LATVIA VIRSLIGA
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Skonto stadions

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.7%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Auda Win 77.7%
Draw 4.3%
FS Jelgava Win 18%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auda1.74
FS Jelgava0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auda Auda
WWDLW
34 GF / 24 GA
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava
WLDWL
17 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.81
11
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auda Auda 20 matches
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 21 matches
Auda Statistic FS Jelgava
12 Wins 4
3 Draws 6
5 Losses 11
34 Goals For 17
24 Goals Against 38
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.81
11 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Auda's more proactive style and FS Jelgava's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Auda arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 34 points compared to FS Jelgava in 7 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FS Jelgava having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FS Jelgava. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Auda Analysis

Placed 3 with 34 points from 16 outings, Auda continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 11 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 32:20 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by J. Vergara (13 goals), H. Ibrahim (4 goals), E. Daskevics (3 goals), with creative support from E. Daskevics (6 assists), T. Hrvoj (4 assists), J. Vergara (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

FS Jelgava Analysis

FS Jelgava sit 7 with 15 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 12:30 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by F. Hasek (5 goals), A. Kangars (2 goals), G. Kacanovs (1 goals), with creative support from G. Zaleiko (2 assists), J. Novikovs (2 assists), L. Prior (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Auda won 9 times, FS Jelgava won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:9 from Auda's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Auda wins 9, draws 3, FS Jelgava wins 2
Last matches: Auda
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
Last matches: FS Jelgava
31.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
16.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
0
D
06.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
0
5
L
27.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
1
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
16.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
12.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
L
15.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
2
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Šiauliai
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
01.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Nõmme United
4
1
W
H2H: Auda vs FS Jelgava
21.04.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
W
27.09.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
1
D
05.07.25
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
15.05.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
3
1
L
30.03.25
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
21.10.24
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
28.07.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
3
W
23.05.24
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
13.04.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
0
D
28.10.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
2
W
06.08.23
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
01.06.23
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
19.04.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
0
D
01.09.22
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
6
1
W
Last matches: Auda
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
H2H at home: Auda
05.07.25
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
30.03.25
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
21.10.24
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
23.05.24
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
06.08.23
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
01.06.23
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
01.09.22
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
6
1
W
Last matches: FS Jelgava
21.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
16.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
0
D
01.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
0
5
L
27.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
1
0
W
16.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
12.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
15.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
1
D
27.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Šiauliai
0
1
L
01.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Nõmme United
4
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Panevėžys
0
2
L
H2H away: FS Jelgava
05.07.25
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
2
0
L
30.03.25
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
2
0
L
21.10.24
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
0
L
23.05.24
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
0
1
W
06.08.23
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
0
L
01.06.23
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
0
L
01.09.22
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
6
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 1 1 38:11 27 43
?
2 16 12 3 1 50:17 33 39
?
3
Auda Home
16 11 1 4 32:20 12 34
?
4 16 6 4 6 21:23 -2 22
?
5 16 6 2 8 18:23 -5 20
?
6 16 5 3 8 19:24 -5 18
?
7 16 3 6 7 12:30 -18 15
?
8 16 2 7 7 29:30 -1 13
?
9 16 2 7 7 10:26 -16 13
?
10 16 0 4 12 13:38 -25 4
?