Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
42.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aucas
25 matches
Leones del Norte
23 matches
| Aucas | Statistic | Leones del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 27 | Goals For | 24 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.96 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.39 | Shots On Goal | 3.78 |
| 12.26 | Total Shots | 12.52 |
| 5.04 | Corners | 4.04 |
| 50.6% | Ball Possession | 46.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Leones del Norte's more proactive style and Aucas's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Aucas have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aucas expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Leones del Norte in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Leones del Norte having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Leones del Norte.
Aucas sit 4 with 35 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 24:25 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bruno Miranda (5 goals), Andres Mena (3 goals), Snayder Porozo (3 goals), with creative support from Piero Guzmán (3 assists), Andres Mena (2 assists), Santiago Morales (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 22 matches, Leones del Norte have collected 31 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 23:21 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Juan Anangonó (5 goals), Darío Pazmiño (3 goals), Emiliano Griffa (3 goals), with creative support from Jonathan Arroyo (3 assists), Elián Pepinós (2 assists), Darío Pazmiño (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Aucas won 3 times, Leones del Norte won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:1 from Aucas's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Aucas
4
5
1
3
2
2
Lineups
Aucas
Delfin SC
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Manta FC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Libertad
Aucas
Delfin SC
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Macara
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Manta FC
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Delfin SC
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Macara
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64:26 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Aucas
Home
|
26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45:23 | 22 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26:20 | 6 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 39 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Leones del Norte
Away
|
26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 33 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | -10 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:28 | -11 | 24 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12:37 | -25 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
L
|