LATVIA VIRSLIGA
13.06.2026 15:00
Skonto stadions
Referee: E. Malcevs
Auda
Match Timeline
FS Jelgava
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
K. Kone
Auda
🟨
45'
T. Rataj
FS Jelgava
🔄
45+1'
T. Rataj ↔ G. Patika
FS Jelgava
45'
A. Kangars · Assist: G. Zaleiko
FS Jelgava
59'
E. Daskevics · Assist: W. Fofana
Auda
🟨
60'
R. Becers
FS Jelgava
🟨
65'
G. Zaleiko
FS Jelgava
🔄
68'
J. Gerold ↔ M. Fofana
Auda
🔄
72'
G. Kacanovs ↔ E. Smaukstelis
FS Jelgava
🟨
76'
J. Vergara
Auda
🔄
81'
K. Kone ↔ B. Diedhiou
Auda
🔄
81'
E. Daskevics ↔ J. Minins
Auda
🔄
82'
R. Melkis ↔ D. Holoubek
FS Jelgava
🔄
82'
↔ A. Deklavs
FS Jelgava
🟨
88'
B. Diedhiou
Auda
🔄
90'
J. Vergara ↔ O. Camara
Auda

Auda vs FS Jelgava Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.7%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Auda Win 77.7%
Draw 4.3%
FS Jelgava Win 18%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auda1.74
FS Jelgava0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auda Auda
WWDLW
34 GF / 24 GA
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava
WLDWL
17 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.81
11
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auda Auda 20 matches
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 21 matches
Auda Statistic FS Jelgava
12 Wins 4
3 Draws 6
5 Losses 11
34 Goals For 17
24 Goals Against 38
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.81
11 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Auda's more proactive style and FS Jelgava's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Auda arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 34 points compared to FS Jelgava in 7 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FS Jelgava having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FS Jelgava. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Auda Analysis

Placed 3 with 34 points from 16 outings, Auda continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 11 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 32:20 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by J. Vergara (13 goals), H. Ibrahim (4 goals), E. Daskevics (3 goals), with creative support from E. Daskevics (6 assists), T. Hrvoj (4 assists), J. Vergara (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

FS Jelgava Analysis

FS Jelgava sit 7 with 15 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 12:30 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by F. Hasek (5 goals), A. Kangars (2 goals), G. Kacanovs (1 goals), with creative support from G. Zaleiko (2 assists), J. Novikovs (2 assists), L. Prior (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Auda won 9 times, FS Jelgava won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:9 from Auda's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Auda 4-2-3-1 / FS Jelgava 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Auda wins 9, draws 4, FS Jelgava wins 2

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 22 3 2 68:20 48 69
W D W W W
2 27 20 5 2 81:27 54 65
L D W W W
3
Auda Home
27 16 5 6 44:27 17 53
D W W W W
4 28 12 4 12 39:41 -2 40
W L W W L
5 28 10 7 11 33:32 1 37
L D W W L
6 28 8 7 13 32:47 -15 31
W W L L L
7 26 8 5 13 27:38 -11 29
D D L W L
8 28 5 9 14 20:50 -30 24
W L L L D
9 28 4 8 16 41:58 -17 20
L L L W L
10 27 3 5 19 26:71 -45 14
L L L D L