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GREECE › SUPER LEAGUE 1
17.10.2026 16:30
Peristeri Stadium

Atromitos vs AEK Athens FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atromitos Win 35.3%
Draw 13.3%
AEK Athens FC Win 51.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atromitos0.74
AEK Athens FC1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atromitos Atromitos
WWDLW
6 GF / 9 GA
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
WLDWL
36 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
2.25
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.56
5
BTTS Yes
7
3
Over 2.5
11
2.67
Shots on Goal
5.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atromitos Atromitos 7 matches
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 16 matches
Atromitos Statistic AEK Athens FC
1 Wins 11
2 Draws 4
4 Losses 1
6 Goals For 36
9 Goals Against 9
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 2.25
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.56
5 BTTS Yes 7
5 Over 1.5 13
3 Over 2.5 11
0 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 9
1 Failed To Score 2
2.67 Shots On Goal 5.56
11 Total Shots 17
3.83 Corners 4.78
49% Ball Possession 56.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by AEK Athens FC's more proactive style and Atromitos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AEK Athens FC. Atromitos have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atromitos expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and AEK Athens FC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AEK Athens FC having the stronger overall control. AEK Athens FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 11 points while Atromitos sit 11 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Atromitos Analysis

Atromitos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 2 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 4:7 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Moutoussamy (2 goals), C. Núñez (1 goals), S. Tsiloulis (1 goals), with creative support from C. Núñez (1 assists), S. Pnevmonidis (1 assists), T. Karamanis (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

AEK Athens FC Analysis

AEK Athens FC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 11 points after 5 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 13:3 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. Varga (3 goals), L. Jović (2 goals), R. Marin (1 goals), with creative support from L. Majer (2 assists), R. Marin (1 assists), M. Gaćinović (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atromitos won 2 times, AEK Athens FC won 12 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:30 from Atromitos's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: Atromitos 4-2-3-1 / AEK Athens FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Atromitos wins 2, draws 1, AEK Athens FC wins 12

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 0 1 12:3 9 15
L W W W W
2 6 4 2 0 16:3 13 14
W W D W D
3 6 4 1 1 5:2 3 13
W W L D W
4 6 4 0 2 13:8 5 12
L W W L W
5 6 3 1 2 8:12 -4 10
W D L L W
6 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
L D W W L
7 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
W D D W D
8 6 3 0 3 8:9 -1 9
L L L W W
9 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
W W D L L
10 6 2 1 3 9:9 0 7
W L W D L
11 6 1 2 3 6:10 -4 5
W D D L L
12 6 0 2 4 5:9 -4 2
L L D D L
13 6 0 1 5 0:11 -11 1
L L D L L
14 6 0 2 4 6:12 -6
L L L D D
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Super League (Relegation Group)