Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
51.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.2%
|
- |
Atromitos
Larisa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atromitos
28 matches
Larisa
28 matches
| Atromitos | Statistic | Larisa |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 10 | Draws | 11 |
| 11 | Losses | 13 |
| 27 | Goals For | 24 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.86 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 2.93 | Shots On Goal | 3.79 |
| 10.39 | Total Shots | 11.04 |
| 4.07 | Corners | 3.71 |
| 51.5% | Ball Possession | 44% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Larisa. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atromitos expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Larisa in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Larisa having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Larisa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Placed 1 with 31 points from 28 outings, Atromitos continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 27:31 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Jubitana (5 goals), Makana Baku (3 goals), P. Tsantilas (3 goals), with creative support from Makana Baku (4 assists), P. Michorl (4 assists), Jere Uronen (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Larisa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 23 points from 28 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 11 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 24:44 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Ángelo Sagal (5 goals), G. Pasas (4 goals), L. Garate (4 goals), with creative support from Ľubomír Tupta (2 assists), Savvas Mourgos (2 assists), L. Garate (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atromitos won 7 times, Larisa won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:10 from Atromitos's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Atromitos
4
7
5
3
2
8
Lineups
Atromitos
Panserraikos
Atromitos
Larisa
Atromitos
Kifisia
Atromitos
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
Panserraikos
Atromitos
Kifisia
Atromitos
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Levadiakos
Atromitos
AEK Athens FC
Atromitos
Aris Thessalonikis
Atromitos
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
Panserraikos
Atromitos
Kifisia
Atromitos
OFI
Atromitos
Panathinaikos
Atromitos
Volos NFC
Atromitos
Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa
Kifisia
Larisa
Atromitos
Larisa
Panetolikos
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
Panserraikos
Larisa
Panserraikos
Larisa
Kifisia
Larisa
Panetolikos
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
AEK Athens FC
Larisa
OFI
Larisa
PAOK
Larisa
Panathinaikos
Larisa
Panetolikos
Larisa
Volos NFC
Larisa
Panserraikos
Larisa
Aris Thessalonikis
Larisa
Kifisia
Atromitos
Panserraikos
Atromitos
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
Kifisia
Atromitos
AEK Athens FC
Atromitos
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Panserraikos
Atromitos
OFI
Atromitos
Panathinaikos
Atromitos
Olympiakos Piraeus
Atromitos
PAOK
Atromitos
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
Volos NFC
Atromitos
Kifisia
Atromitos
Levadiakos
Atromitos
Larisa
Atromitos
Aris Thessalonikis
Larisa
Kifisia
Larisa
Panetolikos
Larisa
Panserraikos
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa
AEK Athens FC
Larisa
OFI
Larisa
Panathinaikos
Larisa
Volos NFC
Larisa
Kifisia
Larisa
Levadiakos
Larisa
Aris Thessalonikis
Larisa
Panetolikos
Larisa
Panserraikos
Larisa
Atromitos
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
PAOK
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 49:17 | 32 | 60 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 58 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 52:17 | 35 | 57 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 49 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 32 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:38 | -12 | 31 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 30 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Atromitos
Home
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 29 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 10 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:42 | -10 | 27 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 24:38 | -14 | 26 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Larisa
Away
|
26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 23 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
| 13 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16:55 | -39 | 17 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
W
D
W
D
W
|