ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Referee: G. Guerrero
Aucas
Match Timeline
Manta FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
S. Porozo · Assist: P. Guzman
Aucas
16'
D. Quintero · Assist: B. Ramirez
Manta FC
🟨
32'
Ayrton Preciado
Aucas
VAR
33'
Piero Guzmán
Aucas
44'
E. Preciado
Aucas
48'
S. Porozo · Assist: A. Mena
Aucas
🔄
58'
B. Ramirez ↔ J. Angulo
Manta FC
🔄
58'
J. Troya ↔ A. Medina
Manta FC
🟨
60'
Octavio Moscarelli
Manta FC
🔄
64'
I. Cuero ↔ J. Nazareno
Manta FC
🔄
68'
S. Porozo ↔ L. Arroyo
Aucas
🔄
68'
E. Preciado ↔ R. Bolanos
Aucas
🔄
76'
A. Mena ↔ S. Tapiero
Aucas
🟨
83'
Juan Nazareno
Manta FC
🔄
84'
G. Mina ↔ J. Mina
Manta FC
🔄
84'
J. Alman ↔ J. Rialpe
Manta FC
🔄
86'
P. Guzman ↔ D. Luna
Aucas
🔄
86'
R. Quinonez ↔ B. Carabali
Aucas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aucas Win 84.4%
Draw 0%
Manta FC Win 15.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aucas1.06
Manta FC0.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aucas Aucas
WWDLW
17 GF / 16 GA
Manta FC Manta FC
WLDWL
4 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
0.29
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
6
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
1
5
Shots on Goal
2.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aucas Aucas 16 matches
Manta FC Manta FC 14 matches
Aucas Statistic Manta FC
7 Wins 2
4 Draws 3
5 Losses 9
17 Goals For 4
16 Goals Against 15
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 0.29
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
6 BTTS Yes 2
8 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 1
3 Over 3.5 0
6 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 10
5 Shots On Goal 2.5
14.5 Total Shots 9.29
5.71 Corners 4.79
59.1% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Aucas's more proactive style and Manta FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Manta FC. Aucas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 22 points compared to Manta FC in 16 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aucas expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Manta FC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Manta FC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Aucas Analysis

From their first 14 matches, Aucas have collected 22 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Miranda (6 goals), A. Mena (3 goals), R. Quinonez (3 goals), with creative support from Santiago Morales (2 assists), A. Mena (1 assists), Piero Guzmán (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Manta FC Analysis

With 9 points from 14 games and a place of 16, Manta FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 4:15 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Jimenez (1 goals), Jean Carlos Blanco (1 goals), Jose Enrique Angulo (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Aucas won 3 times, Manta FC won 0 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:7 from Aucas's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Aucas 4-1-4-1 / Manta FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Aucas wins 3, draws 6, Manta FC wins 0
Stats
Aucas Aucas
Manta FC Manta FC
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
8 Corner Kicks 4
8 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 1
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
610 Total passes 284
535 Passes accurate 212
2.00 expected_goals 0.59
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Aucas
Formation
Manta FC
H. Piedra
H. Piedra
A. Zova
A. Zova
L. Gustavino
L. Gustavino
J. Ontaneda
J. Ontaneda
S. Morales
S. Morales
A. L. Spina
A. L. Spina
E. Preciado
E. Preciado
P. Guzman
🎯
P. Guzman
A. Mena
🎯
A. Mena
R. Quinonez
R. Quinonez
S. Porozo
⚽ 2
S. Porozo
F. Zambrano
F. Zambrano
I. Cuero
I. Cuero
D. Quintero
D. Quintero
O. Moscarelli
O. Moscarelli
G. Mina
G. Mina
J. Alman
J. Alman
J. Nazareno
J. Nazareno
B. Ramirez
🎯
B. Ramirez
J. Jimenez
J. Jimenez
J. Troya
J. Troya
J. Blanco
J. Blanco
Aucas 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
13
H. Piedra
G
37
A. Zova
D
16
L. Gustavino
D
3
J. Ontaneda
D
2
S. Morales
D
6
A. L. Spina
M
10
E. Preciado
⚽ 44' ↓ 68' 🟨 32'
M
21
P. Guzman
🎯 12' ↓ 86'
M
18
A. Mena
🎯 48' ↓ 76'
M
28
R. Quinonez
↓ 86'
M
33
S. Porozo
⚽ 12' ⚽ 48' ↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
1
I. Chaves
G
29
L. Arroyo
↑ 68'
F
91
D. Luna
↑ 86'
F
14
S. Tapiero
↑ 76'
M
20
D. S. Espinosa
F
31
B. Carabali
↑ 86'
D
57
M. Vera
F
11
R. Bolanos
↑ 68'
Manta FC 4-5-1
Starting XI
12
F. Zambrano
G
45
I. Cuero
↓ 64'
D
16
D. Quintero
⚽ 16'
D
24
O. Moscarelli
🟨 60'
D
31
G. Mina
↓ 84'
D
19
J. Alman
↓ 84'
M
70
J. Nazareno
🟨 83'
M
5
B. Ramirez
🎯 16' ↓ 58'
M
6
J. Jimenez
M
27
J. Troya
↓ 58'
9
J. Blanco
F
Substitutes
1
W. Chavez
G
7
D. Cabezas
M
17
J. Angulo
↑ 58'
F
18
E. Beltramone
F
14
J. Mina
↑ 84'
M
4
J. Nazareno
↑ 64'
D
20
J. Chala
M
23
A. Medina
↑ 58'
52
J. Rialpe
↑ 84'
M
57
S. Burbano
M
Last matches: Aucas
08.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
31.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
09.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Libertad
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Delfin SC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Aucas
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
17.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
0
W
24.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
3
2
W
19.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
2
2
D
08.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
Last matches: Manta FC
04.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
4
L
30.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
27.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
1
1
D
03.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.02.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
0
1
L
H2H: Aucas vs Manta FC
26.05.26
H2H
Aucas
Manta FC
3
1
W
16.09.25
H2H
Manta FC
Aucas
1
1
D
17.05.25
H2H
Aucas
Manta FC
1
1
D
22.08.21
H2H
Aucas
Manta FC
3
0
W
21.03.21
H2H
Manta FC
Aucas
1
1
D
29.10.17
H2H
Aucas
Manta FC
2
0
W
26.08.17
H2H
Manta FC
Aucas
1
1
D
11.06.17
H2H
Aucas
Manta FC
1
1
D
08.04.17
H2H
Manta FC
Aucas
1
1
D
Last matches: Aucas
08.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
2
1
W
28.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Delfin SC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
24.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
3
2
W
19.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
H2H at home: Aucas
26.05.26
H2H
Aucas
Manta FC
3
1
W
17.05.25
H2H
Aucas
Manta FC
1
1
D
22.08.21
H2H
Aucas
Manta FC
3
0
W
29.10.17
H2H
Aucas
Manta FC
2
0
W
11.06.17
H2H
Aucas
Manta FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Manta FC
04.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
4
L
03.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
0
1
L
H2H away: Manta FC
26.05.26
H2H
Aucas
Manta FC
3
1
L
17.05.25
H2H
Aucas
Manta FC
1
1
D
22.08.21
H2H
Aucas
Manta FC
3
0
L
29.10.17
H2H
Aucas
Manta FC
2
0
L
11.06.17
H2H
Aucas
Manta FC
1
1
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 1 3 36:18 18 40
W W L W W
2 17 8 5 4 20:13 7 29
W L W W L
3
Aucas Home
17 8 5 4 20:16 4 29
W D W L W
4 17 8 3 6 19:14 5 27
L W D W W
5 17 8 3 6 18:19 -1 27
L W D W W
6 17 7 5 5 28:17 11 26
L L W D L
7 17 7 2 8 19:17 2 23
W W W L W
8 17 6 5 6 16:18 -2 23
W D L L W
9 17 6 4 7 22:24 -2 22
L L L W W
10 17 5 6 6 22:23 -1 21
W D D L L
11 17 5 5 7 18:19 -1 20
W D L W L
12 17 6 5 6 14:17 -3 20
D W W D D
13 17 5 4 8 14:20 -6 19
L L D L L
14 17 4 5 8 9:16 -7 17
D L L D L
15 17 4 5 8 17:25 -8 17
L L W L D
16 17 3 3 11 7:23 -16 12
L W L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs