ECUADOR LIGA PRO
19.09.2026 00:30
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Referee: G. Gonzalez
Aucas
Match Timeline
Macara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
F. Posse
Macara
45+2'
F. Posse · Assist: A. I. Campana
Macara
🔄
46'
L. Gustavino ↔ R. Bolanos
Aucas
🟨
52'
J. Jimenez
Macara
55'
A. I. Campana · Assist: F. Posse
Macara
🔄
57'
M. Viera ↔ M. Miranda
Macara
🔄
60'
A. Mena ↔ B. Oyola
Aucas
🔄
60'
L. Arroyo ↔ R. Monti
Aucas
🔄
77'
M. Tello ↔ T. Espinoza
Macara
🔄
77'
A. I. Campana ↔ J. Klinger
Macara
🔄
84'
D. Bolanos ↔ M. Medranda
Macara
🔄
84'
F. Posse ↔ L. Ferro
Macara
🟥
87'
J. Estacio
Macara
🟨
87'
J. Estacio
Macara
🟨
87'
J. Estacio
Macara
🔄
89'
M. Burdisso ↔ C. Zambrano
Aucas
🟨
90+2'
J. Marrufo
Macara
90+7'
E. Preciado
Aucas

Aucas vs Macara Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.6%
Odds 1.80
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.6%
1.80
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.63
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74%
1.80
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-1
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
Aucas Win 33.5%
Draw 20.4%
Macara Win 46.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aucas1.1
Macara1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aucas Aucas
WWDLW
34 GF / 29 GA
Macara Macara
WLDWL
43 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.34
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
11
BTTS Yes
17
10
Over 2.5
17
4.03
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aucas Aucas 32 matches
Macara Macara 32 matches
Aucas Statistic Macara
15 Wins 15
8 Draws 6
9 Losses 11
34 Goals For 43
29 Goals Against 37
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.34
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
11 BTTS Yes 17
16 Over 1.5 24
10 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 5
15 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 7
4.03 Shots On Goal 4.83
11.63 Total Shots 13.33
4.67 Corners 4.67
49.9% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Macara. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Aucas Analysis

Aucas come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 50 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, while the 33:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on Bruno Miranda (5 goals), R. Quiñónez (4 goals), Andrés David Mena Montenegro (3 goals), with creative support from Andrés David Mena Montenegro (3 assists), A. Preciado (3 assists), P. Guzmán (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Macara Analysis

Macara approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 51 points after 30 outings. They have recorded 15 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a 41:33 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on F. Posse (9 goals), A. Campana (8 goals), M. Tello (3 goals), with creative support from F. Posse (4 assists), Matías Miranda (3 assists), J. Klinger (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Aucas won 1 times, Macara won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:13 from Aucas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.7%)
Predicted formations: Aucas 4-1-4-1 / Macara 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Aucas wins 1, draws 0, Macara wins 4

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4
Aucas Home
30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
11 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 36
L W D W L
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs