Aucas vs Macara Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
66.6%
|
1.80 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
1.63 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74%
|
1.80 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
6.50 |
Aucas
Macara
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aucas
32 matches
Macara
32 matches
| Aucas | Statistic | Macara |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 15 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 11 |
| 34 | Goals For | 43 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.03 | Shots On Goal | 4.83 |
| 11.63 | Total Shots | 13.33 |
| 4.67 | Corners | 4.67 |
| 49.9% | Ball Possession | 48.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Macara. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Aucas come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 50 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, while the 33:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on Bruno Miranda (5 goals), R. Quiñónez (4 goals), Andrés David Mena Montenegro (3 goals), with creative support from Andrés David Mena Montenegro (3 assists), A. Preciado (3 assists), P. Guzmán (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Macara approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 51 points after 30 outings. They have recorded 15 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a 41:33 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on F. Posse (9 goals), A. Campana (8 goals), M. Tello (3 goals), with creative support from F. Posse (4 assists), Matías Miranda (3 assists), J. Klinger (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Aucas won 1 times, Macara won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:13 from Aucas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Macara
Away
|
30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 4 |
Aucas
Home
|
30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|