LATVIA VIRSLIGA
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Skonto stadions

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.5%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Auda Win 63.5%
Draw 11.9%
BFC Daugavpils Win 24.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auda1.47
BFC Daugavpils1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auda Auda
WWDLW
39 GF / 30 GA
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
WLDWL
36 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
14
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auda Auda 26 matches
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 31 matches
Auda Statistic BFC Daugavpils
13 Wins 10
6 Draws 6
7 Losses 15
39 Goals For 36
30 Goals Against 44
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
14 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Auda's more proactive style and BFC Daugavpils's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward BFC Daugavpils having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Auda arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 40 points compared to BFC Daugavpils in 5 on 27, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring BFC Daugavpils.

Auda Analysis

Placed 3 with 40 points from 22 outings, Auda continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 37:26 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

BFC Daugavpils Analysis

BFC Daugavpils arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 27 points after 22 matches. The record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 25:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Auda won 9 times, BFC Daugavpils won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:13 from Auda's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.1%)
H2H summary: Auda wins 9, draws 2, BFC Daugavpils wins 4
Last matches: Auda
04.07.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
29.06.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
0
2
L
25.06.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
Last matches: BFC Daugavpils
19.07.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
4
0
W
04.07.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
30.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
25.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
0
0
D
20.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
1
0
W
16.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1
1
D
31.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
1
L
21.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
13.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
1
3
L
02.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
1
1
D
27.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
1
L
21.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1
1
D
16.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
12.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
3
2
W
07.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
2
1
W
03.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
H2H: Auda vs BFC Daugavpils
26.05.26
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
1
W
12.04.26
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
05.10.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
1
0
L
20.07.25
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
20.05.25
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
04.04.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
2
1
L
26.10.24
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
1
2
W
04.08.24
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
28.05.24
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
3
W
17.04.24
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
11.11.23
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
27.08.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
2
W
16.07.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
1
4
W
10.06.23
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
28.04.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
2
W
Last matches: Auda
29.06.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
0
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
H2H at home: Auda
12.04.26
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
20.07.25
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
20.05.25
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
04.08.24
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
17.04.24
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
11.11.23
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
10.06.23
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
Last matches: BFC Daugavpils
19.07.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
4
0
W
30.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
12.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1
1
D
31.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
17.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
02.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
1
1
D
21.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
3
2
W
21.03.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
1
4
L
14.03.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
2
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
Suduva Marijampole
3
5
L
07.02.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
Šiauliai
0
1
L
31.01.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
Flora Tallinn
0
4
L
28.01.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
FK Trakai
1
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
Panevėžys
0
1
L
10.07.25
UEF
BFC Daugavpils
Vllaznia Shkodër
1
0
W
H2H away: BFC Daugavpils
12.04.26
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
W
20.07.25
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
W
20.05.25
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
04.08.24
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
L
17.04.24
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
L
11.11.23
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
L
10.06.23
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 18 4 1 68:20 48 58
W W W D W
2 22 18 2 2 54:16 38 56
D W W W L
3
Auda Home
22 12 4 6 37:26 11 40
D L D W L
4 23 8 6 9 29:29 0 30
W W L D W
5 22 8 4 10 28:34 -6 28
L W L L L
6 22 6 7 9 24:38 -14 25
L W W W L
7 22 7 3 12 23:35 -12 24
L W L L D
8 22 4 8 10 15:33 -18 20
W L D L W
9 23 3 8 12 38:47 -9 17
L L L L L
10 23 3 4 16 21:59 -38 13
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga