Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
92.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
43.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aucas
14 matches
Universidad Catolica
15 matches
| Aucas | Statistic | Universidad Catolica |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 15 | Goals For | 26 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.17 | Shots On Goal | 4.79 |
| 14.83 | Total Shots | 13.5 |
| 5.83 | Corners | 4.64 |
| 57.5% | Ball Possession | 58.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aucas expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Universidad Catolica in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universidad Catolica having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Universidad Catolica. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Operating from 4 place with 19 points from 12 games, Aucas bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 14:11, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through B. Miranda (6 goals), R. Quinonez (3 goals), A. Mena (1 goals), with creative support from Santiago Morales (2 assists), A. Mena (1 assists), Piero Guzmán (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Universidad Catolica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 22 points after 12 outings. With 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Palacios (5 goals), E. Clavijo (4 goals), Jhon Chancellor (2 goals), with creative support from Mauro Díaz (5 assists), Jhon Chancellor (2 assists), E. Mejia (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aucas won 5 times, Universidad Catolica won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:27 from Aucas's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 14 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Aucas
6
2
4
2
3
0
Lineups
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Manta FC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Aucas
Libertad
Aucas
Delfin SC
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Manta FC
Aucas
Delfin SC
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
Sporting Cristal
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 52:20 | 32 | 52 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Universidad Catolica
Away
|
21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33:19 | 14 | 35 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 3 |
Aucas
Home
|
21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | 2 | 35 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 20:17 | 3 | 29 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 28 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 27 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 26 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 25 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 25 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 19:24 | -5 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 13:20 | -7 | 23 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 8:26 | -18 | 14 |
D
L
L
D
L
|