FRANCE NATIONAL 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny
Aubagne
Match Timeline
Stade Briochin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
M. Nehari
Stade Briochin
11'
K. Tlili
Aubagne
18'
A. Zakharyan
Stade Briochin
🟨
45'
B. El Kaddouri
Aubagne
🟨
45+1'
G. Beghin
Stade Briochin
🔄
46'
M. El Asrar ↔ S. Ahamada
Aubagne
🔄
46'
E. Mayilla ↔ A. Tafni
Aubagne
🟨
61'
L. Yobe
Stade Briochin
🟨
65'
B. Diakhaby
Stade Briochin
🟨
68'
K. Tlili
Aubagne
🔄
70'
S. Janno ↔ C. Konan
Stade Briochin
🟨
77'
A. Diaby Malick
Stade Briochin
🔄
79'
A. Diaby ↔ K. Madi
Aubagne
🟨
86'
M. Bentoumi
Aubagne
🟨
86'
C. Konan
Stade Briochin
🔄
88'
M. Abdallah ↔ N. D. Ali Hamidou
Aubagne
🔄
88'
B. El Kaddouri ↔ I. Curis
Aubagne
🔄
89'
K. Achahbar ↔ J. Benhaim
Stade Briochin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 32.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
32.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aubagne Win 43.7%
Draw 0%
Stade Briochin Win 56.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aubagne1.28
Stade Briochin1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aubagne Aubagne
WWDLW
33 GF / 42 GA
Stade Briochin Stade Briochin
WLDWL
32 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
18
BTTS Yes
19
14
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aubagne Aubagne 30 matches
Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 31 matches
Aubagne Statistic Stade Briochin
8 Wins 4
10 Draws 11
12 Losses 16
33 Goals For 32
42 Goals Against 48
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
18 BTTS Yes 19
24 Over 1.5 23
14 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stade Briochin having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Stade Briochin. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Aubagne Analysis

Aubagne sit 12 with 33 points after 29 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 33:42 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Bentoumi (7 goals), M. Hamek (6 goals), E. Mayilla (5 goals), with creative support from K. Chaban (5 assists), B. El Kaddouri (3 assists), N. Chibani (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stade Briochin Analysis

Stade Briochin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 20 points from 29 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 11 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 28:47, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Yobe (6 goals), M. Faty (4 goals), S. Janno (4 goals), with creative support from K. Achahbar (4 assists), A. Zakharyan (3 assists), G. Beghin (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Aubagne won 1 times, Stade Briochin won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Aubagne's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Aubagne wins 1, draws 0, Stade Briochin wins 1

Lineups

Stade Briochin
Formation
Aubagne
F. L'Hostis
F. L'Hostis
H. Boudin
H. Boudin
B. Angoua
B. Angoua
A. Diaby Malick
A. Diaby Malick
B. Diakhaby
B. Diakhaby
K. Achahbar
K. Achahbar
L. Yobe
L. Yobe
G. Beghin
G. Beghin
A. Zakharyan
A. Zakharyan
M. Faty
M. Faty
S. Janno
S. Janno
M. Nouichi
M. Nouichi
M. Abdallah
M. Abdallah
R. Mimb Baheng
R. Mimb Baheng
M. Nehari
M. Nehari
C. Rocchia
C. Rocchia
M. Bentoumi
M. Bentoumi
M. El Asrar
M. El Asrar
A. Diaby
A. Diaby
B. El Kaddouri
B. El Kaddouri
K. Tlili
K. Tlili
E. Mayilla
E. Mayilla
Stade Briochin 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
30
F. L'Hostis
5
H. Boudin
4
B. Angoua
13
A. Diaby Malick
🟨 77'
17
B. Diakhaby
🟨 65'
22
K. Achahbar
↓ 89'
10
L. Yobe
🟨 61'
6
G. Beghin
🟨 45+1'
7
A. Zakharyan
⚽ 18'
21
M. Faty
11
S. Janno
↓ 70'
Substitutes
8
M. Diakite
3
L. Rouille
25
J. Benhaim
↑ 89'
33
F. Beurel
29
C. Konan
↑ 70' 🟨 86'
Aubagne 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Nouichi
13
M. Abdallah
↓ 88'
15
R. Mimb Baheng
26
M. Nehari
⚽ 8'
8
C. Rocchia
28
M. Bentoumi
🟨 86'
7
M. El Asrar
↓ 46'
4
A. Diaby
↓ 79'
34
B. El Kaddouri
↓ 88' 🟨 45'
9
K. Tlili
⚽ 11' 🟨 68'
14
E. Mayilla
↓ 46'
Substitutes
31
S. Ahamada
↑ 46'
21
N. D. Ali Hamidou
↑ 88'
33
K. Madi
↑ 79'
36
I. Curis
↑ 88'
6
A. Tafni
↑ 46'
Last matches: Aubagne
11.07.26
Fri
Aubagne
Montpellier
2
3
L
15.05.26
Nat
Aubagne
Caen
3
1
W
09.05.26
Nat
Aubagne
Gobelins
1
1
D
24.04.26
Nat
Aubagne
Rouen
1
3
L
17.04.26
Nat
Aubagne
Orleans
0
2
L
10.04.26
Nat
Aubagne
Le Puy Foot
2
1
W
03.04.26
Nat
Aubagne
Chateauroux
1
1
D
27.03.26
Nat
Aubagne
Valenciennes
0
0
D
20.03.26
Nat
Aubagne
Sochaux
1
4
L
13.03.26
Nat
Aubagne
Dijon
1
2
L
06.03.26
Nat
Aubagne
Fleury 91
1
2
L
27.02.26
Nat
Aubagne
Versailles
0
3
L
20.02.26
Nat
Aubagne
Quevilly
0
1
L
13.02.26
Nat
Aubagne
Bourg-en-bresse 01
1
0
W
06.02.26
Nat
Aubagne
Concarneau
0
1
L
23.01.26
Nat
Aubagne
Villefranche
1
2
L
16.01.26
Nat
Aubagne
Gobelins
1
1
D
12.12.25
Nat
Aubagne
Stade Briochin
3
1
W
05.12.25
Nat
Aubagne
Rouen
1
1
D
21.11.25
Nat
Aubagne
Orleans
4
2
W
Last matches: Stade Briochin
15.05.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Versailles
2
2
D
09.05.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Quevilly
3
0
W
24.04.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Concarneau
1
2
L
10.04.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Villefranche
0
0
D
03.04.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Caen
1
1
D
27.03.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Gobelins
0
1
L
21.03.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Bourg-en-bresse 01
1
1
D
17.03.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Chateauroux
2
0
W
13.03.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Rouen
2
3
L
06.03.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Orleans
1
3
L
27.02.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Le Puy Foot
1
1
D
17.02.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Fleury 91
2
3
L
13.02.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Valenciennes
2
1
W
06.02.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Sochaux
1
1
D
30.01.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Dijon
0
0
D
16.01.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Quevilly
0
0
D
12.12.25
Nat
Stade Briochin
Aubagne
1
3
L
05.12.25
Nat
Stade Briochin
Concarneau
2
2
D
28.11.25
Cou
Stade Briochin
Concarneau
0
1
L
16.11.25
Cou
Stade Briochin
Saint-Renan
4
0
W
H2H: Aubagne vs Stade Briochin
01.05.26
H2H
Aubagne
Stade Briochin
1
2
L
12.12.25
H2H
Stade Briochin
Aubagne
1
3
W
Last matches: Aubagne
15.05.26
Nat
Aubagne
Caen
3
1
W
17.04.26
Nat
Aubagne
Orleans
0
2
L
03.04.26
Nat
Aubagne
Chateauroux
1
1
D
20.03.26
Nat
Aubagne
Sochaux
1
4
L
06.03.26
Nat
Aubagne
Fleury 91
1
2
L
20.02.26
Nat
Aubagne
Quevilly
0
1
L
13.02.26
Nat
Aubagne
Bourg-en-bresse 01
1
0
W
16.01.26
Nat
Aubagne
Gobelins
1
1
D
05.12.25
Nat
Aubagne
Rouen
1
1
D
07.11.25
Nat
Aubagne
Le Puy Foot
1
4
L
21.10.25
Nat
Aubagne
Valenciennes
1
1
D
03.10.25
Nat
Aubagne
Dijon
1
1
D
19.09.25
Nat
Aubagne
Versailles
1
1
D
29.08.25
Nat
Aubagne
Concarneau
1
1
D
15.08.25
Nat
Aubagne
Villefranche
3
1
W
H2H at home: Aubagne
01.05.26
H2H
Aubagne
Stade Briochin
1
2
L
Last matches: Stade Briochin
15.05.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Versailles
2
2
D
03.04.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Caen
1
1
D
21.03.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Bourg-en-bresse 01
1
1
D
13.03.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Rouen
2
3
L
27.02.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Le Puy Foot
1
1
D
13.02.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Valenciennes
2
1
W
30.01.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Dijon
0
0
D
16.01.26
Nat
Stade Briochin
Quevilly
0
0
D
05.12.25
Nat
Stade Briochin
Concarneau
2
2
D
28.11.25
Cou
Stade Briochin
Concarneau
0
1
L
16.11.25
Cou
Stade Briochin
Saint-Renan
4
0
W
07.11.25
Nat
Stade Briochin
Villefranche
1
3
L
21.10.25
Nat
Stade Briochin
Gobelins
0
3
L
26.09.25
Nat
Stade Briochin
Orleans
2
3
L
12.09.25
Nat
Stade Briochin
Chateauroux
2
2
D
29.08.25
Nat
Stade Briochin
Sochaux
0
2
L
15.08.25
Nat
Stade Briochin
Fleury 91
1
4
L
H2H away: Stade Briochin
01.05.26
H2H
Aubagne
Stade Briochin
1
2
W

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 11 3 52:25 27 65
W W L W D
2 32 16 10 6 51:26 25 58
D L D W D
3 32 14 13 5 43:29 14 55
W L D W D
4 32 15 9 8 47:30 17 54
L L W W W
5 32 15 8 9 46:34 12 53
D W D D W
6 32 14 9 9 42:42 0 51
L W D L W
7 32 12 11 9 45:38 7 47
D L L D D
8 32 8 16 8 39:34 5 40
L D W W W
9 32 8 14 10 32:37 -5 38
D D D W D
10 32 10 8 14 35:44 -9 37
D L D L L
11 32 9 10 13 38:46 -8 37
W D L L L
12 32 10 7 15 34:45 -11 37
D L L W D
13 32 8 9 15 34:45 -11 33
W L D W D
14 32 7 11 14 26:41 -15 32
L D D L L
15 32 8 7 17 25:44 -19 31
W W L L L
16 32 6 13 13 35:49 -14 30
D W W L L
17 32 5 12 15 35:50 -15 27
D W W L D
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