ECUADOR LIGA PRO
26.07.2026 18:15
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Referee: Oswaldo Contreras, Ecuador
Aucas
Match Timeline
Macara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
S. Morales · Assist: P. Guzman
Aucas
34'
A. I. Campana · Assist: F. Posse
Macara
🔄
46'
M. Tello ↔ J. Estacio
Macara
50'
F. Posse
Macara
🔄
57'
M. Vera ↔ E. Preciado
Aucas
🟨
62'
Jose Klinger
Macara
🔄
62'
P. Guzman ↔ S. Porozo
Aucas
🟨
64'
Jose Cazares
Macara
65'
A. I. Campana · Assist: F. Posse
Macara
🟨
70'
Snayder Porozo
Aucas
🔄
72'
J. Klinger ↔ M. Viera
Macara
77'
F. Posse · Assist: J. Jimenez
Macara
🔄
79'
A. Mena ↔ S. Tapiero
Aucas
🔄
79'
J. Cazares ↔ C. Caicedo
Macara
🔄
79'
A. I. Campana ↔ J. Chala
Macara
🔄
83'
F. Posse ↔ L. Ferro
Macara

Aucas vs Macara Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.8%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aucas Win 56.8%
Draw 9.9%
Macara Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aucas1.06
Macara1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aucas Aucas
WWDLW
24 GF / 22 GA
Macara Macara
WLDWL
26 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.13
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
8
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
11
4.38
Shots on Goal
4.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aucas Aucas 23 matches
Macara Macara 23 matches
Aucas Statistic Macara
11 Wins 9
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 9
24 Goals For 26
22 Goals Against 25
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
8 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 2
10 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 6
4.38 Shots On Goal 4.19
12.38 Total Shots 12.1
5.1 Corners 4.81
51% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Aucas's more proactive style and Macara's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Macara. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Macara having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Aucas Analysis

Aucas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 32 points after 19 outings. With 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:19, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Bruno Miranda (5 goals), Andres Mena (3 goals), Snayder Porozo (3 goals), with creative support from Andres Mena (2 assists), Piero Guzmán (2 assists), Santiago Morales (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Macara Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 29 points from 20 games, Macara bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 21:21, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Franco Posse (4 goals), Federico Paz (3 goals), Luca Ferro (2 goals), with creative support from Jose Klinger (3 assists), Federico Paz (2 assists), Franco Posse (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aucas won 5 times, Macara won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:23 from Aucas's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Aucas 4-1-4-1 / Macara 4-3-3
H2H summary: Aucas wins 5, draws 3, Macara wins 7

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4
Aucas Home
30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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