergara (2 assists), E. Daskevics (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Grobiņa Analysis

So far, Grobiņa have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 10 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 6:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Puzirevskis (3 goals), A. Kholod (1 goals), D. Druzinins (1 goals), with creative support from A. Puzirevskis (1 assists), R. Baravykas (1 assists), D. Dobrecovs (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Auda won 8 times, Grobiņa won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:10 from Auda's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
H2H summary: Auda wins 8, draws 4, Grobiņa wins 1

Lineups

Auda
Formation
Grobiņa
N. Purins
N. Purins
T. Hrvoj
T. Hrvoj
M. Ouedraogo
M. Ouedraogo
D. Melniks
D. Melniks
O. Rubenis
O. Rubenis
Y. Traore
Y. Traore
E. Daskevics
🎯
E. Daskevics
I. Kone
I. Kone
E. Bongemba
🎯
E. Bongemba
W. Fofana
⚽ 2
W. Fofana
J. Vergara
⚽ 2
J. Vergara
N. Pincuks
N. Pincuks
K. Rupeiks
K. Rupeiks
D. Druzinins
D. Druzinins
G. Leitans
G. Leitans
R. Baravykas
R. Baravykas
D. Sirbu
D. Sirbu
J. Ribeiro
J. Ribeiro
A. Kholod
A. Kholod
D. Dobrecovs
D. Dobrecovs
J. Krautmanis
J. Krautmanis
R. Gaucis
R. Gaucis
Auda 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
98
N. Purins
2
T. Hrvoj
⚽ 53' ↓ 62'
4
M. Ouedraogo
21
D. Melniks
↓ 62' 🟨 14'
71
O. Rubenis
↓ 78'
20
Y. Traore
17
E. Daskevics
🎯 8' 🎯 45' ↓ 62'
79
I. Kone
⚽ 28'
8
E. Bongemba
🎯 28' 🎯 59'
10
W. Fofana
⚽ 50' ⚽ 59'
7
J. Vergara
⚽ 8' ⚽ 45' ↓ 70'
Substitutes
1
R. Sturins
22
A. Ogunji
↑ 62'
9
M. Diagne
↑ 70'
80
S. Aranda
46
J. Gerold
⚽ 90' ↑ 62'
6
R. Kragliks
↑ 78'
11
O. Camara
18
A. Arroyo
↑ 62'
26
H. Lusweki
Grobiņa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
N. Pincuks
↓ 46'
2
K. Rupeiks
🟨 66'
3
D. Druzinins
5
G. Leitans
27
R. Baravykas
25
D. Sirbu
↓ 66'
87
J. Ribeiro
🟨 45+1'
9
A. Kholod
↓ 66' 🟨 61'
10
D. Dobrecovs
↓ 76'
7
J. Krautmanis
↓ 46'
19
R. Gaucis
Substitutes
1
V. Kudrjavcevs
↑ 46'
32
G. Kluskins
↑ 46'
23
M. Fjodorovs
99
A. Puzirevskis
11
O. Rascevskis
↑ 66'
8
O. Olatunde-Matthew
↑ 76' 🟨 83'
13
A. Aruna
↑ 66'
14
M. Sidorovs
20
H. Yamada
Last matches: Auda
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
Last matches: Grobiņa
29.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
28.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
13.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
05.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
1
D
21.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
14.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
07.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Metta / LU
3
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Hegelmann Litauen
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Minija
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
5
3
W
24.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Suduva Marijampole
1
1
D
H2H: Auda vs Grobiņa
07.05.26
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
14.03.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
W
09.11.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
2
2
D
24.08.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
1
0
W
06.08.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
1
0
W
18.06.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
1
2
W
24.04.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
22.09.24
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
02.07.24
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
1
L
11.05.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
2
2
D
31.03.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
1
1
D
06.11.21
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
29.09.21
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
1
5
W
08.11.20
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
29.08.20
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
2
2
D
Last matches: Auda
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
H2H at home: Auda
07.05.26
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
24.08.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
1
0
W
06.08.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
1
0
W
24.04.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
22.09.24
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
02.07.24
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
1
L
06.11.21
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
08.11.20
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
Last matches: Grobiņa
29.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
28.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
13.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
05.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
1
D
21.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
07.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Metta / LU
3
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Hegelmann Litauen
1
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Suduva Marijampole
1
1
D
21.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
2
3
L
H2H away: Grobiņa
07.05.26
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
L
24.08.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
1
0
L
06.08.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
1
0
L
24.04.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
L
22.09.24
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
L
02.07.24
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
1
W
06.11.21
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
08.11.20
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 1 1 38:11 27 43
?
2 16 12 3 1 50:17 33 39
?
3
Auda Home
16 11 1 4 32:20 12 34
?
4 16 6 4 6 21:23 -2 22
?
5 16 6 2 8 18:23 -5 20
?
6 16 5 3 8 19:24 -5 18
?
7 16 3 6 7 12:30 -18 15
?
8 16 2 7 7 29:30 -1 13
?
9 16 2 7 7 10:26 -16 13
?
10 16 0 4 12 13:38 -25 4
?