AUSTRALIA A-LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Go Media Stadium
Referee: A. King
Auckland
Match Timeline
Melbourne City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Cameron Howieson
Auckland
45'
G. May · Assist: J. Randall
Auckland
🔄
62'
E. Rashani ↔ M. Memeti
Melbourne City
🔄
63'
L. Brook ↔ S. Cosgrove
Auckland
🔄
72'
B. Kutleshi ↔ T. Kanamori
Melbourne City
🔄
73'
A. Kuen ↔ A. Nabbout
Melbourne City
🔄
83'
J. Randall ↔ J. Brimmer
Auckland
🔄
84'
L. Rogerson ↔ N. Pijnaker
Auckland
🟨
90+1'
Hiroki Sakai
Auckland
🔄
90'
C. Howieson ↔ L. Gillion
Auckland
90'
M. Memeti · Assist: A. Behich
Melbourne City
🔄
105'
M. Caputo ↔ Z. Schreiber
Melbourne City
🟨
106'
Marcus Younis
Melbourne City
🔄
110'
C. Elliot ↔ L. Vicelich
Auckland
🟨
116'
Daniel Hall
Auckland
🟨
117'
Jake Brimmer
Auckland

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 85.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
100%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
85.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Auckland Win 49.2%
Draw 0%
Melbourne City Win 50.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auckland1.48
Melbourne City1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auckland Auckland
WWDLW
42 GF / 29 GA
Melbourne City Melbourne City
WLDWL
33 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
18
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
12
5.23
Shots on Goal
4.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auckland Auckland 26 matches
Melbourne City Melbourne City 26 matches
Auckland Statistic Melbourne City
11 Wins 10
9 Draws 8
6 Losses 8
42 Goals For 33
29 Goals Against 33
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
18 BTTS Yes 13
22 Over 1.5 18
16 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 10
2 Failed To Score 6
5.23 Shots On Goal 4.23
15.92 Total Shots 12.96
5.27 Corners 5.65
50.7% Ball Possession 55%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Auckland's more proactive style and Melbourne City's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Auckland hold an advantage after winning the first leg 3-0, so Melbourne City now have a 3-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Melbourne City controlled more possession in the first leg (57% against 43%). Auckland were also more accurate in attack, recording 9 shots on target to 2. Melbourne City circulated the ball more often, making 398 passes to 291 and completing 306. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Melbourne City. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Auckland expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Melbourne City in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Melbourne City having the stronger overall control. Melbourne City look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Auckland Analysis

Auckland enter this tie with a season profile built on 42 points from 26 matches, placing them 3 in their league. With 11 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses plus a goal ratio of 42:29, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Sam Cosgrove (11 goals), J. Randall (9 goals), Lachlan Brook (8 goals), with creative support from F. De Vries (7 assists), J. Randall (6 assists), Sam Cosgrove (4 assists), while defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football. Although they are without O. Sail, F. De Vries, J. Brimmer, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

Melbourne City Analysis

Melbourne City enter this tie with a season profile built on 38 points from 26 matches, placing them 6 in their league. With 10 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses plus a goal ratio of 33:33, they bring very strong form with results showing strong momentum into this tie. Going forward they rely on M. Caputo (8 goals), Marcus Younis (7 goals), M. Memeti (4 goals), with creative support from A. Kuen (4 assists), Marcus Younis (3 assists), D. Arzani (2 assists), while defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Lopane, R. Teague, S. Souprayen unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Auckland won 2 times, Melbourne City won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:5 from Auckland's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Auckland 4-4-2 / Melbourne City 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Auckland 4, Melbourne City 4
H2H summary: Auckland wins 2, draws 2, Melbourne City wins 1
Stats
Auckland Auckland
Melbourne City Melbourne City
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
10
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 6
13 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 2
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 10
5 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 13
5 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
466 Total passes 518
316 Passes accurate 374
1.19 expected_goals 1.55
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Auckland
Formation
Melbourne City
M. Woud
M. Woud
H. Sakai
H. Sakai
D. Hall
D. Hall
J. Girdwood-Reich
J. Girdwood-Reich
C. Elliot
C. Elliot
L. Verstraete
L. Verstraete
C. Howieson
C. Howieson
L. Brook
L. Brook
G. May
G. May
L. Rogerson
L. Rogerson
J. Randall
🎯
J. Randall
P. Beach
P. Beach
N. Atkinson
N. Atkinson
G. Ferreyra
G. Ferreyra
H. Delbridge
H. Delbridge
A. Behich
🎯
A. Behich
M. Leckie
M. Leckie
B. Kutleshi
B. Kutleshi
M. Younis
M. Younis
A. Kuen
A. Kuen
E. Rashani
E. Rashani
M. Caputo
M. Caputo
Auckland 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Woud
G
2
H. Sakai
🟨 90+1'
D
23
D. Hall
🟨 116'
D
3
J. Girdwood-Reich
D
17
C. Elliot
↓ 110'
D
6
L. Verstraete
M
7
C. Howieson
↓ 90' 🟨 12'
M
77
L. Brook
↓ 63'
M
10
G. May
⚽ 45'
M
27
L. Rogerson
↓ 84'
M
21
J. Randall
🎯 45' ↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Hilton
G
9
S. Cosgrove
↑ 63'
F
14
L. Gillion
↑ 90'
F
52
L. Vicelich
↑ 110'
D
22
J. Brimmer
↑ 83' 🟨 117'
M
4
N. Pijnaker
↑ 84'
D
57
V. Fitzharris
M
Melbourne City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
P. Beach
G
13
N. Atkinson
D
22
G. Ferreyra
D
2
H. Delbridge
D
16
A. Behich
🎯 90'
D
7
M. Leckie
M
44
B. Kutleshi
↓ 72'
M
28
M. Younis
🟨 106'
M
30
A. Kuen
↓ 73'
M
11
E. Rashani
↓ 62'
M
17
M. Caputo
↓ 105'
F
Substitutes
40
J. Nieuwenhuizen
G
15
A. Nabbout
↑ 73'
F
8
R. Teague
M
35
M. Memeti
⚽ 90' ↑ 62'
F
10
T. Kanamori
↑ 72'
F
19
Z. Schreiber
↑ 105'
M
36
H. Shillington
D
Last matches: Auckland
23.05.26
A-L
Auckland
Sydney
1
0
W
15.05.26
A-L
Auckland
Adelaide United
3
0
W
09.05.26
A-L
Auckland
Adelaide United
1
1
D
26.04.26
A-L
Auckland
Sydney
2
2
D
19.04.26
A-L
Auckland
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
11.04.26
A-L
Auckland
Melbourne Victory
2
2
D
03.04.26
A-L
Auckland
Adelaide United
1
1
D
21.03.26
A-L
Auckland
Macarthur
1
2
L
14.03.26
A-L
Auckland
Newcastle Jets
2
1
W
08.03.26
A-L
Auckland
Perth Glory
2
2
D
28.02.26
A-L
Auckland
Melbourne City
3
0
W
21.02.26
A-L
Auckland
Wellington Phoenix
5
0
W
17.02.26
A-L
Auckland
Sydney
1
1
D
07.02.26
A-L
Auckland
Sydney
1
0
W
31.01.26
A-L
Auckland
Perth Glory
1
2
L
24.01.26
A-L
Auckland
Central Coast Mariners
2
2
D
16.01.26
A-L
Auckland
Melbourne City
1
2
L
09.01.26
A-L
Auckland
Brisbane Roar
2
0
W
05.01.26
A-L
Auckland
Macarthur
1
1
D
01.01.26
A-L
Auckland
Newcastle Jets
1
3
L
Last matches: Melbourne City
26.04.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
1
2
L
18.04.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Brisbane Roar
3
2
W
12.04.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
2
0
W
07.04.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Central Coast Mariners
2
1
W
04.04.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Western Sydney Wanderers
3
0
W
22.03.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Perth Glory
1
1
D
17.03.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Sydney
1
0
W
28.02.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Auckland
0
3
L
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
1
3
L
07.02.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
1
D
30.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
24.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Macarthur
2
6
L
16.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Auckland
2
1
W
11.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Newcastle Jets
0
1
L
06.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Brisbane Roar
1
0
W
03.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Sydney
0
0
D
28.12.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Perth Glory
1
3
L
23.12.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Macarthur
1
1
D
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
0
1
L
06.12.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Newcastle Jets
1
0
W
H2H: Auckland vs Melbourne City
02.05.26
H2H
Auckland
Melbourne City
1
1
D
28.02.26
H2H
Auckland
Melbourne City
3
0
W
16.01.26
H2H
Melbourne City
Auckland
2
1
L
18.01.25
H2H
Auckland
Melbourne City
3
0
W
15.12.24
H2H
Melbourne City
Auckland
2
2
D
Last matches: Auckland
23.05.26
A-L
Auckland
Sydney
1
0
W
09.05.26
A-L
Auckland
Adelaide United
1
1
D
19.04.26
A-L
Auckland
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
11.04.26
A-L
Auckland
Melbourne Victory
2
2
D
21.03.26
A-L
Auckland
Macarthur
1
2
L
08.03.26
A-L
Auckland
Perth Glory
2
2
D
28.02.26
A-L
Auckland
Melbourne City
3
0
W
07.02.26
A-L
Auckland
Sydney
1
0
W
24.01.26
A-L
Auckland
Central Coast Mariners
2
2
D
01.01.26
A-L
Auckland
Newcastle Jets
1
3
L
06.12.25
A-L
Auckland
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
30.11.25
A-L
Auckland
Newcastle Jets
1
2
L
23.11.25
A-L
Auckland
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
01.11.25
A-L
Auckland
Adelaide United
2
1
W
25.10.25
A-L
Auckland
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
0
W
H2H at home: Auckland
02.05.26
H2H
Auckland
Melbourne City
1
1
D
28.02.26
H2H
Auckland
Melbourne City
3
0
W
18.01.25
H2H
Auckland
Melbourne City
3
0
W
Last matches: Melbourne City
18.04.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Brisbane Roar
3
2
W
22.03.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Perth Glory
1
1
D
17.03.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Sydney
1
0
W
28.02.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Auckland
0
3
L
07.02.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
1
D
30.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
24.01.26
A-L
Melbourne City
Macarthur
2
6
L
06.12.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Newcastle Jets
1
0
W
29.11.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Central Coast Mariners
0
0
D
21.11.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
1
4
L
08.11.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
2
0
W
31.10.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Brisbane Roar
0
0
D
18.10.25
A-L
Melbourne City
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
1
D
H2H away: Melbourne City
02.05.26
H2H
Auckland
Melbourne City
1
1
D
28.02.26
H2H
Auckland
Melbourne City
3
0
L
18.01.25
H2H
Auckland
Melbourne City
3
0
L

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2 26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3 26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4 26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5 26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6 26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7 26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8 26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9 26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10 26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11 26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12 26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L

Missing Players

Auckland 4 missing
-
O. Sail
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
F. De Vries
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
L. F. Gallegos
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Francois
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Melbourne City 4 missing
-
A. Lopane
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
S. Souprayen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
D. Arzani
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
K. Rahmani
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT