Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Aucas
Macara
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aucas
23 matches
Macara
23 matches
| Aucas | Statistic | Macara |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 9 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 9 |
| 24 | Goals For | 26 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.38 | Shots On Goal | 4.19 |
| 12.38 | Total Shots | 12.1 |
| 5.1 | Corners | 4.81 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 49% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Aucas's more proactive style and Macara's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Macara. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Macara having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Aucas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 32 points after 19 outings. With 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:19, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Bruno Miranda (5 goals), Andres Mena (3 goals), Snayder Porozo (3 goals), with creative support from Andres Mena (2 assists), Piero Guzmán (2 assists), Santiago Morales (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Operating from 5 place with 29 points from 20 games, Macara bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 21:21, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Franco Posse (4 goals), Federico Paz (3 goals), Luca Ferro (2 goals), with creative support from Jose Klinger (3 assists), Federico Paz (2 assists), Franco Posse (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aucas won 5 times, Macara won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:23 from Aucas's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Aucas
4
8
3
4
6
0
Lineups
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Manta FC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Libertad
Aucas
Delfin SC
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
LDU de Quito
Macara
Leones del Norte
Macara
Emelec
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Manta FC
Macara
Orense SC
Macara
Libertad
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Barcelona SC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Aucas
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Manta FC
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Delfin SC
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Leones del Norte
Macara
Emelec
Macara
Manta FC
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
LDU de Quito
Macara
FBC Melgar
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 56:22 | 34 | 58 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Macara
Away
|
23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 4 |
Aucas
Home
|
23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 38 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 5 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 35 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 35 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 32 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 14:23 | -9 | 23 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 9:29 | -20 | 14 |
L
L
D
L
L
|